20:30｜Reuters更新金银与长端收益率

{ "schema_version": 1, "as_of": "2026-08-24 20:30:00+08:00", "window_start_utc": "2026-08-24T06:30:00Z", "window_end_utc": "2026-08-24T12:30:00Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU", "AG" ], "events": [ { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260824-spot-gold-464908", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "现货黄金报 4649.08 美元", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:04:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": 1 }, "confidence": 95, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "quote_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:04:00Z", "spot_gold": "4649.08 USD/oz", "intraday_change": "+1%", "session_high_context": "highest level since May 15", "source_statement": "Spot gold was up 1% at $4,649.08 per ounce by 1004 GMT, hitting its highest level since May 15." }, "transmission_chain": "现货黄金在 1004 GMT 上涨 1%至 4649.08 USD/oz→AU 美元计价价格信号偏正→AU 现货状态更新为 4649.08 USD/oz", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正 4649.08 USD/oz、+1%或 1004 GMT 报价时刻，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260824-gold-futures-470620", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "美国黄金期货报 4706.20 美元", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": 1 }, "confidence": 93, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "source_quote_date": "2026-08-24", "source_quote_time": "原文未为美国黄金期货单列报价时刻；页面更新时间为 2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z。", "us_gold_futures": "4706.20 USD/oz", "change": "+0.6%", "source_statement": "U.S. gold futures rose 0.6% to $4,706.20." }, "transmission_chain": "美国黄金期货上涨 0.6%至 4706.20 USD/oz→期货端 AU 买盘方向偏正→AU 期货报价状态更新为 4706.20 USD/oz", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正 4706.20 USD/oz 或+0.6%的涨幅，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AG-20260824-spot-silver-6893", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "现货白银报 68.93 美元", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "asset_keys": [ "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AG": 0 }, "confidence": 90, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "source_quote_date": "2026-08-24", "source_quote_time": "原文未为现货白银单列报价时刻；页面更新时间为 2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z。", "spot_silver": "68.93 USD/oz", "change": "held steady；原文未提供涨跌幅或可计算的前值数字", "source_statement": "Spot silver held steady at $68.93 per ounce." }, "transmission_chain": "现货白银维持 68.93 USD/oz→AG 即时价格变化信号中性→AG 方向分数为 0", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正 68.93 USD/oz 或 held steady 的描述，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260824-gold-4643", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "Reuters 更新黄金至 4643 美元", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:53:47.353Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T00:49:49.306Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": 1 }, "confidence": 94, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "LONDON/SYDNEY, Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T00:49:49.306Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:53:47.353Z", "gold": "4643 USD/oz", "intraday_change": "+0.9%", "month_to_date_change": "about +15%", "source_statement": "Gold firmed another 0.9% to $4,643 an ounce, having climbed about 15% for the month so far." }, "transmission_chain": "Reuters 页面更新后的黄金报价再涨 0.9%至 4643 USD/oz→AU 即时价格信号偏正→AU 价格状态更新为 4643 USD/oz", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正 4643 USD/oz、+0.9%、约+15%或页面更新时间，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AUAG-20260824-dollar-index-98981", "event_type": "supply_demand", "title": "美元指数升至 98.981", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:53:47.353Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T00:49:49.306Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU", "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AU": -1, "AG": -1 }, "confidence": 92, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "LONDON/SYDNEY, Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T00:49:49.306Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:53:47.353Z", "dollar_index": "98.981", "change": "+0.2%", "eur_usd": "1.1665; -0.1%", "usd_jpy": "159.13; +0.1%", "source_statement": "The dollar index was up 0.2% to 98.981. The euro dipped 0.1% to $1.1665, while the dollar gained 0.1% to 159.13 yen." }, "transmission_chain": "美元指数上涨 0.2%至 98.981→美元计价贵金属的边际购买压力上升→AU 与 AG 方向分数各为-1", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正美元指数 98.981、+0.2%或相关汇率数字，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AUAG-20260824-nominal-30y-yield-52487", "event_type": "real_rate", "title": "美国 30 年期收益率报 5.2487%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:53:47.353Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T00:49:49.306Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU", "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AU": -1, "AG": -1 }, "confidence": 91, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "LONDON/SYDNEY, Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T00:49:49.306Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:53:47.353Z", "us_30y_nominal_yield": "5.2487%", "recent_19y_peak": "5.3371%", "comparison": "5.2487% is not far from 5.3371%", "source_statement": "30-year yields were at 5.2487%, not far from the recent 19-year peak of 5.3371%." }, "transmission_chain": "美国 30 年期名义收益率维持 5.2487%且接近 19 年高点 5.3371%→长端收益率压力仍高→AU 与 AG 方向分数各为-1", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正 5.2487%、5.3371%或两者比较关系，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AUAG-20260824-september-rate-hike-probability-36", "event_type": "real_rate", "title": "9 月美联储加息概率约 36%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU", "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AU": -1, "AG": -1 }, "confidence": 82, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "source_dateline": "Aug 24 (Reuters)", "source_page_published_at_utc": "2026-08-24T04:39:37.683Z", "source_page_updated_at_utc": "2026-08-24T10:14:18.465Z", "september_rate_hike_probability": "about 36%", "september_hold_probability": "64%", "source_basis": "CME FedWatch Tool", "source_statement": "Traders are pricing in about a 36% chance of a rate-hike in September, with a 64% chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged, according to the CME FedWatch Tool." }, "transmission_chain": "9 月加息概率约 36%且按兵不动概率 64%→利率路径仍给无息贵金属估值压力→AU 与 AG 方向分数各为-1", "invalidation_conditions": "若 Reuters 更正约 36%、64%或其 CME FedWatch 归因，事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-over-3-month-high-ahead-us-inflation-data-fed-chair-speech-2026-08-24/))" ], "source_tier": "B" } ], "coverage_gaps": [ { "coverage": "GLD/SLV 每日持仓变动", "status": "no_new_row_in_window", "attempted_route": "本轮复用官方页面链接出的 JPM 日度黄金与白银清单直链；两份清单打印日期均为 2026-08-21，未取得 2026-08-24T06:30:00Z—2026-08-24T12:30:00Z 窗口内的新持仓行。", "source_urls": [ "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf))", "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf))" ], "blocked_requirement": "硬性覆盖：COT（周六早）、美国 CPI、美国 PCE、非农、FOMC 决议、SGE 出入库（周频）、GLD/SLV 持仓每日变动、COMEX 金银库存分级变动；到相应发布时点必须输出事件，不得以「无新增」跳过。" }, { "coverage": "COMEX 金银库存分级变动", "status": "unverified", "attempted_route": "本轮改查 CME 官方 Registrar Reports 页面及不同于入口页的 Gold Stocks.xls、Silver_stocks.xls 直链；Registrar Reports 页面未提供当前 COMEX 金银 registered 与 eligible 数字，两份原始表均返回 403。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html)](https://cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html))", "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_stocks.xls)](https://cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_stocks.xls))", "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls)](https://cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls))" ], "blocked_requirement": "硬性覆盖：COT（周六早）、美国 CPI、美国 PCE、非农、FOMC 决议、SGE 出入库（周频）、GLD/SLV 持仓每日变动、COMEX 金银库存分级变动；到相应发布时点必须输出事件，不得以「无新增」跳过。" }, { "coverage": "SGE 出入库与库存数据", "status": "unverified", "attempted_route": "本轮改查上金所行情周报列表与每日行情替代入口；周报列表最新为 2026 年第 31 期、发布日期 2026-08-18、统计期 2026-08-10 至 2026-08-14，未发布覆盖本窗口的周报；每日行情入口返回 2026-08-20 交易数据，字段不含本窗口可核验的出入库或库存数字。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/hqzb", "https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/quotation_daily_new?start_date=2026-08-20&end_date=2026-08-20" ], "blocked_requirement": "硬性覆盖：COT（周六早）、美国 CPI、美国 PCE、非农、FOMC 决议、SGE 出入库（周频）、GLD/SLV 持仓每日变动、COMEX 金银库存分级变动；到相应发布时点必须输出事件，不得以「无新增」跳过。" }, { "coverage": "SHFE 黄金白银仓单日报", "status": "unverified", "attempted_route": "本轮改查上期所英文 Daily Warrant 指定日期接口；AU 页面返回无数据的模板页，AG 页面返回人机识别检测，均未取得 2026-08-24 黄金白银仓单数字，未用行情页或交割通知替代仓单事实。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.shfe.com.cn/eng/reports/StatisticalData/DailyData/?query_options=1&query_date=20260824&query_params=dailystock&query_product_code=au_f", "https://www.shfe.com.cn/eng/reports/StatisticalData/DailyData/?query_options=1&query_date=20260824&query_params=dailystock&query_product_code=ag_f" ], "blocked_requirement": "Tier A（优先，权威一手）：CFTC COT 持仓周报；SHFE/SGE 公告与库存、仓单日报；LBMA 结算价与库存；WGC 央行购金与 ETF 季报；美联储 FOMC 决议、纪要、讲话；BLS CPI 与非农；BEA PCE；美国财政部实际利率（TIPS）曲线。" }, { "coverage": "美国财政部 TIPS 实际收益率曲线窗口内新行", "status": "no_new_row_in_window", "attempted_route": "本轮同时读取美国财政部 2026 年 TIPS TextView 页面与官方 CSV 下载路径；两条路径最新数据行均为 2026-08-21，未出现 2026-08-24 窗口内新行。", "source_urls": [ "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202608](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202608)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202608](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202608))", "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/all/202608?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608&page&_format=csv](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/all/202608?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608&page&_format=csv)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/all/202608?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608&page&_format=csv](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/all/202608?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608&page&_format=csv))" ], "blocked_requirement": "Tier A（优先，权威一手）：CFTC COT 持仓周报；SHFE/SGE 公告与库存、仓单日报；LBMA 结算价与库存；WGC 央行购金与 ETF 季报；美联储 FOMC 决议、纪要、讲话；BLS CPI 与非农；BEA PCE；美国财政部实际利率（TIPS）曲线。" } ] }