2026-08-13 09:30｜金银报价回落，美元与10年收益率上行

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"金银现货报价更新→美元与利率变量共同决定美元计价贵金属的短线定价→AU 与 AG 分别报 4419.28 和 65.50 美元/盎司", "invalidation_conditions": "后续同一报价口径出现更新值并替代本次日内报价时，本事件的短线状态失效", "source_urls": ["[https://www.[reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-13/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-13/)](https://reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-13/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-08-13/))"], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "reuters-AUAG-20260813-dollar-treasury-yield", "event_type": "real_rate", "title": "美元指数报 99.93，美债 10 年收益率报 4.688%", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-13T01:02:52.884Z", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "asset_keys": ["AU", "AG"], "status": "new", "confidence": 93, "direction_score": {"AU": -1, "AG": -1}, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "source_date": "2026-08-13", "usd_index": 99.93, "usd_index_change_percent": 0.00, "ten_year_treasury_yield_percent": 4.688, 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"2026-08-13T01:00:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "asset_keys": ["AU", "AG"], "status": "new", "confidence": 92, "direction_score": {"AU": 0, "AG": 0}, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "quote_time_utc": "2026-08-13T01:00:00Z", "brent_usd_per_barrel": 87.69, "brent_change_usd_per_barrel": -1.29, "brent_change_percent": -1.5, "wti_usd_per_barrel": 81.97, "wti_change_usd_per_barrel": -1.30, "wti_change_percent": -1.6, "source_context": "Reuters 油市稿记录格林尼治时间 0100 的布伦特原油报 87.69 美元/桶，跌 1.29 美元；WTI 报 81.97 美元/桶，跌 1.30 美元。" }, "transmission_chain": "油价回落→能源通胀的即时价格压力减弱，但美伊谈判僵局仍保留供给风险→AU 避险与通胀对冲链条暂未形成单向方向，AG 仍受工业需求约束", "invalidation_conditions": "后续航运或谈判事件推动油价重新高于本次报价，或供给中断扩大时，本次油价回落的传导判断失效", "source_urls": 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