2026-08-31 09:00｜有色金属事件流（11条）
覆盖北京时间2026-08-28 15:00至2026-08-31 09:00新增的SHFE与LME库存和价格、铜锌加工费、Codelco产量、美国宏观及地产信贷政策，共11条可核验事件。
[
{
"event_id": "shfe-china-20260828-inventory",
"title": "SHFE铜铝周度仓单分别减少14643吨和28691吨",
"event_type": "inventory",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T07:05:10Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 1
},
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "上海期货交易所",
"report_identity": "2026-08-28仓单日报第159期（总第4352期）及库存周报第33期（总第1400期）",
"data_date": "2026-08-28",
"daily_file_last_modified_utc": "2026-08-28T07:05:10Z",
"weekly_publication_time_note": "周报页面没有独立时间戳；本事件并入北京时间15:05:10（UTC 07:05:10）发布的同日仓单日报批次，周报在本窗口内已可读取",
"unit": "吨",
"daily_inventory": {
"copper": {
"current": 31462,
"previous": 32213,
"change": -751
},
"aluminium": {
"current": 245510,
"previous": 251174,
"change": -5664
},
"zinc": {
"current": 112169,
"previous": 114950,
"change": -2781
},
"lead": {
"current": 56940,
"previous": 56991,
"change": -51
},
"nickel": {
"current": 101471,
"previous": 101144,
"change": 327
},
"tin": {
"current": 5479,
"previous": 5581,
"change": -102
},
"alumina_warehouse": {
"current": 242678,
"previous": 248710,
"change": -6032
},
"alumina_factory": {
"current": 9300,
"previous": 9300,
"change": 0
}
},
"weekly_warrant_inventory": {
"copper": {
"current": 31462,
"previous": 46105,
"change": -14643
},
"aluminium": {
"current": 245510,
"previous": 274201,
"change": -28691
},
"zinc": {
"current": 112169,
"previous": 114403,
"change": -2234
},
"lead": {
"current": 56940,
"previous": 61703,
"change": -4763
},
"nickel": {
"current": 101471,
"previous": 101782,
"change": -311
},
"tin": {
"current": 5479,
"previous": 5340,
"change": 139
},
"alumina_warehouse": {
"current": 242678,
"previous": 246022,
"change": -3344
},
"alumina_factory": {
"current": 9300,
"previous": 9300,
"change": 0
}
},
"scope_note": "周报本周期货数量与同日仓单日报总量逐品种一致；库存数字采用官方汇总页，结构化明细仅用于核对发布日期",
"direction_score_basis": "铜、铝、锌、铅、镍和氧化铝周度仓单均减少，锡增加；有色金属总体库存信号偏多",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "SHFE铜、铝等多数有色品种周度仓单减少→交易所可交割库存收缩→现货紧张预期增强并支撑有色金属价格。",
"invalidation_conditions": "上海期货交易所更正2026-08-28仓单日报或周报的品种总量、前值、增减、单位或报告日期。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/stockdata/dailystock_20260828/ZH/all.html",
"https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/stockdata/weeklystock_20260828/ZH/all.html"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "lme-global-20260828-stock-breakdown",
"title": "LME铜铅库存分别减少1900吨和2100吨",
"event_type": "inventory",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T08:00:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 0
},
"confidence": 91,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "London Metal Exchange",
"report_identity": "Metals Reports 26 Aug 2026",
"data_date": "2026-08-26",
"publication_rule": "LME Stock Breakdown按数据日延迟两个工作日发布；2026-08-28英国时间09:00对应2026-08-28T08:00:00Z",
"unit": "公吨",
"inventory": {
"copper": {
"opening": 237475,
"delivered_in": 150,
"delivered_out": 2050,
"closing": 235575,
"previous_closing": 237475,
"change": -1900,
"open_tonnage": 107050,
"cancelled_tonnage": 128525
},
"primary_aluminium": {
"opening": 246825,
"delivered_in": 0,
"delivered_out": 0,
"closing": 246825,
"previous_closing": 246825,
"change": 0,
"open_tonnage": 243425,
"cancelled_tonnage": 3400
},
"zinc": {
"opening": 97325,
"delivered_in": 1100,
"delivered_out": 550,
"closing": 97875,
"previous_closing": 97325,
"change": 550,
"open_tonnage": 94350,
"cancelled_tonnage": 3525
},
"nickel": {
"opening": 268554,
"delivered_in": 306,
"delivered_out": 546,
"closing": 268314,
"previous_closing": 268554,
"change": -240,
"open_tonnage": 258288,
"cancelled_tonnage": 10026
},
"lead": {
"opening": 410600,
"delivered_in": 0,
"delivered_out": 2100,
"closing": 408500,
"previous_closing": 410600,
"change": -2100,
"open_tonnage": 354275,
"cancelled_tonnage": 54225
},
"tin": {
"opening": 5120,
"delivered_in": 500,
"delivered_out": 30,
"closing": 5590,
"previous_closing": 5120,
"change": 470,
"open_tonnage": 4900,
"cancelled_tonnage": 690
}
},
"evidence_note": "官方列表页确认报告身份；官方XLS通过互联网档案馆保存的LME下载文件读取，并用2026-08-25官方XLS核对Opening、Closing和增减",
"direction_score_basis": "铜、镍和铅去库，锌和锡累库，铝持平；有色金属总体库存方向分化",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "LME铜和铅库存下降、锌和锡库存上升且铝持平→不同金属的可用库存方向分化→有色金属篮子没有一致的库存价格方向。",
"invalidation_conditions": "LME更正2026-08-26 Stock Breakdown报告的Opening、In、Out、Closing、Open、Cancelled、单位或发布日程。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.lme.com/market-data/reports-and-data/warehouse-and-stocks-reports/stock-breakdown-report",
"https://web.archive.org/web/20260831011432/https://www.lme.com/Lme-api/ReportsListingSearchApi/Download?id=37dd3d0e-5468-44c5-8832-9227abb995ed"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-shanghai-20260828-copper-basis",
"title": "上海平水铜对当月合约升水升至530元",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T09:22:00Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T09:22:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 1
},
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "intraday",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "Mysteel我的有色",
"detail_id": "77A831D1131BD9BE",
"data_date": "2026-08-28",
"published_time_beijing": "2026-08-28 17:22",
"market": "上海",
"product": "电解铜现货",
"contract": "沪期铜当月合约",
"unit": "元/吨",
"spot_basis": {
"lower_grade_range": "升水500—520元/吨",
"standard_grade": "升水530元/吨",
"premium_grade": "升水600元/吨"
},
"comparison": "Mysteel称现货升水创2026年内新高",
"market_note": "可流通货源紧张，持货商挺价；铜价高位限制下游接货，成交一般",
"direction_score_basis": "上海平水铜升水达到530元/吨且创年内新高，现货相对当月合约走强",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "上海平水铜对当月合约升水升至530元/吨→现货可流通货源偏紧并相对期货走强→铜现货基差支撑增强。",
"invalidation_conditions": "Mysteel更正上海电解铜品牌升水、合约基准、数据日期、年内比较或单位。",
"source_urls": [
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082817/77A831D1131BD9BE.html"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-china-20260828-zinc-tc",
"title": "锌精矿加工费持稳且五港库存增至22.4万吨",
"event_type": "supply_demand",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T09:35:00Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T09:35:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 0
},
"confidence": 93,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "Mysteel我的有色",
"detail_id": "E4D1C570C409E26C",
"data_period": "2026-08-24至2026-08-28",
"published_time_beijing": "2026-08-28 17:35",
"product": "50%品位锌精矿",
"tc_unit_domestic": "元/金属吨",
"tc_unit_imported": "美元/干吨",
"inventory_unit": "万吨",
"domestic_tc_range": "-1000至-1500元/金属吨",
"domestic_tc_weekly_change": "区间较上周持平",
"bvc_tender_tc": "约-130美元/干吨",
"smelter_concentrate_inventory": "48.4万实物吨",
"five_port_inventory": {
"current": 22.4,
"previous": 21.1,
"change": 1.3
},
"nanjing_port_inventory": {
"current": 4.3,
"previous": 5.0,
"change": -0.7
},
"scope_note": "TC维持负值反映矿端供应偏紧，五港库存环比增加则提供相反信号",
"direction_score_basis": "国产TC持平且仍为负值，五港库存增加1.3万吨；矿端紧张与港口累库信号相抵",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "国产锌精矿负加工费维持不变、五港库存增加1.3万吨→冶炼端原料议价仍弱但到港库存回升→锌价供给信号中性。",
"invalidation_conditions": "Mysteel更正国产或进口锌精矿TC、五港库存、南京港库存、比较基准、品位、数据周期或单位。",
"source_urls": [
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082817/E4D1C570C409E26C.html"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-global-20260828-copper-tc",
"title": "铜精矿TC周指数降至负194.2美元",
"event_type": "supply_demand",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T09:57:00Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T09:57:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 2
},
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "Mysteel我的有色",
"detail_id": "AB9F0FF0B0047393",
"data_period": "2026-08-24至2026-08-28",
"published_time_beijing": "2026-08-28 17:57",
"product": "标准干净铜精矿",
"tc_unit": "美元/干吨",
"price_unit": "美元/干吨",
"weekly_tc_index": {
"current": -194.2,
"previous": -181.25,
"change": -12.95
},
"clean_concentrate_spot_price": {
"current": 4015,
"previous": 3943,
"change": 72
},
"quarter_four_cargo": {
"volume": "4万吨",
"fixed_tc": "约-198美元/干吨"
},
"cross_check": "同日17:36发布的Mysteel日报也列示周指数-194.20美元/干吨",
"direction_score_basis": "铜精矿TC周指数下降12.95美元/干吨并进一步转负，矿端相对冶炼端的议价优势增强",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "铜精矿TC周指数从负181.25降至负194.2美元/干吨→冶炼加工收益继续受压且矿端供应紧张信号增强→铜价获得原料端支撑。",
"invalidation_conditions": "Mysteel更正铜精矿TC周指数、前值、周变动、现货价、四季度船期成交、数据周期或单位；下一周TC明显回升也会使本期紧张信号失效。",
"source_urls": [
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082817/AB9F0FF0B0047393.html",
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082817/C847CEC693FF7CFE.html"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "pboc-china-20260828-housing-credit",
"title": "个人住房贷款最长期限由30年延至40年",
"event_type": "infrastructure_demand",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T11:07:37Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T11:07:37Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 1
},
"confidence": 90,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "新华社",
"policy_issuers": "中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局",
"detail_identity": "关于改革完善房地产信贷管理 推动加快构建房地产发展新模式的意见",
"policy_date": "2026-08-28",
"news_published_time_beijing": "2026-08-28 19:07:37",
"personal_mortgage_max_term": {
"current": "40年",
"previous": "30年",
"change": "+10年"
},
"presale_project_loan_max_term": "5年",
"completed_home_project_loan_max_term": "7年",
"disbursement_rule": "现房在销售备案后发放个人住房贷款；预售住房在项目竣工备案后发放",
"metal_demand_scope": "房地产竣工与住房交易对应铜线缆、铜管和铝建筑型材等终端需求",
"direction_score_basis": "个人住房贷款期限上限延长10年并调整开发贷款安排，政策方向有利于住房交易和竣工资金链",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "个人住房贷款最长期限延至40年并完善开发贷款安排→住房交易和项目竣工资金条件改善→铜线缆、铜管和铝型材需求预期获得支撑。",
"invalidation_conditions": "中国人民银行或国家金融监督管理总局撤回该联合文件，或更正个人住房贷款期限、开发贷款期限及贷款发放规则。",
"source_urls": [
"http://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260828/bfd832a3041c4d76bfcc0aa174bde9e4/c.html"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "lme-global-20260828-official-curve",
"title": "LME六金属3个月中价全涨且铜锌现货升水",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T12:25:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 2
},
"confidence": 97,
"horizon": "intraday",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "London Metal Exchange",
"detail_identity": "LME Official Prices",
"data_date": "2026-08-28",
"published_time_basis": "LME页面给出英国时间12:20—13:25发布窗口；published_at_utc采用窗口截止时刻",
"unit": "美元/公吨",
"official_prices": {
"aluminium": {
"cash_bid_ask": "3221.50/3222.00",
"three_month_bid_ask": "3240.00/3241.00",
"previous_cash_bid_ask": "3212.00/3212.50",
"previous_three_month_bid_ask": "3215.00/3216.00",
"cash_mid_change": 9.5,
"three_month_mid_change": 25.0
},
"copper": {
"cash_bid_ask": "14534.50/14535.00",
"three_month_bid_ask": "14365.00/14370.00",
"previous_cash_bid_ask": "14488.00/14490.00",
"previous_three_month_bid_ask": "14235.00/14236.00",
"cash_mid_change": 45.75,
"three_month_mid_change": 132.0
},
"zinc": {
"cash_bid_ask": "4069.50/4070.00",
"three_month_bid_ask": "3929.00/3930.00",
"previous_cash_bid_ask": "4105.00/4107.00",
"previous_three_month_bid_ask": "3888.00/3890.00",
"cash_mid_change": -36.25,
"three_month_mid_change": 40.5
},
"nickel": {
"cash_bid_ask": "16830.00/16850.00",
"three_month_bid_ask": "16975.00/17000.00",
"previous_cash_bid_ask": "16655.00/16660.00",
"previous_three_month_bid_ask": "16825.00/16840.00",
"cash_mid_change": 182.5,
"three_month_mid_change": 155.0
},
"lead": {
"cash_bid_ask": "1878.00/1880.00",
"three_month_bid_ask": "1910.00/1911.00",
"previous_cash_bid_ask": "1871.00/1872.00",
"previous_three_month_bid_ask": "1902.00/1903.00",
"cash_mid_change": 7.5,
"three_month_mid_change": 8.0
},
"tin": {
"cash_bid_ask": "55075.00/55125.00",
"three_month_bid_ask": "55420.00/55425.00",
"previous_cash_bid_ask": "54940.00/54950.00",
"previous_three_month_bid_ask": "55190.00/55195.00",
"cash_mid_change": 155.0,
"three_month_mid_change": 230.0
}
},
"calculation_note": "中价变动以当日Bid/Ask中点减去2026-08-27同口径中点计算；底数完整保留",
"curve_note": "铜和锌现金中价高于3个月中价；铝、镍、铅和锡的3个月中价高于现金中价",
"direction_score_basis": "六种基本金属3个月中价全部较前一有效日上涨，现金中价除锌外也上涨",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "LME六种基本金属3个月中价全线上涨→伦敦远期定价整体抬升→有色金属短线价格动量偏强。",
"invalidation_conditions": "LME更正2026-08-28官方现金价、3个月价、有效日期或单位，或中价计算底数发生变化。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.lme.com/market-data/reports-and-data/lme-official-prices"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "bls-us-20260828-ces-benchmark",
"title": "美国制造业就业基准初值下修6.7万人",
"event_type": "macro_release",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T14:00:00Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T14:00:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 0
},
"confidence": 97,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"report_identity": "USDL-26-1425 Current Employment Statistics Preliminary Benchmark (National) - March 2026",
"data_date": "2026-03-31",
"published_time_et": "2026-08-28 10:00",
"unit": "千人",
"benchmark_revisions": {
"total_nonfarm": {
"level": -79,
"percent": -0.1
},
"total_private": {
"level": -178,
"percent": -0.1
},
"manufacturing": {
"level": -67,
"percent": -0.5
},
"construction": {
"level": 62,
"percent": 0.8
},
"mining_and_logging": {
"level": -6,
"percent": -1.0
}
},
"revision_status": "初步年度基准修订；最终修订计划于2027年2月发布",
"direction_score_basis": "该发布修订2026年3月的历史统计底数，不代表窗口内新增就业变化；制造业下修与建筑业上修并存，量化方向评分为中性",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "美国制造业就业历史基准下修6.7万人→制造业活动模型使用的历史就业底数降低、建筑业底数同时上修→有色金属当期需求价格信号中性。",
"invalidation_conditions": "BLS更正USDL-26-1425的行业修订值、百分比、数据日期或单位，或2027年最终基准修订方向明显反转。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.nr0.htm",
"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.t01.htm"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "bls-us-20260828-qcew",
"title": "美国一季度平均周薪同比增3.9%至1654美元",
"event_type": "macro_release",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T14:00:00Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T14:00:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 0
},
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"report_identity": "USDL-26-1424 County Employment and Wages - First Quarter 2026",
"employment_data_date": "2026-03-31",
"wage_data_period": "2026年第一季度",
"published_time_et": "2026-08-28 10:00",
"national_employment": {
"current": "1.548亿人",
"year_over_year_change": "+0.1%"
},
"average_weekly_wage": {
"current": "1654美元",
"year_over_year_change": "+3.9%"
},
"largest_counties": {
"employment_increase_count": 151,
"total_count": 376,
"wage_increase_count": 358
},
"direction_score_basis": "就业同比仅增0.1%，周薪同比增3.9%；名义收入与就业数量信号强弱不一，对金属需求的传导较弱",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "美国就业同比小幅增加且平均周薪上涨→居民收入支撑与就业增速偏弱并存→对有色金属终端需求的宏观信号中性。",
"invalidation_conditions": "BLS更正USDL-26-1424的就业人数、同比增速、周薪、样本县数量、数据期或单位。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cewqtr.nr0.htm"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "codelco-chile-20260828-h1-production",
"title": "Codelco上半年自有铜产量同比降11%",
"event_type": "supply_demand",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T16:32:10Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 1
},
"confidence": 82,
"horizon": "weeks",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "Codelco",
"detail_identity": "2026年上半年业绩新闻稿",
"event_date": "2026-08-28",
"published_time_basis": "Codelco官方正文只给发布日期；published_at_utc采用本轮打开的Reuters转引页原生发布时间，表示该官方事实在窗口内最晚已公开",
"production_unit": "千吨精铜",
"own_copper_production": {
"current": 564,
"previous": 634,
"year_over_year_change": "-11%"
},
"attributable_copper_production": {
"current": 619,
"year_over_year_change": "-10%"
},
"division_changes": {
"El_Teniente": "-27%",
"Chuquicamata": "-22%",
"Ministro_Hales": "-21%",
"Salvador": "+18%",
"Andina": "+7%",
"Radomiro_Tomic": "+6%"
},
"costs": {
"c1_direct_cost": "231.6美分/磅，同比+6.7%",
"c3_net_cathode_cost": "403.3美分/磅，同比+9.9%"
},
"financials": {
"realized_copper_price": "653.2美分/磅，2025年同期为461.7美分/磅",
"ebitda": "46.48亿美元，同比+68%",
"consolidated_net_income": "6.69亿美元"
},
"production_causes": "El Teniente受2025年7月事故影响，Chuquicamata在2026年4月至5月大修，Ministro Hales矿石品位下降",
"direction_score_basis": "Codelco上半年自有铜产量同比减少11%，该公司同期铜供应量减少；部分原因属于此前已知事故和检修",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "Codelco上半年自有铜产量从63.4万吨降至56.4万吨→该公司同期铜供应减少7万吨且单位成本上升→铜价获得公司供应端的边际支撑。",
"invalidation_conditions": "Codelco更正上半年产量、同比变化、分部门变化、成本或单位；若Codelco下半年同口径自有铜产量同比增加至少7万吨，全年层面的上半年供应缺口被抵消。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.codelco.com/prensa/2026/codelco-mejora-sus-resultados-financieros-en-un-escenario-favorable",
"https://www.mining.com/web/chiles-codelco-posts-stronger-profit-on-copper-rally-as-mine-disruptions-drag-on-output/"
],
"source_tier": "A"
},
{
"event_id": "fed-us-20260828-h15",
"title": "美国10年期国债收益率升1基点至4.67%",
"event_type": "macro_release",
"event_time_quality": "exact",
"event_time_utc": "2026-08-28T20:15:00Z",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-28T20:15:00Z",
"asset_keys": [
"NONFERROUS"
],
"direction_score": {
"NONFERROUS": 0
},
"confidence": 96,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"publisher": "Federal Reserve Board",
"report_identity": "H.15 Selected Interest Rates, release date 2026-08-28",
"latest_observation_date": "2026-08-27",
"published_time_et": "2026-08-28 16:15",
"unit": "%年利率",
"rates": {
"effective_federal_funds_rate": {
"current": 3.63,
"previous": 3.63,
"change_bp": 0
},
"treasury_bill_3m_secondary": {
"current": 3.69,
"previous": 3.7,
"change_bp": -1
},
"treasury_2y": {
"current": 4.2,
"previous": 4.19,
"change_bp": 1
},
"treasury_5y": {
"current": 4.38,
"previous": 4.37,
"change_bp": 1
},
"treasury_10y": {
"current": 4.67,
"previous": 4.66,
"change_bp": 1
},
"treasury_30y": {
"current": 5.19,
"previous": 5.18,
"change_bp": 1
}
},
"xml_prepared_at_utc": "2026-08-28T15:40:02Z",
"scope_note": "H.15在2026-08-28发布的最新观测日为2026-08-27；2026-08-28观测值将在下一次发布中出现",
"direction_score_basis": "2年、5年、10年和30年期国债收益率均上升1个基点；变动幅度只有1个基点，量化方向评分为中性",
"direction_score_scope": "仅对本条事件的NONFERROUS影响评分，不与其他事件分数相加"
},
"transmission_chain": "美国10年期等国债收益率上升1个基点→美元资产贴现条件仅小幅变化→有色金属短线价格方向保持中性。",
"invalidation_conditions": "美联储更正2026-08-28 H.15发布中的观测值、前值、发布日期、观测日期或单位。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/current/default.htm",
"https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/data/FRB_h15_xml.zip"
],
"source_tier": "A"
}
]This story was produced automatically by a channel. One sentence is all it takes for Neodrop to keep producing for you.