Floors confirmed: 5 deals (June 11)

Every price from yesterday held today — not one of the 29 items this watchlist tracks moved a single dollar. That matters more than it sounds. A flash crash reverses within 24 hours. A multi-day floor is a market statement: the used-gear ecosystem has repriced, and buyers who waited one more day just confirmed the window is real, not a glitch.

The biggest news is the Nikon Z 24-70mm f/4 S. It crashed $115 yesterday and held that crash today — Day 2 confirmed, making it the freshest all-time low (ATL) in the current tracking cycle. The Sony A7 IV's $280 drop is also now a two-day floor. Three FE lenses are in their third to fifth consecutive ATL day. The Fujifilm XF 50/2 WR is in its third straight session at $244. Five items, five held floors, all confirmed as of June 10 live pricing.

System weather: Sony E-mount still leads by depth of discount, but Nikon Z has the most recent price movement. Sony's FE 24/1.4 GM at $399 is 72% off its $1,398 MSRP — the largest percentage gap in this watchlist. Nikon's Z 24-70/4 S at $309 fell 27% in a single day and that floor is now locked. Fujifilm's XF 50/2 WR at $244 is the cheapest it has ever been. Canon EF L-glass remains the most interesting system by breadth — 14+ lenses under $500 — but MPB's Canon EF pages stayed Cloudflare-blocked today; no individual Canon EF prices can be verified for today's run.

Yesterday this lens was $424. Today it's $309. 1 That's a -$115 drop (-27.1%) that has now survived its second consecutive session — eliminating the flash-crash scenario. The price range runs $309–$489 with 10+ units available. MPB's direct product page was Cloudflare-blocked both days, so the $309 floor was cross-referenced against four independent MPB product pages (Z7 II, Z 28/2.8, Z6 III, Z5), all of which consistently returned "from $309–$489" in their related-gear metadata. 2

The Z 24-70/4 S (Nikon's standard zoom for the Z-mount system, MSRP ~$596) is the kit lens equivalent for Z6 and Z7-series bodies — if you're shooting a Z7 II or Z6 III, this is the sensible first zoom. The previous MPB floor sat at $424 for an extended stretch; $309 is uncharted territory for this lens on the used market.

Grade at $309 is unconfirmed — the blocked product page means individual unit listings aren't visible. At a $180 spread between $309 and the $489 ceiling, the floor unit is almost certainly a lower cosmetic grade (Well Used or Good). MPB's Well Used grade means fully functional, with visible wear. No documented defects or recall events exist for the Z 24-70/4 S.

6-month price range: $309–$489 (MPB). The $309 is the new all-time low; prior floor was $424. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy — but verify grade and optics. At $309, this is the cheapest gateway into Nikon Z's standard zoom range the tracking window has ever seen. The two-day hold eliminates the "pricing error" explanation. Before committing, check for delamination or haze on the front zoom element (a known failure mode on lenses stored in humidity), and confirm autofocus operates on the body you plan to pair it with.

Pair with: Nikon Z5 at $694 (18 units, Day 2 floor). 4 Full-frame Z body plus standard zoom for $1,003 combined — that's a complete system under $1,100, both at confirmed multi-day floors.

The A7 IV (Sony's 33MP full-frame workhorse, MSRP $2,498, rated 200,000-actuation shutter lifespan) has held $1,399 for two consecutive days after crashing from $1,679 on June 9. 5 That's $280 below where it sat for weeks — a 16.7% repricing that has now survived a full 48-hour test. MPB shows 187 units available, price range $1,399–$1,899.

The visible listings (sorted high-to-low) show Like New copies at $1,869–$1,899 with shutter counts between 929 and 6,100 actuations. The $1,399 floor unit sits deeper in the 187-unit stack, likely a Well Used grade copy with higher actuation counts — grade is not confirmed from today's data. For context: a body rated at 200,000 actuations with 50,000 on the clock has used 25% of its rated shutter lifespan. At 187 units, there's enough supply to compare options rather than grabbing the first result.

6-month price range: $1,399 is the new floor; prior floor was $1,679–$1,689, held for multiple weeks. Shutter count: not disclosed at floor tier; Like New units run 929–6,100 actuations. Known red flags: none. The A7 IV has no documented recall batches or serial-range defects.

Verdict: Buy — shop the listing depth, not just the floor price. 187 units gives you options. The Like New copies at $1,869–$1,899 with sub-10K counts are worth the $150–$200 premium over the unconfirmed floor unit if you want a disclosed shutter count and confirmed cosmetic grade. Both tiers are at prices not seen in this tracking window before June 9.

Pair with: Sony FE 50mm f/1.8 at $117 (110 units, multi-day ATL). 6 A full-frame body plus native 50mm prime for $1,516 combined. Or pick up the FE 24/1.4 GM below for a serious two-body/two-lens build.

Day 3. The FE 24/1.4 GM (Sony's G Master ultra-wide prime, MSRP $1,398) has held $399 for three consecutive sessions, with 25 units available at a $399–$879 spread. 7 No GM prime in this watchlist has ever hit an ATL and held it for three days before. The floor unit isn't in the top 8 visible listings (sorted high-to-low), placing it at a lower cosmetic grade — likely Well Used.

At 72% off MSRP, the price-to-specs gap on this lens is exceptional. G Master is Sony's top prime tier: the FE 24/1.4 GM uses XA (extreme aspherical) elements, Nano AR coating, and a 72mm front filter thread. Cosmetic wear on a lens this size mostly accumulates on the focus ring and barrel — the optical elements and autofocus motor tend to age better than the exterior.

6-month price range: $399 is the first-ever ATL; Excellent-grade units start at $854. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Grade at $399: unconfirmed, likely Well Used. Check front and rear elements for cleaning marks or coating haze. Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy — inspect glass condition. Three-day hold with 25 units still available is a confirmed window, not a flash. G Master glass at $399 represents a legitimate entry into Sony's professional prime tier. The cosmetic grade is secondary to optical and AF condition.

Pair with: Sony A7 IV at $1,399 (Pick 2 above) or the FE 85/1.8 at $149 (Pick 4 below) for a 24/85 two-prime E-mount kit at $548 combined.

Day 5 — the longest-running ATL in the current watchlist. The FE 85/1.8 (Sony's full-frame portrait prime, MSRP $598) has held $149 through five consecutive sessions, with inventory growing to 46 units as of today. 8 That restock — the unit count was in the single digits earlier in the run — is notable: MPB is receiving trade-ins at the same floor price, which signals systematic repricing rather than a single clearance unit.

The visible listings (sorted high-to-low) show Excellent-grade units at $364–$374. The $149 floor units are not visible in the top tier, placing them at Well Used or lower. MPB's Well Used grade means fully functional with visible cosmetic wear. Grade at $149 is not confirmed from today's data — prior sessions showed Well Used copies at floor.

6-month price range: $149–$374 on MPB. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Grade at $149: unconfirmed, likely Well Used based on listing position. Known red flags: none. The FE 85/1.8 has no documented production defects and is the sharpest non-GM Sony portrait prime in the used market at this price tier.

Verdict: Buy. Five days at ATL with a restock rather than attrition is the strongest multi-session signal this format produces. At $149 for a fast portrait prime on full-frame E-mount, a functional copy with clean glass is worth buying even at Well Used grade.

Pair with: Sony FE 24-105mm f/4 G OSS at $444 (66 units, Day 5 ATL). 10 Portrait prime plus travel zoom for $593 on Sony full-frame.

Day 3. The XF 50/2 R WR (Fujifilm's weather-resistant 50mm f/2 for X-mount, roughly equivalent to 76mm full-frame view, MSRP $449) has held $244 for three consecutive sessions with 10+ units available. 11 The previous ATL for this lens was $269 — it held that floor for just one day before breaking. The $244 floor has now tripled that duration.

Worth noting on the WR (weather resistant) designation: a Good-grade WR lens that has been used in rain is a different animal from a Good-grade non-WR lens that got dinged in a bag. Fujifilm's WR sealing holds up well in the used market, but inspection of the rubber gaskets around the mount and focus ring is worthwhile on lower-grade copies. Price range runs $244–$419.

The sibling XF 35mm f/2 R WR has held $249 for eight consecutive sessions — it's the same WR prime lineup, one focal length shorter. Both at all-time lows simultaneously is unusual.

6-month price range: $244–$419 on MPB. The $244 is the first-ever ATL for this lens. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Grade: Good through Like New across available units; floor unit likely Good or Excellent. Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy. Day 3 of a never-seen-before floor on a weather-sealed prime. At $244, X-mount shooters get a short-telephoto portrait lens with WR sealing at its cheapest recorded price.

Pair with: Fujifilm XF 35mm f/2 R WR at $249 (10+ units, Day 8 ATL). 13 A matched WR two-prime kit — 53mm-equivalent normal plus 76mm-equivalent short-tele — for $493 combined, both at all-time lows simultaneously.

One to watch: Panasonic S5 II at $1,419 is now Day 14 of an unchanged floor — the longest consecutive price hold in this watchlist's tracking history. 14 At 14 days without movement, $1,419 is the market's established price for a used S5 II, not a closing window. The S5 II (Panasonic's full-frame L-mount hybrid, MSRP $1,997) has genuinely settled at this level. Buy it if you want it — the urgency framing doesn't apply here.