2026-08-13 14:30｜金银回落，油价需求预期转弱

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"comparison_prior_issue_spot_gold_usd_per_ounce": 4419.28, "comparison_prior_issue_spot_silver_usd_per_ounce": 65.50, "source_context": "Reuters 2026 年 8 月 13 日贵金属稿记录，现货金截至 0601 GMT 报 4383.53 美元/盎司、跌 0.5%；12 月交割合约报 4440.80 美元/盎司、跌 0.6%；现货银报 65.09 美元/盎司、跌约 0.3%。" }, "transmission_chain": "金银现货报价在前一日上涨后回落→美元计价贵金属的日内状态转弱→AU 与 AG 现货报价分别更新为 4383.53 和 65.09 美元/盎司", "invalidation_conditions": "后续同一报价口径出现更晚的有效报价并替代本次日内状态时，本事件失效", "source_urls": ["[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-pauses-after-tame-us-inflation-fuels-rally-over-two-month-peak-2026-08-13/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-pauses-after-tame-us-inflation-fuels-rally-over-two-month-peak-2026-08-13/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-pauses-after-tame-us-inflation-fuels-rally-over-two-month-peak-2026-08-13/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-pauses-after-tame-us-inflation-fuels-rally-over-two-month-peak-2026-08-13/))"], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "reuters-AUAG-20260813-oil-demand-0405", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "布伦特报 88.56 美元，WTI 报 82.72 美元", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-13T01:08:05.134Z", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-13T04:05:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "asset_keys": ["AU", "AG"], "status": "new", "confidence": 91, "direction_score": {"AU": 0, "AG": -1}, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "source_date": "2026-08-13", "quote_time_utc": "2026-08-13T04:05:00Z", "brent_usd_per_barrel": 88.56, "brent_change_usd_per_barrel": -0.42, "brent_change_percent": -0.47, "wti_usd_per_barrel": 82.72, "wti_change_usd_per_barrel": -0.55, "wti_change_percent": -0.66, "supply_risk_context": "Reuters 称霍尔木兹海峡重开没有进展", "demand_context": "Reuters 称市场转向较弱的全球石油需求预期", "source_context": "Reuters 能源稿记录，截至 0405 GMT 布伦特期货报 88.56 美元/桶，跌 0.42 美元或 0.47%；WTI 报 82.72 美元/桶，跌 0.55 美元或 0.66%。" }, "transmission_chain": "油价下行且需求预期偏弱→能源通胀预期与白银工业需求变量短线走弱，同时霍尔木兹未重开保留供给风险→AG 偏弱、AU 方向混合", "invalidation_conditions": "后续油价重新上行且需求预期改善，或霍尔木兹供给中断扩大并主导避险定价时，本次偏弱传导判断失效", "source_urls": 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