N-1 Starfighter leads Jun 14 radar — deepest discount in the pool

N-1 Starfighter leads Jun 14 radar — deepest discount in the pool

LEGO Star Wars 75325 The Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter ($37.86, −36.9% vs. $59.99 MSRP) takes the Jun 14 lead as the deepest discount in the eligible pool — its 2 exclusive minifigs account for 61% of set value and retirement is estimated Jul 31, 2026. Co-lead 75333 Obi-Wan Kenobi's Jedi Starfighter ($22.88, −23.7%) offers the better forecast (+18.07% mid, 10.67pp tight band with a positive floor) and the highest liquidity (1,568 total sales). A "how to choose" section with a comparison chart walks through the discount / forecast / liquidity tradeoff between the two. Two stale sets (42161 Huracán Tecnica 80d, 10359 Fountain Garden 49d) are on the sideboard. Pipeline preview flags tomorrow's Audi RS Q e-tron cooldown lift at +42.92% — the highest forecast mid in the entire tracked pool. Platforms logged their 37th consecutive zero-listing run.

Vintage LEGO Marketplace Radar
2026/6/14 · 23:18
1 订阅 · 33 内容
This is the Jun 14 edition, covering the 24-hour window from Jun 13 15:22 ET to Jun 14 15:00 ET. Two cooldowns lifted today, returning both Star Wars vehicles to the eligible pool. BrickRanker logs the 37th consecutive zero-listing run across all monitored secondary-market platforms — eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, and BrickLink remain dry. BrickRanker secondary-market sold-price averages are the sole price reference for this edition.

Quick-scan summary

BrickRanker single-source. All prices USD. BR avg = BrickRanker 6-month rolling average sold price. Data current as of Jun 14, 2026 refresh.
RankSetThemeMSRPBR avgvs. MSRP2-yr forecastTotal salesData age
#1 Lead75325 The Mandalorian's N-1 StarfighterStar Wars$59.99$37.86−36.9%−2.49% to +31.85% (mid +14.98%)553Jun 26 ✅
#2 Co-lead75333 Obi-Wan Kenobi's Jedi StarfighterStar Wars$29.99$22.88−23.7%+12.18% to +22.85% (mid +18.07%)1,568Jun 26 ✅
Sideboard ⚠️42161 Lamborghini Huracán TecnicaTechnic$49.99$38.04−23.9%+26.24% to +49.06% (mid +38.89%)23Mar 26 — 80d stale
Sideboard ⚠️10359 Fountain GardenIcons$99.99$68.33−31.7%+9.61% to +41.67% (mid +29.04%)26Apr 26 — 49d stale
Sources: 1 2 3 4
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#1 — 75325 The Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter

Set 75325-1 | LEGO Star Wars | 412 pieces | 4 minifigures (2 exclusive) | MSRP $59.99 | Estimated retirement Jul 31, 2026
BrickRanker's 6-month rolling average is $37.86−36.9% below MSRP, the deepest discount in today's eligible pool. The run-over-run change is −$0.13 (from $37.99 in the Jun 13 session), well within the sub-$0.50 noise band that has defined eight consecutive ultra-stable sessions. 1
The 2-year post-retirement forecast runs from −2.49% (low) to +31.85% (high), mid +14.98%. The 34.34 percentage-point spread is the widest of the two active sets today, which matters: a wide band means the model has meaningful uncertainty about where secondary prices land post-retirement. The low end at −2.49% is a genuine bear case — buying here doesn't guarantee appreciation. That said, the −36.9% entry discount gives buyers real downside cushion before the low-end forecast becomes relevant. 1
The minifig math. Four figures total, two exclusive to this set. Peli Motto (sw1210) is the highest-value minifig at $7.35; The Mandalorian in Silver Beskar Armor (sw1209) adds $6.13. BD-72 droid ($6.35) and Grogu ($3.34) round out the pack. Combined minifig value is $23.17 — roughly 61% of the $37.86 set price. For buyers primarily interested in the ship model itself, that percentage signals strong minifig-driven pricing. For collectors who want the exclusive characters, the per-fig cost at current pricing is lower than buying them separately on the aftermarket. 1
One timing note: June 2026 has logged only 2 sales in the BrickRanker monthly data. For a set with 553 total lifetime sales, 2 in a month is thin — the market may be in a pre-retirement lull, or simply quiet while the set remains at retail. Neither is alarming at this stage, but cross-checking BrickLink's Price Guide for recent sold listings before purchasing is a reasonable step.
Authentication notes for 75325. (a) The N-1's curved canopy section uses a distinctive trans-clear piece — check listing photos for yellowing, which is more common in light-bluish-gray parts stored in direct sunlight. (b) Peli Motto (sw1210) has a specific hair-and-hat assembly; verify the hair piece is present and the torso print is clean — this is the highest-value fig and most likely to be cherry-picked from incomplete sets. (c) The metallic silver elements on the engine nacelles should have a consistent sheen with no mold seam; cheap counterfeit versions use standard silver ABS with visible seams at the join. (d) Sealed copies should carry the LEGO serial number on the poly bag heat seal — verify under a light source that the text is unsmeared.

#2 — 75333 Obi-Wan Kenobi's Jedi Starfighter

Set 75333-1 | LEGO Star Wars | 282 pieces | 3 minifigures (all exclusive) | MSRP $29.99 | Estimated retirement Jul 31, 2026
BrickRanker's 6-month rolling average is $22.88−23.7% below MSRP. The run-over-run change is −$0.08, noise-level drift. At $22.88, this is the lowest absolute entry price in today's pool. 2
The forecast is where this set separates from the lead. The 2-year range is +12.18% to +22.85%, mid +18.07% — the better mid of the two active sets today, and a band of only 10.67 percentage points. Compare that to the N-1's 34.34pp spread: a tighter band means the model is more confident in its projection. Every percentage point in that band overlaps with upside; the floor at +12.18% is a positive number. 2
LEGO Star Wars 75333 Obi-Wan Kenobi's Jedi Starfighter product box, showing the white and red Delta-7 starfighter with three exclusive minifigures including Obi-Wan Kenobi and Taun We against a stormy sky backdrop
LEGO Star Wars 75333 Obi-Wan Kenobi's Jedi Starfighter, 282 pieces, 3 exclusive minifigures. 2
All three minifigs are exclusive to this set. Taun We (sw1216), the Kaminoan cloner from Attack of the Clones, contributes $7.35 and alone accounts for 32% of the $22.88 set price. Obi-Wan Kenobi (sw1220) adds $5.35, and astromech droid R4-P17 (sw1221) — Obi-Wan's blue-and-red companion droid — adds $4.01. Combined minifig value is $16.71, or 73% of the set price. That's an even more minifig-concentrated value story than the N-1. The ship itself at current pricing essentially comes free once you account for the minifigs. 2
Liquidity is the clearest differentiator: 1,568 total recorded sales (June 2022 to June 2026) vs. the N-1's 553. June 2026 specifically logged 12 sales for 75333 — meaningful activity for a set at this price point. Higher liquidity cuts both ways: easier to exit if needed, but also means the set has more thoroughly priced-in its expected post-retirement premium already.
Authentication notes for 75333. (a) Taun We (sw1216) has the distinctive long-neck Kaminoan mold — verify the neck attachment is intact and the face printing is clean. A warped or poorly attached neck is a signal of non-authentic assembly. (b) Astromech R4-P17 (sw1221) has a silver-band printing around the dome that tends to wear or smear on handled copies — check it carefully in listing photos. (c) The set's white-and-dark-red color scheme shows discoloration readily; inspect the white hull pieces for yellowing. (d) All three minifigs are exclusive to this set, so single-fig sales at above-average prices on BrickLink are a useful cross-check against the set's listed price.

How to choose between the two

Both sets share the same estimated retirement date (Jul 31, 2026) and the same source quality (fresh BrickRanker data, high confidence). The decision reduces to three variables:
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Sources: 1 2
  • Buy for the discount: 75325 N-1 Starfighter. Entry is $15.01 below MSRP and the deepest discount currently available in the tracked pool. More pieces (412 vs. 282), more IP recognition in The Mandalorian and Book of Boba Fett fandom. Trade-off: wider forecast uncertainty and lower monthly sales recently.
  • Buy for the forecast: 75333 Obi-Wan Starfighter. Better mid (+18.07% vs. +14.98%) with a much tighter band (10.67pp vs. 34.34pp). Positive forecast floor — the model doesn't envision a depreciation scenario for 75333 the way it does for 75325 (−2.49% low). Lower absolute price also means easier position sizing.
  • Buy for liquidity: 75333 again. 1,568 vs. 553 lifetime sales; 12 vs. 2 June 2026 sales. Faster exit if conditions change.
Buying both is a reasonable hedge: the combined outlay is $60.74, which is below the MSRP of the N-1 alone.

Sideboard: two stale sets (data unreliable — do not use as primary picks)

42161 Lamborghini Huracán Tecnica (Technic, 806 pieces, MSRP $49.99) shows a BR 6-month average of $38.04 — but this figure is 80 days stale, last updated March 26. No April, May, or June 2026 data exists for this set. The −$0.13 change from last run is rolling-window drift, not a real price move. At 23 total lifetime sales, this set has the lowest liquidity in the tracked pool; BrickRanker likely hasn't refreshed because there hasn't been enough transaction volume. The 90-day delisting threshold falls on June 26 — if no new BR data appears by then, this set exits active tracking. The forecast mid of +38.89% is the highest in the entire sideboard, but it rests on stale data from a low-liquidity set. Cross-reference eBay sold listings before acting. 3
10359 Fountain Garden (Icons, 1,302 pieces, MSRP $99.99) shows a BR 6-month average of $68.33 — stale 49 days, last updated April 26. The −$0.22 change is the same rolling-window phenomenon. 26 total sales across 16 months (roughly 1.6 per month) is genuine low liquidity; the wide forecast range (+9.61% to +41.67%, a 32.06pp spread) reflects the model's uncertainty when operating on sparse data. Not approaching critical threshold yet, but treat the $68.33 figure as an orientation point rather than a reliable market price. 4

Session notes

8th consecutive ultra-stable run. Across all 15+ tracked sets, the largest price movement in today's full refresh was −$0.22 (Fountain Garden's rolling-window drift — no new data). Every set with fresh data registered sub-$0.50 drift. The secondary market for these retiring sets has been essentially locked for eight runs. With an estimated Jul 31, 2026 retirement roughly seven weeks out for both active picks today, prices have not yet begun reflecting pre-retirement scarcity pressure. 1
Platform scanner: 37th consecutive zero. eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, and BrickLink returned zero confirmed new listings for retired sealed LEGO sets in the 24-hour window ending Jun 14, 15:00 ET. The pattern has been consistent since the channel's tracking began; BrickRanker historical sold-price averages remain the only actionable price reference.

Pipeline preview: Jun 15

Tomorrow's session brings the two highest-profile sets in the near-term cooldown queue.
SetMSRPBR avgDiscount2-yr forecastTotal salesEligible
42160 Audi RS Q e-tron$179.99$128.39−28.7%+32.49% to +60.22% (mid +42.92%)54Jun 15
42143 Ferrari Daytona SP3$449.99$334.43−25.7%+1.68% to +40.10% (mid +28.70%)321Jun 15
Sources: 5 6
The Audi RS Q e-tron (42160) carries a forecast mid of +42.92% — the highest of any set in the entire tracked pool. At $128.39, it's a meaningful absolute outlay, but the forecast band (27.73pp) is reasonably tight for a set at this price point, and the floor sits at +32.49%. The set last appeared as lead on Jun 8 and Jun 1 before entering cooldown. If that pattern holds, tomorrow's session will confirm whether the data has held. 5
The Ferrari Daytona SP3 (42143) is the most expensive set in the tracked pool at $334.43 and the highest piece count (3,778 pieces). The forecast mid at +28.70% is solid, but the 38.42pp band is the widest of any active set. For buyers sizing up the $334 outlay, the uncertainty range is wider here than for the Audi. 6

Price data: BrickRanker 6-month rolling averages, fetched Jun 14, 2026 (24-hour window ending ~15:00 ET). All figures USD. BrickRanker is the sole price source for this edition. Figures reflect secondary-market sold-price averages, not current live buy prices. Retirement dates are BrickRanker estimates subject to change. 42161 Huracán Tecnica data is 80 days stale (last updated Mar 26) — treat as unreliable. 10359 Fountain Garden data is 49 days stale (last updated Apr 26) — treat as orientation only. Verify all listings independently before purchasing.
Cover image: LEGO Star Wars 75325 The Mandalorian's N-1 Starfighter product image from BrickRanker. 1

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