
8月26日13时:华北广西现货上调,全国基差普跌
截至北京时间8月26日13时,华北三家、广西三家与泰州益海豆粕现货上调,钦州中粮远期基差持稳,全国主要市场基差普跌,共5条可回源事件。
[
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-huabei-spot-up",
"title": "华北三家 43%豆粕均报 3130 元,涨 10—20 元",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:26:00Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": 1,
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"report_date": "2026-08-26",
"region": "华北",
"protein_percent": 43,
"plants": [
{"plant": "天津九三", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_yuan_per_ton": 20},
{"plant": "北京汇福", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_yuan_per_ton": 10},
{"plant": "黄骅嘉好", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3130, "change_yuan_per_ton": 20}
],
"price_yuan_per_ton": 3130,
"change_range_yuan_per_ton": [10, 20],
"comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日华北市场 43%豆粕现货价格上调:天津九三报 3130 元/吨上涨 20 元,北京汇福报 3130 元/吨上涨 10 元,黄骅嘉好报 3130 元/吨上涨 20 元。"
},
"transmission_chain": [
"我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:26 发布华北豆粕现货详情,天津九三、北京汇福与黄骅嘉好 43%豆粕统一报 3130 元/吨,分别较前一交易日上涨 20 元、10 元与 20 元/吨。",
"华北主流现货同步上调抬升北方饲料蛋白成本锚,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏多现货信号。"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日华北三家油厂报价或涨跌值。",
"华北后续现货报价回落并抹去本次 10—20 元/吨涨幅。"
],
"source_urls": [
"[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25EE85472496D453_abc.html))"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-qinzhou-cofco-basis-stable",
"title": "钦州中粮远期基差 M01+20 至 M05+40 持稳",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:41:00Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": 0,
"confidence": 94,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"report_date": "2026-08-26",
"region": "广西钦州",
"plant": "钦州中粮",
"status": "stable",
"forward_basis": [
{"delivery_window": "10-11 月", "contract": "M01", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 20},
{"delivery_window": "2027 年 2-3 月", "contract": "M01", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 50},
{"delivery_window": "2-4 月", "contract": "M01", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 30},
{"delivery_window": "5-7 月", "contract": "M05", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 40}
],
"comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日广西钦州中粮油厂豆粕出厂价稳定运行:10—11 月报 M01+20,2027 年 2—3 月报 M01+50,2—4 月报 M01+30,5—7 月报 M05+40;页面未披露较前一日涨跌值。"
},
"transmission_chain": [
"我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:41 发布钦州中粮详情,给出多月度远期基差条款并表述稳定运行。",
"远期基差条款持稳提供中性期限结构观察,不单独改变 SOYMEAL_ETF 短线方向评分。"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日钦州中粮远期基差条款或删除稳定表述。",
"钦州中粮后续远期基差出现明确上调或下调并覆盖本次报价。"
],
"source_urls": [
"[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/25A925AFDB0707F9_abc.html))"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-guangxi-spot-up",
"title": "广西三家 43%豆粕 3080—3100 元,涨 10—20 元",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:43:00Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": 1,
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"report_date": "2026-08-26",
"region": "广西",
"protein_percent": 43,
"plants": [
{"plant": "钦州中粮", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3080},
{"plant": "防城港大海", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3100},
{"plant": "钦州港青", "price_yuan_per_ton": 3090}
],
"price_range_yuan_per_ton": [3080, 3100],
"change_range_yuan_per_ton": [10, 20],
"comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日广西市场 43%豆粕现货价格上涨:钦州中粮 3080 元/吨,防城港大海 3100 元/吨,钦州港青 3090 元/吨,较此前上涨 10—20 元/吨。"
},
"transmission_chain": [
"我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:43 发布广西豆粕现货详情,三家主流油厂 43%豆粕报 3080—3100 元/吨,并披露上涨 10—20 元/吨。",
"华南港口现货同步上调强化沿海成本支撑,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏多现货信号。"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日广西三家油厂报价或涨跌区间。",
"广西后续现货报价回落并抹去本次 10—20 元/吨涨幅。"
],
"source_urls": [
"[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/B2EF479E251A7A11_abc.html))"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-taizhou-yihai-spot-up",
"title": "泰州益海豆粕报 3200 元,货期 8 月 30 日至 9 月 30 日",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:49:00Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": 1,
"confidence": 90,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"report_date": "2026-08-26",
"region": "江苏泰州",
"plant": "泰州益海",
"price_yuan_per_ton": 3200,
"delivery_window": "2026-08-30 至 2026-09-30",
"trade_status": "意向成交",
"comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日泰州益海油厂豆粕报价上涨,具体价格为 3200 元/吨,货期为 8 月 30 日至 9 月 30 日,目前处于意向成交阶段;页面未披露较前一日涨跌金额与蛋白规格。"
},
"transmission_chain": [
"我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:49 发布泰州益海详情,一口价报 3200 元/吨并表述报价上涨,货期覆盖 8 月 30 日至 9 月 30 日。",
"华东单厂一口价上调与当日沿海现货回升方向一致,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏多现货信号。"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日泰州益海报价或删除上涨表述。",
"泰州益海后续出厂报价回落至 3200 元/吨下方。"
],
"source_urls": [
"[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/1C34EAD0A28D7E35_abc.html))"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260826-national-basis-update",
"title": "全国基差普跌:长春 10、西安 40、日照防城港-160",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T03:52:00Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": -1,
"confidence": 88,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"report_date": "2026-08-26",
"market_scope": "全国主要市场",
"basis_quotes_yuan_per_ton": [
{"market": "吉林长春", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 10},
{"market": "陕西西安", "basis_yuan_per_ton": 40},
{"market": "山东日照", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -160},
{"market": "广西防城港", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -160},
{"market": "云南昆明", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -10},
{"market": "四川成都", "basis_yuan_per_ton": -30}
],
"change_note": "页面摘要称周口持平,其余地区基差下跌,跌幅在 20 至 30 元/吨之间",
"comparison": "页面摘要披露 2026 年 8 月 26 日全国主要市场豆粕基差普遍下跌:除长春基差 10 元/吨、西安 40 元/吨外,其余地区均为负值;日照与防城港均为-160 元/吨,昆明-10 元/吨、成都-30 元/吨;涨跌方面周口持平,其余地区下跌 20—30 元/吨。"
},
"transmission_chain": [
"我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 26 日 11:52 发布全国主要市场豆粕基差汇总,摘要给出长春、西安、日照、防城港、昆明与成都等关键点位,并称多数地区基差下跌 20—30 元/吨。",
"现货基差普遍走弱意味着现货相对期货溢价收窄,短线对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成偏弱基差信号。"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 26 日全国主要市场豆粕基差汇总中的上述数字。",
"后续同一统计口径的基差数据回升并覆盖本次普跌信息。"
],
"source_urls": [
"[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082611/4F06CCD34BF266F8_abc.html))"
],
"source_tier": "B"
}
]
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