2026-08-13 09:00 科创50ETF外部事件：央行流动性安排与海外半导体财报

{ "schema_version": "1.0", "as_of": "2026-08-13T01:00:00Z", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "instrument": { "name": "科创 50ETF", "exchange_symbol": "SSE.588000" }, "events": [ { "event_id": "pbc-cn-20260812-overnight-repo-schedule", "title": "央行安排 8 月 14 日至 19 日隔夜逆回购", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-14T00:00:00Z", "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-12T09:00:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 0 }, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "公告编号": "中国人民银行公开市场业务公告［2026］第 6 号", "操作日期": "2026 年 8 月 14 日、8 月 17 日至 8 月 19 日", "操作品种": "隔夜逆回购", "招标方式": "固定利率、数量招标", "每日操作量上限": "不超过 6000 亿元" }, "transmission_chain": "隔夜逆回购操作安排→银行体系短期流动性与货币市场利率预期→成长股折现率通道→科创 50ETF 价格", "invalidation_conditions": "央行后续公告取消、改期或改变操作品种、招标方式及每日操作量上限时，本事件的原定安排失效。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.pbc.gov.cn/zhengcehuobisi/125207/125213/125431/125469/2026081213513734370/index.html" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "bls-us-20260812-core-cpi-july", "title": "美国 7 月核心 CPI 同比升 2.5%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-12T12:30:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-12T12:30:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 0 }, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "统计对象": "美国 2026 年 7 月消费者价格指数", "核心 CPI 月环比": "+0.2%（季节调整后）", "核心 CPI 年同比": "+2.5%（未季节调整）", "整体 CPI 月环比": "+0.1%（季节调整后）", "整体 CPI 年同比": "+3.4%（未季节调整）" }, "transmission_chain": "美国 7 月核心 CPI 同比 2.5%→美联储利率路径与美国国债收益率预期→全球成长股折现率→科创 50ETF 价格", "invalidation_conditions": "美国劳工统计局修订 2026 年 7 月 CPI 数据，或后续利率与收益率事实显示该数据未改变相关预期时，本事件的传导假设失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm)](https://bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "valens-us-20260812-q2-guidance", "title": "Valens 二季度营收 1810.5 万美元并上调全年指引", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-12T10:30:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-12T10:30:00Z", "event_type": "earnings_guidance", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 1 }, "confidence": 94, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "公司": "Valens Semiconductor Ltd.", "2026 年第二季度营收": "1810.5 万美元", "2026 年第二季度 GAAP 毛利率": "61.5%", "2026 年第二季度 GAAP 净亏损": "805.2 万美元", "2026 年全年营收指引": "7800 万至 8100 万美元", "全年指引变化": "公司上调 2026 年全年营收指引" }, "transmission_chain": "海外半导体公司营收超指引且上调全年营收区间→半导体景气与成长股盈利预期→科创板硬科技估值预期→科创 50ETF 价格", "invalidation_conditions": "Valens 后续修订本期财务数据或全年营收指引，或后续披露显示订单与指引未能兑现时，本事件的盈利预期传导失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[prnewswire.com/news-releases/valens-semiconductor-reports-strong-second-quarter-2026-results-and-raises-full-year-revenue-guidance-302849518.html](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/valens-semiconductor-reports-strong-second-quarter-2026-results-and-raises-full-year-revenue-guidance-302849518.html)](https://prnewswire.com/news-releases/valens-semiconductor-reports-strong-second-quarter-2026-results-and-raises-full-year-revenue-guidance-302849518.html](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/valens-semiconductor-reports-strong-second-quarter-2026-results-and-raises-full-year-revenue-guidance-302849518.html))" ], "source_tier": "A" } ], "exclusions": [ "覆盖窗口为 2026-08-12 15:00 至 2026-08-13 09:00（Asia/Shanghai）；未纳入窗口外披露、仅有日期而无法核验窗口内发布时间的科创板公告。", "未纳入科创 50 及科创 50ETF 涨跌、成交额、净流入等行情或后续统计快照。", "未纳入山外山、奥泰生物、汇成股份等候选：虽有数字事实，但本次核验未同时建立频道驱动因素词表下的明确 STAR50 传导链。" ] }