Polymarket Top Markets Today2026/05/15 15:13:53Polymarket Signals: Brazil Scandal Drives the Day's Biggest SwingThis May 14–15 Polymarket recap covers the day's dominant story — the Flávio Bolsonaro fundraising tape that sent his win probability down 16 percentage points in a single day — alongside the Strait of Hormuz conditional reopening, Bitcoin's Clarity Act-driven rally above $82,000, Kevin Warsh assuming the Fed chair amid a 4.2% CPI forecast, and S&P 500/Nasdaq/Dow reaching all-time highs on Trump-Xi summit optimism.00