Gringotts leads May 26 radar as July wave hits 54
No secondary-market listings were confirmed for the 16th consecutive day. The main news hook: BrickRanker's retirement tracker expanded the July 31, 2026 wave from 45 to approximately 54 sets (+9 newly confirmed, including Acclamator-class Assault Ship, Home One, Jaws, and Disney Magic). Today's lead is 76417 Harry Potter Gringotts Wizarding Bank — Collectors' Edition, carrying a nuanced pricing story: the headline BR 6-month average of $393.53 (−8.5% vs. MSRP) is dragged down by heavy January–February volume, while the actual recent market sits near $720 (May 2026 average). Secondary picks: 76435 Hogwarts Great Hall (buy range $170–$195), 75337 AT-TE Walker (buy range $100–$115), 75345 501st Battle Pack (lowest-risk entry), and 10327 Dune Ornithopter (watch-list). Batmobile BR-to-PC spread widened to 17.9% — watch-and-wait unchanged.
No secondary-market listings were confirmed in the May 25–26 window — the 16th consecutive zero-listing run. The radar stays in value guidance mode. Today's main news: BrickRanker's (BrickRanker.com, a secondary-market average and forecast aggregator) retirement tracker added 9 sets to the July 31, 2026 wave, bringing the confirmed total from 45 to approximately 54. 1 Today's lead is 76417 Harry Potter Gringotts Wizarding Bank — Collectors' Edition, now carrying a pricing story more complicated than its headline discount suggests.
Quick-scan summary
New listings: 0. All entries are secondary-market buy-opportunity assessments based on May 26, 2026 BrickRanker data. Stale-data caveats noted where applicable.
| # | Set | MSRP | BR 6-mo avg | vs. MSRP | 2-yr forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 76417 HP Gringotts Collectors' Edition | $429.99 | $393.53 | −8.5% | +15.90% |
| 2 | 76435 HP Hogwarts: The Great Hall | $199.99 | $175.62 | −12.2% | +14.80% |
| 3 | 10327 Icons Dune Ornithopter | $164.99 | $99.01 | −40.0% | +31.47% |
| 4 | 75337 SW AT-TE Walker | $139.99 | $111.92 | −20.0% | +16.26% |
| 5 | 75345 SW 501st Clone Troopers Battle Pack | $19.99 | $15.31 | −23.4% | n/a |
| ⚠ | 76328 DC Classic TV Batmobile | $149.99 | $134.78 | −10.1% | +18.53% |
BR = BrickRanker 6-month rolling average. ⚠ on 76328 = BR-to-PriceCharting spread 17.9% — above 10% actionable threshold; watch-and-wait. All values as of May 26, 2026.
#1 — 76417 Harry Potter Gringotts Wizarding Bank — Collectors' Edition
Set 76417-1 | Harry Potter | 4,803 pieces | 13 minifigures (11 exclusive) | MSRP $429.99 | Released Aug 2023 | Retiring estimated Jul 31, 2026
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The BrickRanker 6-month rolling average for 76417 is $393.53, which at first reads as a mild −8.5% discount to the $429.99 MSRP. 2 The monthly sales breakdown tells a different story: the average has moved sharply through 2026 — $491.11 across 107 sales in January, $494.75 in February, $600.25 in March, $660.28 in April, and $720.30 across 4 sales in May so far. 2 The 6-month average is being held down by the large January–February volume at $490; recent buyers have been paying well above MSRP.
What this means for a prospective buyer: the "−8.5% below MSRP" figure reflects where the set averaged over six months, not where it is trading now. Anyone expecting to buy on the secondary market around $394 will find the current ask is closer to $720. The rational window here is retail — $429.99 at LEGO.com or authorized retailers while stock lasts, which at current retirement trajectory could close before July 31.
The 2-year post-retirement forecast is +15.90% (range +6.25% to +25.55%), implying a midpoint of roughly $500 in 2028. 2 That range starts to look thin once you factor in the opportunity cost of capital, especially for buyers already at the $429 retail price. The set's 11 exclusive minifigures (led by Death Eater Black Hood at an estimated $24.61 standalone value) do support collector demand, but the short-term momentum is driven by pre-retirement scarcity, not a sudden rerating of the minifigure lineup.
Buy guidance: at retail ($429.99), this is a fair buy for a collector who wants the set on display or is confident in the retirement timeline. On the secondary market at $720+, the post-retirement upside effectively vanishes — a buyer at that level needs the set to reach $830+ in two years to break even against the BrickRanker model's midpoint. Watch for any brief retail restocks — these occasionally appear on Amazon or shop.LEGO.com within 8–10 weeks of a confirmed retirement and can be the last opportunity at MSRP.
Authentication notes for 76417. Collectors' Edition sets in the Harry Potter line attract counterfeit production. Four specific checks:
- Holographic foil badge: the box includes a collectors' edition holographic badge on the front panel; counterfeit boxes use flat matte printing that shows no color-shift when tilted.
- LEGO logo on studs: every genuine LEGO stud carries a raised "LEGO" imprint; check accessible interior sections — fake bricks frequently leave studs blank.
- Goblin face printing: the goblin minifigures (Bogrod, Dragomir) have crisp pad-printed faces; knockoff versions show blurry print edges or color mismatch, especially around the eye detail.
- Dragon clutch power: the set includes a Ukrainian Ironbelly dragon build in dark tan and reddish-brown. Genuine LEGO parts have consistent clutch strength; counterfeit versions often use softer plastic that allows joints to sag or slip.
Secondary picks
Four sets offer cleaner data and stronger discount-to-MSRP ratios today. Three have July 31, 2026 retirement dates; one (75345) is a high-volume entry-level buy.
| # | Set | MSRP | BR avg | vs. MSRP | 2-yr forecast | Lifetime sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76435 HP Hogwarts: The Great Hall | $199.99 | $175.62 | −12.2% | +14.80% | 57 |
| 3 | 10327 Icons Dune Ornithopter | $164.99 | $99.01 | −40.0% | +31.47% | — |
| 4 | 75337 SW AT-TE Walker | $139.99 | $111.92 | −20.0% | +16.26% | — |
| 5 | 75345 SW 501st Clone Troopers Battle Pack | $19.99 | $15.31 | −23.4% | n/a | 2,864 |
76435 HP Hogwarts Castle: The Great Hall (Harry Potter, 1,732 pieces, 11 minifigures including 8 exclusive, MSRP $199.99): BrickRanker 6-month average $175.62, −12.2% below MSRP, 2-year forecast +14.80% (range +2.17% to +25.55%), retiring Jul 31, 2026. 3 Unlike Gringotts, recent monthly averages here are stable — May 2026 shows 9 sales at $232.82, April 3 sales at $225.55, January 10 sales at $240.10. The data is consistent and relatively thin (57 total sales), but the directional signal is clean: secondary market is running about 15–16% above the 6-month average. The Mountain Troll exclusive minifigure ($35.74 estimated standalone value, 20% of set value) is the collector anchor. Buy range: $170–$195 sealed. At retail ($199.99) this is a pass unless you want the set for display; at $170–$185 on secondary this is a reasonable pre-retirement buy.
10327 Icons Dune Atreides Royal Ornithopter (LEGO Icons, retiring Jul 31, 2026, MSRP $164.99): BrickRanker 6-month average $99.01, −40.0% below MSRP, 2-year forecast +31.47% (range +11.98% to +50.96%). 4 The deepest discount in today's cohort alongside the strongest 2-year forecast outside of PAC-MAN. The Dune licensed IP from the 2024 film adds a licensing scarcity floor; the set is in 7-day cooldown from a prior lead feature (May 28). Noted for watch-list reference rather than a new buy signal today.
75337 SW AT-TE Walker (Star Wars, retiring Jul 31, 2026, MSRP $139.99): BrickRanker 6-month average $111.92, −20.0% below MSRP, 2-year forecast +16.26%. 5 Steady secondary market, no source conflict. Buy range: $100–$115 sealed. The set's AT-TE six-legged walker design is one of the most recognizable non-ship vehicles in the Star Wars line, with no current-catalog equivalent at this price point.
75345 SW 501st Clone Troopers Battle Pack (Star Wars, retiring Jul 31, 2026, MSRP $19.99): BrickRanker 6-month average $15.31, −23.4% below MSRP, high-volume data base of 2,864 total sales — the most liquid set tracked today. 6 April 2026 saw 64 sales at $21.83; May so far shows 9 sales at $18.19. The 4 minifigures (3 exclusive to this set) account for 91% of total set value per BrickRanker's breakdown. No 2-year forecast available. At $15–$17 on secondary, this is the lowest-risk entry in today's radar. Buyers looking to buy multiple copies as battle pack-style resale candidates should act before retirement compresses supply.
Authentication note for 75345: the Clone Trooper helmet mold is the most commonly counterfeited part in Star Wars battle packs. Check for "LEGO" logo inside the helmet cavity — genuine helmets have it, fakes typically do not. Blue 501st shoulder markings should be sharp-edged; blurry or misaligned printing indicates a knockoff.
July 2026 wave expands to ~54 sets
BrickRanker's retirement tracker now shows approximately 54 sets flagged "Retiring soon" with a July 31, 2026 date — up from 45 when this radar began tracking the wave roughly two weeks ago. 1 Nine sets were newly added in the May 26 refresh:
- 75404 Acclamator-class Assault Ship (Star Wars)
- 75405 Home One Mon Calamari Star Cruiser (Star Wars)
- 10359 Fountain Garden (Icons)
- 10362 French Café (Icons)
- 21348 Dungeons & Dragons: Red Dragon's Tale (Ideas) — previously featured as lead May 21; currently in cooldown
- 21350 Jaws (Ideas)
- 21352 Disney Magic (Icons)
- 42164 Off-Road Race Buggy (Technic)
- 42167 Mack LR Electric Garbage Truck (Technic)
None of the original 45 sets were removed. 1 The total may be slightly higher than 54 — the exact count is an estimate based on a partial enumeration of the tracker page.
The Star Wars theme leads with 13 retiring sets, followed by Icons (10+), Technic (9+), Harry Potter (6+), Ideas (3+), Animal Crossing (3), Art (3), and Architecture (2). 1
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Batmobile spread update. The 76328 Batman: The Classic TV Series Batmobile BR-to-PriceCharting spread widened slightly today. BrickRanker 6-month average is $134.78 (−10.1% vs. MSRP $149.99); PriceCharting's (a collectibles price tracker aggregating completed eBay sales) Complete price holds at $114.35. 7 8 The spread is now 17.9%, up from 14.9% yesterday — further above the ≤10% threshold needed for a clear buy signal. Status: watch-and-wait unchanged.
Stale data alert. Two high-value retirement candidates have significant gaps in BrickRanker data:
- 42130 Technic BMW Motorrad M 1000 RR: last BrickRanker update Feb 26, 2026 (3 months). Current 6-month average $185.98, −25.6% vs. MSRP $249.99. 9 The figure may not reflect March–May market movement. Treat as directionally useful, not price-target reliable.
- 10307 Icons Eiffel Tower: last BrickRanker update Mar 26, 2026 (2 months). Current 6-month average $584.86, −7.2% vs. MSRP $629.99. 10 Same caveat applies. Given Gringotts' pre-retirement price jump from $491 to $720 across 5 months, Eiffel Tower's actual recent market price could differ substantially from the stale $584 figure.
Full July 2026 wave: May 26 values
| Set | MSRP | BR avg (May 26) | vs. MSRP | 2-yr forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10327 Icons Dune Ornithopter † | $164.99 | $99.01 | −40.0% | +31.47% |
| 75325 SW N-1 Starfighter † | $59.99 | $37.73 | −37.1% | +14.98% |
| 31213 Art Mona Lisa † | $99.99 | $63.20 | −36.8% | +28.71% |
| 75347 SW TIE Bomber | $64.99 | $41.14 | −36.7% | n/a |
| 75333 SW Obi-Wan Starfighter † | $29.99 | $22.17 | −26.1% | +18.07% |
| 42130 Technic BMW M 1000 RR 🔴 | $249.99 | $185.98 | −25.6% | +26.33% |
| 75345 SW 501st Battle Pack | $19.99 | $15.31 | −23.4% | n/a |
| 21058 Architecture Great Pyramid † | $129.99 | $100.63 | −22.6% | +29.97% |
| 31208 Art Hokusai Great Wave | $99.99 | $77.42 | −22.6% | +30.12% |
| 10302 Icons Optimus Prime † | $179.99 | $141.15 | −21.6% | +25.92% |
| 75337 SW AT-TE Walker | $139.99 | $111.92 | −20.0% | +16.26% |
| 21348 Ideas D&D Red Dragon's Tale † | $359.99 | $298.92 | −17.0% | +14.91% |
| 10323 Icons PAC-MAN Arcade † | $269.99 | n/a | — | +32.37% |
| 77092 Zelda Great Deku Tree | $299.99 | $256.38 | −14.5% | n/a |
| 76435 HP Hogwarts Great Hall | $199.99 | $175.62 | −12.2% | +14.80% |
| 60440 City Delivery Truck | $99.99 | $88.75 | −11.3% | +19.85% |
| 76328 DC Classic TV Batmobile ⚠ | $149.99 | $134.78 | −10.1% | +18.53% |
| 76417 HP Gringotts Collectors' Edition | $429.99 | $393.53 | −8.5% | +15.90% |
| 10307 Icons Eiffel Tower 🔴 | $629.99 | $584.86 | −7.2% | +28.69% |
| 75314 SW Bad Batch Attack Shuttle (retired) | $99.99 | $195.06 | +95.1% | — |
Bold = featured today. † = recently featured as lead; in cooldown. ⚠ = active BR-to-PriceCharting source conflict (spread 17.9%). 🔴 = price data stale (42130: last updated Feb 26; 10307: last updated Mar 26). 75345 forecast n/a; PAC-MAN avg not fetched this cycle. 75314 is already retired (Dec 2022) — listed for reference as a post-retirement appreciation benchmark. All values as of May 26, 2026.
Price data: BrickRanker 6-month rolling averages as of May 26, 2026; PriceCharting 30-day completed eBay sales for 76328 only. No secondary-market listings with verifiable 24-hour timestamps were confirmed in today's observation window across Mercari, eBay, Depop, and Vinted. Buy ranges are fair-value guidance based on available market data — not live listing prices. Verify listings independently before purchasing.
Cover image: AI-generated illustration — editorial composite.
参考来源
- 1Retirement Tracker — BrickRanker
- 2Gringotts Wizarding Bank — Collectors' Edition (76417-1) — BrickRanker
- 3Hogwarts Castle: The Great Hall (76435-1) — BrickRanker
- 4Dune Atreides Royal Ornithopter (10327-1) — BrickRanker
- 5AT-TE Walker (75337-1) — BrickRanker
- 6501st Clone Troopers Battle Pack (75345-1) — BrickRanker
- 7LEGO Batman: The Classic TV Series Batmobile (76328-1) — BrickRanker
- 8The Classic TV Series Batmobile #76328 LEGO Set Prices — PriceCharting
- 9BMW Motorrad M 1000 RR (42130-1) — BrickRanker
- 10Eiffel Tower (10307-1) — BrickRanker
- 11Bad Batch Attack Shuttle (75314-1) — BrickRanker
- 12Hokusai Great Wave (31208-1) — BrickRanker
- 13Great Pyramid of Giza (21058-1) — BrickRanker
- 14Great Deku Tree (77092-1) — BrickRanker
- 15TIE Bomber (75347-1) — BrickRanker
- 16N-1 Starfighter (75325-1) — BrickRanker
- 17Obi-Wan Jedi Starfighter (75333-1) — BrickRanker
- 18Mona Lisa (31213-1) — BrickRanker
- 19Optimus Prime (10302-1) — BrickRanker
- 20D&D Red Dragon's Tale (21348-1) — BrickRanker
- 21City Delivery Truck (60440-1) — BrickRanker
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