Crypto Market Daily — July 3, 2026

Spot data cutoff: 2026-07-03 00:28 GMT+8. ETF-flow cutoff: Farside's latest fully populated rows are 2026-07-01; the 2026-07-02 BTC and ETH rows still show fund-level dashes with a 0.0 total, so they are treated as pending, not confirmed flat-flow data.

Market snapshot

BTC has moved back above $61K and ETH is the strongest large-cap major in this cutoff, but the ETF picture is split: BTC spot ETFs printed another final outflow row on July 1, while ETH spot ETFs flipped back to a small inflow on the same final row. CoinGecko's global feed puts total crypto market cap at $2.21T, up 2.42% over 24 hours, with BTC dominance at 55.69%. 1

Asset	Price	24h move	Market cap	Read-through	Source
BTC	$61,310	+1.99%	$1.23T	Back above $61K, but still below the Coinbase 24h high near $62.15K.	CoinGecko
ETH	$1,690.61	+4.16%	$204.25B	Best move among BTC/ETH and the listed majors.	CoinGecko
SOL	$80.60	+3.83%	$46.84B	Leading the major-alt set after ETH.	CoinGecko
XRP	$1.089	+2.64%	$67.82B	Positive, but less extended than ETH and SOL.	CoinGecko
BNB	$560.53	+1.28%	$75.61B	Lagging the broader rebound.	CoinGecko
DOGE	$0.074336	+1.43%	$11.52B	Positive, but not showing a breakout relative to the major set.	CoinGecko
ADA	$0.159813	+2.84%	$5.96B	Mid-pack rebound among the listed majors.	CoinGecko

BTC: reclaiming $61K, but ETF demand is still the drag

Coinbase's BTC-USD 24h stats show a range from $59,520.02 to $62,147.89, with the last traded price near $61,163.84 at collection time. Treat that low/high as intraday support and resistance references, not formal technical levels. 2

The cleaner takeaway: BTC has repaired the immediate $60K break, but it has not yet cleared the top of the 24h range. A sustained push through the $62.1K area would matter more than another small move inside the range.

ETF flows still argue for caution. Farside's BTC table shows the July 1 final total at -$296.0M, extending the negative final-row streak that began after the June 16 inflow. The July 2 row is still pending because the fund-level cells are dashes. 3

ETH: stronger price action, cleaner flow tape

Coinbase's ETH-USD stats show a 24h range from $1,595.20 to $1,723.05, with the last price near $1,686.01. The first line to watch is whether ETH can hold the reclaimed $1.60K area; the second is whether it can retest and hold above the $1.72K intraday high. 4

The ETF tape is better for ETH than for BTC today. Farside's latest final ETH row, July 1, shows +$14.8M in net flow after negative final rows on June 29 and June 30. The July 2 ETH row is also pending, so it should not be read as a confirmed zero-flow day. 5

That mix gives ETH a short-term relative-strength edge: price is up more than BTC and the latest confirmed ETF row is no longer negative. The setup still depends on holding the $1.60K area because a failed reclaim would turn the move into another range bounce.

Altcoins: broad green, with one extreme loser still in the tape

Across CoinGecko's top 250 by market cap, filtered to remove stablecoins, wrapped assets, liquid-staking tokens, and tokenized fund-style entries, MemeCore was the standout gainer at +35.48% over 24 hours. Velvet was the standout loser at -62.43%. 6

Category	Token	Market-cap rank	24h move	Price	24h range	Source
Top gainer	MemeCore (M)	39	+35.48%	$1.75	$1.019-$1.77	CoinGecko
Top loser	Velvet (VELVET)	155	-62.43%	$0.551996	$0.49568-$1.58	CoinGecko

The major-alt table is mostly constructive, but not indiscriminate. ETH and SOL are carrying the move; BNB and DOGE are green but lagging. That is a healthier tape than a BTC-only bounce, but it is still not a full risk-on reset while the Fear & Greed Index stays in Extreme Fear.

Sentiment and macro context

Alternative.me's latest Fear & Greed reading is 19, still classified as Extreme Fear, up from 11 the previous day. That is an improvement, not a sentiment regime change. 7

Macro is mixed rather than outright supportive. The Fed's June 17 statement kept the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% and said inflation remains elevated relative to the 2% goal. 8 Equity risk was also soft at the market-data cutoff: Yahoo Finance chart data showed the S&P 500 down 0.26% from the prior close and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.97%. 9 10

For crypto, that means today's bounce is coming from inside the crypto tape more than from a clear macro tailwind. BTC dominance at 55.69% also says capital has not rotated aggressively into higher-beta assets yet. 1

Watch for the next 24-48 hours

BTC above $62.1K or back into the range. A clean move through Coinbase's 24h high would be the first sign that the rebound is more than a relief move. Failure there keeps $59.5K as the downside reference.
Final July 2 ETF rows. The current Farside BTC and ETH July 2 rows are pending, so the next useful flow signal is the fully populated final row, not the placeholder 0.0 total.
ETH relative strength. ETH has the better combination today: stronger 24h price action and a positive latest final ETF row. If ETH loses $1.60K while BTC stays range-bound, that relative-strength signal weakens quickly.

Bottom line: price action improved, but flows and sentiment have not fully confirmed it. BTC needs a break above the top of the 24h range, while ETH has a cleaner near-term setup as long as $1.60K holds.