Hokusai leads Jun 28 LEGO radar
2026/6/28 · 10:23

Hokusai leads Jun 28 LEGO radar

Hokusai leads today’s LEGO radar on a −22.8% BrickRanker discount, +30.12% forecast midpoint, and cleaner data profile, while Mandalorian’s N-1 Starfighter offers deeper discount but higher forecast risk.

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31208 Hokusai - The Great Wave is today's cleanest screen: BrickRanker lists the LEGO Art set at $77.16, 22.8% below its $99.99 RRP, with a +30.12% 2-year post-retirement forecast midpoint and HIGH confidence. 1 The catch is scope. No usable timestamped marketplace listings came through for this window, so the numbers below are price-reference ceilings for your own eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink search, not verified live listings.
BrickRanker's retirement tracker still shows 110 sets marked "Retiring soon!" across 39 themes, with all 19 tracked sets still active and no new arrivals outside the list. 2 That stable backdrop makes the daily decision narrower than usual: screen Hokusai first, use Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter only if the discount is real in the live listing, and keep the highest-forecast Technic picks on watch until their data or cooldown status improves.

Quick screen

#1 — 31208 Hokusai - The Great Wave
  • Why it leads: Hokusai has the best eligible balance of fresh data, forecast reliability, and discount depth: $77.16 vs. $99.99 RRP, -22.8%, +30.12% midpoint, and a 21.93% to 35.49% forecast range. 1
  • Reference ceiling: Treat the high-$70s as the first-pass ceiling. A live copy priced meaningfully above $77 needs sealed-box condition or unusually clean provenance to justify the premium.
  • Liquidity and timing: BrickRanker records 75 total sales; the price data was last updated Jun 26, 2026; the set is listed as an active, retiring-soon LEGO Art set with an estimated retirement date of Jul 31, 2026. 1
  • Listing check: For sealed copies, verify box edges and seals. For open copies, ask for a full tile inventory and close photos of the frame elements; a mosaic set loses the value case quickly if the visible tile field is incomplete.
#2 — 75325 Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter
  • Why it ranks: This LEGO Star Wars set has the deepest discount among today's eligible candidates at $37.40 vs. $59.99 RRP, or -37.7%, and it has the strongest liquidity signal with 553 total recorded sales. 3
  • Reference ceiling: The buy case starts below $40. The case weakens fast above that level because BrickRanker's 2-year forecast midpoint is only +14.98%. 3
  • Risk flag: BrickRanker's forecast range runs from -2.49% to +31.85%, a 34.34 percentage-point band, so this is a discount-and-liquidity play rather than a clean appreciation screen. 3
  • Minifigure check: BrickRanker lists 4 minifigures, including 2 exclusive figures, and says minifigures account for 61% of set value. 3 Confirm Peli Motto and the other named figures before using $37.40 as a fair benchmark.
#3 — 42161 Lamborghini Huracán Tecnica
  • Why it stays on the board: BrickRanker shows the LEGO Technic set at $37.57 vs. $49.99 RRP, or -24.8%, with the highest eligible forecast midpoint at +38.89%. 4
  • Reference ceiling: Do not treat $37.57 as a fresh buy signal. The page was last updated Mar 26, 2026, which makes the price data 94 days old in this run. 4
  • Risk flag: BrickRanker rates the forecast MEDIUM confidence, while the forecast range runs from +26.24% to +49.06%. 4 Use this as a saved-search target, not the first set to chase today.
  • Listing check: For open copies, ask for a parts inventory, stickers, wheel/tire close-ups, and photos of the orange panels under strong light. Technic car value depends heavily on clean bodywork and complete mechanical assemblies.

Why Hokusai gets the lead

Hokusai does not have the largest raw discount. Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter is 37.7% below RRP, compared with Hokusai at 22.8% below RRP. 3 1 Hokusai leads because its forecast is more usable: +30.12% midpoint with a 13.56 percentage-point band and HIGH confidence, against N-1 Starfighter's +14.98% midpoint with a 34.34 percentage-point band and a negative low end. 1 3
The collector risk is also simpler. Hokusai has 1,810 pieces and 0 minifigures, so the value check is mostly about sealed condition, tile completeness, and frame quality. 1 N-1 Starfighter has 4 minifigures, 2 of them exclusive, and minifigures represent 61% of the set value, which makes swapped or missing figures a bigger risk in open-box listings. 3

Sideboard

42158 NASA Mars Perseverance Rover still has the strongest analytical profile in the pool: $67.88 vs. $99.99 RRP, -32.1%, +40.21% midpoint, HIGH confidence, and a very tight 37.54% to 42.98% forecast range. 5 The reason it does not lead today is eligibility, not quality: its cooldown runs until Jul 03. 5
21058 Great Pyramid of Giza is the sleeper search target if you want a non-vehicle, non-minifigure build. BrickRanker shows a +29.97% forecast midpoint, a 24.45% to 35.48% range, and a -23.9% discount. 6 Keep the same discipline as Hokusai: pay for condition and completeness, not for a vague retirement story.
75347 TIE Bomber and 42151 Bugatti Bolide both remain poor ranking candidates despite attractive price data. BrickRanker has current Jun 26 price data for TIE Bomber at $40.83 and -37.2%, and for Bugatti Bolide at $31.64 and -36.7%, but both pages lack a 2-year post-retirement forecast and piece count. 7 8 Without that forecast field, the discount is not enough to push either set into the ranked list.

Next checks

Two cooldowns matter for the next screen. 42160 Audi RS Q e-tron becomes eligible on Jun 29 with a $126.40 BrickRanker value, -29.8% discount, and +42.92% forecast midpoint. 9 42143 Ferrari Daytona SP3 becomes eligible the same day at $329.25, -26.8%, and +28.70% forecast midpoint. 10 The caution is forecast spread: Audi's band is 27.73 percentage points, and Ferrari's band is 38.42 percentage points. 9 10 Those are watchlist entries until the live price and seller quality line up.
For today's searches, start with Hokusai under the high-$70s. Move to N-1 Starfighter only when the listing clearly includes the exclusive figures. Treat Huracán as a saved search until BrickRanker refreshes the stale price data.

参考来源

  1. 1BrickRanker: LEGO Hokusai - The Great Wave (31208-1)
  2. 2BrickRanker: Retirement Tracker
  3. 3BrickRanker: LEGO The Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter (75325-1)
  4. 4BrickRanker: LEGO Lamborghini Huracán Tecnica (42161-1)
  5. 5BrickRanker: LEGO NASA Mars Perseverance Rover (42158-1)
  6. 6BrickRanker: LEGO Great Pyramid of Giza (21058-1)
  7. 7BrickRanker: LEGO TIE Bomber (75347-1)
  8. 8BrickRanker: LEGO Bugatti Bolide (42151-1)
  9. 9BrickRanker: LEGO Audi RS Q e-tron (42160-1)
  10. 10BrickRanker: LEGO Ferrari Daytona SP3 (42143-1)

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