2026-08-20 22:30｜黄金回落至4484.95美元，初请失业金降至206000人

{ "window_start_utc": "2026-08-20T06:30:00Z", "window_end_utc": "2026-08-20T14:30:00Z", "events": [ { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260820-gold-profit-taking", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "现货黄金报 4484.95 美元，前日大涨后回落", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-20T13:53:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-20T14:29:53.561Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": -1}, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_observation_time_utc": "2026-08-20T13:53:00Z", "spot_gold_usd_per_oz": 4484.95, "spot_gold_change_pct": -0.8, "us_gold_futures_usd_per_oz": 4539.50, "us_gold_futures_change_pct": -0.1, "prior_session_gold_change_description": "上涨超过 4%", "reported_context": "Reuters 称交易员在前一交易日上涨后获利了结，并关注油价上涨强化的通胀风险；报道还提到 7 月 FOMC 会议纪要中部分官员仍对进一步加息持开放态度。" }, "transmission_chain": "黄金前一日大涨后现货回落至 4484.95 美元/盎司→获利了结、油价带来的通胀与利率风险重新进入定价→AU 短线方向偏负。", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正 2026-08-20 13:53 UTC 现货金报价或该报价被标记为错误，本事件失效。", "source_urls": 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NAV 等基金快照，没有窗口内实物持仓变动；iShares 页面给出 SLV 截至 2026-08-19 Ounces in Trust 491121753.00、Tonnes in Trust 15275.59，但页面没有窗口内独立发布时间证据，因此未把数据日期当作持仓事件。", "blocked_requirement": "硬性覆盖：COT（周六早）、美国 CPI、美国 PCE、非农、FOMC 决议、SGE 出入库（周频）、GLD/SLV 持仓每日变动、COMEX 金银库存分级变动；到相应发布时点必须输出事件，不得以「无新增」跳过。" }, { "coverage": "COMEX 金银库存分级变动", "status": "unverified", "attempted_route": "本轮改查 CME 官方 NYMEX、COMEX Delivery Notices & Stocks 页面。页面只列出 Gold Stocks、Silver Stocks 和日度报告入口，正文没有窗口内 Gold 或 Silver 的 registered 与 eligible 库存数字；未用入口导航、交割通知或搜索摘要替代库存报告。", "blocked_requirement": "硬性覆盖：COT（周六早）、美国 CPI、美国 PCE、非农、FOMC 决议、SGE 出入库（周频）、GLD/SLV 持仓每日变动、COMEX 金银库存分级变动；到相应发布时点必须输出事件，不得以「无新增」跳过。" }, { "coverage": "SGE 出入库与库存数据", "status": "unverified", "attempted_route": "本轮复查上金所官方延时行情页面。页面给出 2026-08-20 的 AU/AG 报价，但没有出入库、库存或仓单字段，因此未把报价页替代 SGE 库存覆盖。", "blocked_requirement": "硬性覆盖：COT（周六早）、美国 CPI、美国 PCE、非农、FOMC 决议、SGE 出入库（周频）、GLD/SLV 持仓每日变动、COMEX 金银库存分级变动；到相应发布时点必须输出事件，不得以「无新增」跳过。" }, { "coverage": "SHFE 黄金白银仓单日报", "status": 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