2026/6/25 · 9:18
Jun 25: ETH crashes to $1,530, CryptoPunks sole ETH-denominated gainer
ETH hits $1,530 intraday low on Crash Day 3; ETF outflows decelerate to −$30.3M; CryptoPunks +1.6% only gainer; Pudgy sweeper absent Day 4.
Data cutoff: Jun 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
ETH printed a $1,530 intraday low Thursday — its worst level since the current crash began — before closing at $1,553. The $1,633–1,636 support that held two sessions ago is now ceiling, not floor. That's the macro weight the whole cohort is moving under today.
統計カードを読み込んでいます…
ETH Jun 25 Kraken candle: O $1,619.86 / H $1,657.06 / L $1,530.00 / C $1,553.39. 1 BTC closed at $58,843, with an intraday low of $58,033 — through $59,000 with no bid. 2
ETH ETF — Day 40 outflows decelerate but ETH keeps falling
ETF Day 40 (Jun 24): total net flow −$30.3M, down 63.2% from Day 39's −$82.4M. 3 ETHA led at −$8.1M (off 90.6% from its −$86.1M Day 39 print). FETH flipped symmetrically: +$15.7M inflow on Day 39, exactly −$15.7M on Day 40. ETHE held at $0 for a second straight day. 4
The deceleration is real, but so is the divergence: ETF selling slowed while ETH's spot price dropped another 4.1% on the same day. Six-day cumulative (Days 38–40) stands at −$178.8M.
Day 41 (Jun 25) data is not yet generated — normal for same-day reporting.
Collections — floor prices as of Jun 25, 10:00 AM ET
統計カードを読み込んでいます…
BAYC — floor 8.80 ETH (−2.6%), bid/floor ratio 0.921
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Floor | 8.80 ETH (−0.23 ETH / −2.6% 24h) |
| Top bid | 8.11 WETH (−0.09 WETH) |
| Bid/floor ratio | 0.921 (prior: 0.908) |
| 24h volume | 96.75 ETH |
| Listed | ~3.2% (~320 of 9,998) |
Four sales recorded: #9629 at 8.95 ETH (11-93 → CodesHunter), #4541 at 8.5999 ETH (Tritonwarmer → testtesttest1234), #5899 at 8.75 ETH (Tritonwarmer → pablodo), #7785 at 8.56 ETH (testtesttest1234 → captain_debug). 5 Tritonwarmer sold two pieces; testtesttest1234 flipped #4541 to captain_debug the same session. MachiBigBrother was inactive. 6
The bid/floor ratio improving to 0.921 from 0.908 while both metrics declined is the one constructive read here: bids are eroding slower than the floor, meaning committed buyers haven't broken yet. No forced selling visible in the transaction log.
CryptoPunks — floor 31.98 ETH (+1.6%), 69 ETH whale sale
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Floor | 31.98 ETH (+0.50 ETH / +1.6% 24h) |
| Top bid | N/A (OpenSea structural gap) |
| 24h volume | 99.48 ETH |
| Listed | ~10.9% (~1,090 of 9,994) |
Four sales: #8999 at 30.48 ETH, #4566 at 69.00 ETH (punksOTC2 → a3658a), #7056 at 31.00 ETH, and #2617. 7 8
Punks just posted their second consecutive session as the only ETH-denominated gainer in the cohort. The 69 ETH whale sale is above-floor by 2.2×, signaling that premium pieces are moving on organic conviction rather than floor-chasing. Listing rate at 10.9% is unchanged — no accumulation signal yet, but resilience through a $1,530 macro day is notable.
OpenSea does not provide collection-level bid data for CryptoPunks; bid/floor ratio is unavailable.
Pudgy Penguins — floor 4.50 ETH (−3%), sweeper absent Day 4
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Floor | 4.50 ETH (−0.14 ETH / −3.0% 24h) |
| Top bid | 4.38 WETH (−0.17 WETH) |
| Bid/floor ratio | 0.973 (prior: 0.981) |
| 24h volume | 49.76 ETH |
| Listed | ~2.5% (~222 of 8,888) |
Sales activity: #3593 at 4.43 ETH and #799 at 4.40 ETH, both from llllleeeee123; plus #1388 and #3678. 9 10
The 4.55–4.60 support band that held through June is now below the current floor. With the sweeper absent for a fourth consecutive session and llllleeeee123 actively selling, there is no identified buyer absorbing supply at this level. Next support watch: 4.30–4.40 ETH.
Azuki — floor 0.8333 ETH (−3.4%), Day 8 sub-0.87, volume +196%
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Floor | 0.8333 ETH (−0.0297 ETH / −3.4% 24h) |
| Top bid | 0.82 WETH |
| Bid/floor ratio | 0.984 |
| 24h volume | 18.58 ETH (prior: 6.28 ETH, +196%) |
| Listed | ~4.6% (~460 of 10,000) |
Sales: #5752 at 0.8688 ETH (Bromsloy → GuilleCollection) — above the floor, extending the above-floor buy pattern from Day 7 — plus #2333, #1710, and #4645. 11 12
Volume tripling while the floor continues to drop is the defining tension here. Day 8 below 0.87 ETH with 18.58 ETH in turnover and a tight bid/floor gap of 0.984 suggests price discovery is active — buyers are engaging, just not at prior support levels. Whether 0.83–0.87 ETH holds as the new range or becomes a distribution band depends on whether volume sustains without a floor bounce.
Doodles — floor 0.4688 ETH (+1.9%), ae778d absorbs ogzgzynftholder
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Floor | 0.4688 ETH (+0.0178 ETH / +1.9% 24h) |
| Top bid | 0.458 WETH (+0.016 WETH) |
| Bid/floor ratio | 0.977 |
| 24h volume | 6.66 ETH |
| Listed | ~2.4% (~240 of 9,998) |
Four sales, all from ogzgzynftholder to ae778d: #2234 and #244 both at 0.491 ETH, plus #3632 and #2064. 13 14 ogzgzynftholder has now sold at least 9 pieces from a position built in prior sessions; ae778d has been the absorbing counterparty across this window.
The floor rising 1.9% while a single seller unloads 4+ pieces into a 6.66 ETH volume session is a structural positive: the bid stack at 0.45–0.47 ETH is holding, and bid improvement from 0.442 to 0.458 WETH suggests buyers aren't stepping back despite macro pressure.
PENGU — 5th straight session negative, −5.71%
PENGU closed at $0.00568, down 5.71% in 24 hours. 15 From the prior session's $0.00603, that is an additional 5.8% decline. Five consecutive sessions without a bounce, down roughly 17% over the streak. No catalyst has emerged.
Session read
CryptoPunks is now the only collection posting ETH-denominated gains two sessions running into a macro drawdown — a signal worth tracking if it continues a third day. Everything else is responding to ETH's move in the expected direction: BAYC bid/floor holding above 0.92 is the one constructive data point on the bear side, while Pudgy's loss of the 4.55–4.60 band with no sweeper in sight is the clearest structural deterioration in the cohort today.
Cover image: AI-generated
参考ソース
- 1Kraken — ETH/USD price chart
- 2Kraken — BTC/USD price chart
- 3Farside Investors — Ethereum ETF Daily Flow
- 4Farside Investors — ETH ETF All Data
- 5OpenSea — BAYC Activity
- 6OpenSea — BAYC Collection
- 7OpenSea — CryptoPunks Activity
- 8OpenSea — CryptoPunks Collection
- 9OpenSea — Pudgy Penguins Activity
- 10OpenSea — Pudgy Penguins Collection
- 11OpenSea — Azuki Activity
- 12OpenSea — Azuki Collection
- 13OpenSea — Doodles Activity
- 14OpenSea — Doodles Collection
- 15CoinGecko — Pudgy Penguins (PENGU)
このコンテンツについて、さらに観点や背景を補足しましょう。