8月26日13时:华北广西现货上调,全国基差普跌

8月26日13时:华北广西现货上调,全国基差普跌

截至北京时间8月26日13时,华北三家、广西三家与泰州益海豆粕现货上调,钦州中粮远期基差持稳,全国主要市场基差普跌,共5条可回源事件。

[ { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-huabei-spot-up", "title": "华北三家 43%豆粕均报 3130 元,涨 10—20 元", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:26:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"], "direction_score": 1, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-26", "region": "华北", "protein_percent": 43, "plants": [ {"plant": "天津九三", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_yuan_per_ton": 20}, {"plant": "北京汇福", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_yuan_per_ton": 10}, {"plant": "黄骅嘉好", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_yuan_per_ton": 20} ], "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_range_yuan_per_ton": [10, 20], "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日华北市场 43%豆粕现货价格上调:天津九三报 3130 元/吨上涨 20 元,北京汇福报 3130 元/吨上涨 10 元,黄骅嘉好报 3130 元/吨上涨 20 元。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:26 发布华北豆粕现货详情,天津九三、北京汇福与黄骅嘉好 43%豆粕统一报 3130 元/吨,分别较前一交易日上涨 20 元、10 元与 20 元/吨。", "华北主流现货同步上调抬升北方饲料蛋白成本锚,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏多现货信号。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日华北三家油厂报价或涨跌值。", "华北后续现货报价回落并抹去本次 10—20 元/吨涨幅。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-qinzhou-cofco-basis-stable", "title": "钦州中粮远期基差 M01+20 至 M05+40 持稳", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:41:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"], "direction_score": 0, "confidence": 94, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-26", "region": "广西钦州", "plant": "钦州中粮", "status": "stable", "forward_basis": [ {"delivery_window": "10-11 月", "contract": "M01", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 20}, {"delivery_window": "2027 年 2-3 月", "contract": "M01", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 50}, {"delivery_window": "2-4 月", "contract": "M01", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 30}, {"delivery_window": "5-7 月", "contract": "M05", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 40} ], "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日广西钦州中粮油厂豆粕出厂价稳定运行:10—11 月报 M01+20,2027 年 2—3 月报 M01+50,2—4 月报 M01+30,5—7 月报 M05+40;页面未披露较前一日涨跌值。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:41 发布钦州中粮详情,给出多月度远期基差条款并表述稳定运行。", "远期基差条款持稳提供中性期限结构观察,不单独改变 SOYMEAL_ETF 短线方向评分。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日钦州中粮远期基差条款或删除稳定表述。", "钦州中粮后续远期基差出现明确上调或下调并覆盖本次报价。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-guangxi-spot-up", "title": "广西三家 43%豆粕 3080—3100 元,涨 10—20 元", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:43:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"], "direction_score": 1, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-26", "region": "广西", "protein_percent": 43, "plants": [ {"plant": "钦州中粮", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3080}, {"plant": "防城港大海", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3100}, {"plant": "钦州港青", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3090} ], "price_range_yuan_per_ton": [3080, 3100], "change_range_yuan_per_ton": [10, 20], "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日广西市场 43%豆粕现货价格上涨:钦州中粮 3080 元/吨,防城港大海 3100 元/吨,钦州港青 3090 元/吨,较此前上涨 10—20 元/吨。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:43 发布广西豆粕现货详情,三家主流油厂 43%豆粕报 3080—3100 元/吨,并披露上涨 10—20 元/吨。", "华南港口现货同步上调强化沿海成本支撑,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏多现货信号。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日广西三家油厂报价或涨跌区间。", "广西后续现货报价回落并抹去本次 10—20 元/吨涨幅。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-taizhou-yihai-spot-up", "title": "泰州益海豆粕报 3200 元,货期 8 月 30 日至 9 月 30 日", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:49:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"], "direction_score": 1, "confidence": 90, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-26", "region": "江苏泰州", "plant": "泰州益海", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3200, "delivery_window": "2026-08-30 至 2026-09-30", "trade_status": "意向成交", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日泰州益海油厂豆粕报价上涨,具体价格为 3200 元/吨,货期为 8 月 30 日至 9 月 30 日,目前处于意向成交阶段;页面未披露较前一日涨跌金额与蛋白规格。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:49 发布泰州益海详情,一口价报 3200 元/吨并表述报价上涨,货期覆盖 8 月 30 日至 9 月 30 日。", "华东单厂一口价上调与当日沿海现货回升方向一致,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏多现货信号。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日泰州益海报价或删除上涨表述。", "泰州益海后续出厂报价回落至 3200 元/吨下方。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-national-basis-update", "title": "全国基差普跌:长春 10、西安 40、日照防城港-160", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:52:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"], "direction_score": -1, "confidence": 88, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-26", "market_scope": "全国主要市场", "basis_quotes_yuan_per_ton": [ {"market": "吉林长春", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 10}, {"market": "陕西西安", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 40}, {"market": "山东日照", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -160}, {"market": "广西防城港", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -160}, {"market": "云南昆明", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -10}, {"market": "四川成都", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -30} ], "change_note": "页面摘要称周口持平,其余地区基差下跌,跌幅在 20 至 30 元/吨之间", "comparison": "页面摘要披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日全国主要市场豆粕基差普遍下跌:除长春基差 10 元/吨、西安 40 元/吨外,其余地区均为负值;日照与防城港均为-160 元/吨,昆明-10 元/吨、成都-30 元/吨;涨跌方面周口持平,其余地区下跌 20—30 元/吨。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:52 发布全国主要市场豆粕基差汇总,摘要给出长春、西安、日照、防城港、昆明与成都等关键点位,并称多数地区基差下跌 20—30 元/吨。", "现货基差普遍走弱意味着现货相对期货溢价收窄,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏弱基差信号。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日全国主要市场豆粕基差汇总中的上述数字。", "后续同一统计口径的基差数据回升并覆盖本次普跌信息。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" } ]

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