Hard screening metrics — AG (TTM through March 31, 2026)
All four hard filters pass. Revenue growth is heavily price-driven; PEG is single-source (Finviz only).

First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE: AG) is Pass #21 — all four hard filters cleared. Market cap $8.31B, TTM revenue +113.29%, PEG 0.55 (Finviz single-source), OCF $707M positive. The core finding: this growth is almost entirely silver-price-driven (+161% realized price YoY) rather than volume growth (-4% production). Balance sheet is the cleanest in the series (net cash $826.76M, Altman Z-Score 3.36, Debt/EBITDA 0.39×). Six analysts average a $26.88 target (+59% upside). Key catalysts: Jerritt Canyon gold mine restart, Santo Niño discovery, sixth consecutive silver market deficit. Key risks: commodity-price sensitivity (Beta 2.07), 100% Mexico production concentration, CEO insider selling, and Gatos merger dilution (+47% shares).

| Filter | Threshold | Reported value | Source(s) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | < $10B | $8.31B (SA) / $8.35B (Finviz) | StockAnalysis, Finviz | ✅ Pass |
| TTM revenue growth | > 30% | +113.29% | StockAnalysis | ✅ Pass ⚠️ |
| PEG ratio | < 1.0 | 0.55 (Finviz only; SA: n/a) | Finviz; manual: ~0.52 | ✅ Pass ⚠️ |
| Operating cash flow | Positive | $707.06M TTM | StockAnalysis | ✅ Pass |
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY growth | EPS (Basic) | Adj. EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $243.9M | +130.1% | $0.01 | n/a |
| Q2 2025 | $264.2M | +94.1% | $0.11 | n/a |
| Q3 2025 | $285.1M | +95.1% | $0.06 | n/a |
| Q4 2025 | $463.9M | +169.2% | $0.17 | $0.30 |
| Q1 2026 | $476.7M | +95.4% | $0.26 | $0.31 |
| Input | Value | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 28.83× | StockAnalysis (27.04× per iTick) |
| Forward P/E | 15.81× | StockAnalysis (16.05× per Finviz) |
| EPS 5-year growth estimate | 28.97% | Finviz analyst estimate |
| EPS 3-year growth rate | 30.33% | StockAnalysis |
| PEG (Finviz method) | 0.55 | Forward P/E ~16.05 ÷ 28.97% |
| Manual check (forward / 3Y growth) | ~0.52 | 15.81 ÷ 30.33% |
| FY2026E EPS consensus | $1.06 | +130% from FY2025 $0.46 adjusted |
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | $984.84M | +$191.4M QoQ, record level |
| Restricted cash | $143.8M | — |
| Total treasury | $1,128.6M | Company historical high |
| Total debt | $314.04M | Long-term $243.6M + short-term $53.8M + leases $16.7M |
| Net cash (excl. restricted) | $670.79M | — |
| Net cash (incl. restricted) | $826.76M ($1.67/share) | StockAnalysis aggregated |
| Current ratio | 2.73 | $1,331M current assets / $488M current liabilities |
| Debt / equity | 0.09× | Very low leverage |
| Debt / EBITDA | 0.39× | — |
| Interest coverage | 27.11× | Ample |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.36 | Above 3.0 safe zone |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 | Above median |
| Risk | Severity | Impact path |
|---|---|---|
| Silver price reversion | 🔴 High | Q1 2026 realized price was $86.35/oz; silver is at $66.85 today and was $35 in early 2025. Revenue scales nearly 1:1 with the realized price. A return to $40/oz would cut revenues by ~54% from Q1 pace. |
| Mexico jurisdiction | 🔴 High | All four producing mines are in Mexico. Benzinga reported in February 2026 on cartel activity threatening Mexican silver mines. Mexican peso strengthened 14% vs. USD YoY in Q1 2026, raising reported AISC. Regulatory change risk is real in a resource-nationalist political environment. |
| Share dilution from Gatos merger | 🟡 Medium | Shares outstanding increased +47.15% YoY to 493.77M through the all-stock Gatos acquisition in January 2025. Per-share metrics are permanently diluted by roughly one-third relative to pre-merger. |
| CEO insider selling | 🟡 Medium | CEO Keith Neumeyer sold approximately 212,500 shares for ~$4.3M+ in January–February 2026. Multiple other insiders (Parmar, Polman, Deal) also sold in early 2026. Minor insider buying in the $3,000–$20,000 range is present but does not offset the dollar value of sales. Insider ownership sits at 1.14% — low for a founder-led mining company. |
| Cost inflation — AISC rising | 🟡 Medium | All-in sustaining cost per AgEq oz rose from $19.24 in Q1 2025 to $29.76 in Q1 2026. The increase reflects higher royalties (royalties scale with silver price), production bonuses, and the stronger MXN. The AISC margin of $52.24/oz in Q1 2026 looks wide, but if silver falls to $40/oz and AISC stays near $30/oz, the margin compresses to ~$10/oz — still positive but near the break-even sensitivity point for profitability. |
| Jerritt Canyon execution risk | 🟡 Medium | The restart is based on internal estimates, not a completed pre-feasibility study (Stantec's study is expected Q4 2026). Restarting a gold mine idle since March 2023 carries operational, environmental permitting, and workforce-ramp risks that are inherent to care-and-maintenance restarts. |
| High effective tax rate | 🟢 Low-medium | Effective tax rate of 41.97% — unusually high by mining-sector norms. $254.74M in income taxes were paid on a TTM basis. This is partly structural (Mexican royalties treated as taxes) and partly a function of the current high-income environment. |
| Firm | Analyst | Rating | Price target | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.C. Wainwright | Heiko Ihle | Buy | $30.75 | May 12, 2026 |
| BMO Capital Markets | Kevin O'Halloran | Buy | $25.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| National Bank | Alex Terentiew | Buy | $22.00 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| ATB Cormark | Richard Gray | Hold | $25.84 | May 13, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Eric Winmill | Hold | $23.00 | May 13, 2026 |
| TD Securities | — | Buy | — | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Catalyst | Expected timing | What to watch |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 earnings | Early August 2026 (est.) | Consensus: EPS $0.18, revenue $432M; silver was ~$70–$90/oz in Q2 vs. $86.35/oz realized in Q1 — sequential comparison matters |
| H2 2026 guidance update (Jerritt Canyon) | July 2026 | Revised capital budget for the restart; any delay or cost escalation is a headwind |
| Jerritt Canyon pre-feasibility study | Q4 2026 | Stantec completion; this is the first independent economic validation of the restart investment |
| Santa Elena mill expansion to 3,500 tpd | H2 2026 | Operational completion adds throughput and offsets the guided volume decline vs. FY2025 |
| Los Gatos throughput to 4,000 tpd | H2 2026 | Sustained rate; by-product zinc, lead, copper credits improve net silver costs |
| Silver spot price direction | Ongoing | 52-week range $35.20–$121.79 tells the whole story — the stock is a silver price proxy |
| Annual General Meeting results | Passed June 10, 2026 | All items passed; no governance overhang |
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