2026-09-02 09:00 纳指ETF事件流（9条）

[ { "event_id": "BLS-NASDAQ-20260901-jolts", "title": "JOLTS 职位空缺 7 月为 730 万", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": 1 }, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "release": "Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary", "release_date_original": "September 1, 2026", "release_time_original_et": "10:00 a.m. ET", "data_month": "July 2026", "comparison_month": "June 2026 revised", "unit": { "counts": "million; job openings are positions, and hires/separations are events", "rates": "percent" }, "total_job_openings": { "current_million": 7.3, "previous_revised_million": 7.2, "change_million": 0.1, "opening_rate_percent": 4.4, "source_wording": "July was little changed; June was revised down by 177,000 to 7.2 million." }, "hires": { "current_million": 5.1, "previous_revised_million": 5.3, "hires_rate_percent": 3.2, "previous_revision_original": "June hires were revised down by 16,000 to 5.3 million." }, "total_separations": { "current_million": 5.1, "previous_revised_million": 5.3, "separations_rate_percent": 3.2, "previous_revision_original": "June total separations were revised down by 14,000 to 5.3 million." }, "quits": { "current_million": 3.1, "previous_revised_million": 3.2, "quits_rate_percent": 1.9, "previous_revision_original": "June quits were revised down by 19,000 to 3.2 million." }, "layoffs_and_discharges": { "current_million": 1.7, "previous_revised_million": 1.8, "rate_percent": 1.0, "previous_revision_original": "June layoffs and discharges were revised up by 19,000 to 1.8 million." }, "other_separations": { "current_million": 0.35, "previous_million": "data temporarily unavailable", "data_month": "July 2026", "change_statement": "essentially unchanged (BLS source wording; prior numeric value not stated in the release summary)", "reconciliation_note": "The 0.35 million value is reported separately by BLS and is not derived by subtracting rounded total separations, quits, and layoffs and discharges." } }, "transmission_chain": "职位空缺 7.3 百万且 6 月修订为 7.2 百万、招聘与离职大致稳定→劳动力需求未显示重新加速→降息路径与科技成长股估值获得边际支撑。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续 JOLTS 职位空缺率高于 4.4%且招聘率高于 3.2%，或后续通胀数据与联储沟通重新推高利率路径，该偏多判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm)](https://bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "USTreasury-NASDAQ-20260901-nominal-yield-curve", "title": "Treasury 名义曲线中长端上行", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T15:58:59Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T15:58:59Z", "event_type": "rate_path", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": -1 }, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "U.S. Department of the Treasury", "series": "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates", "data_date": "September 1, 2026", "comparison_date": "August 28, 2026", "unit": "percent per annum", "feed_updated_at_utc": "2026-09-01T15:58:59Z", "maturities": { "1_month": {"current": 3.85, "previous": 3.84, "change_bp": 1}, "1_5_month": {"current": 3.88, "previous": 3.83, "change_bp": 5}, "2_month": {"current": 3.89, "previous": 3.86, "change_bp": 3}, "3_month": {"current": 3.92, "previous": 3.90, "change_bp": 2}, "4_month": {"current": 3.97, "previous": 3.94, "change_bp": 3}, "6_month": {"current": 4.00, "previous": 4.02, "change_bp": -2}, "1_year": {"current": 4.18, "previous": 4.15, "change_bp": 3}, "2_year": {"current": 4.39, "previous": 4.34, "change_bp": 5}, "3_year": {"current": 4.46, "previous": 4.41, "change_bp": 5}, "5_year": {"current": 4.55, "previous": 4.48, "change_bp": 7}, "7_year": {"current": 4.66, "previous": 4.59, "change_bp": 7}, "10_year": {"current": 4.79, "previous": 4.73, "change_bp": 6}, "20_year": {"current": 5.27, "previous": 5.21, "change_bp": 6}, "30_year": {"current": 5.27, "previous": 5.22, "change_bp": 5} } }, "transmission_chain": "名义 10 年与 30 年期收益率分别较 8 月 28 日上行 6 和 5 个基点→纳指高久期资产的无风险贴现率基准抬升→在盈利预期不变时估值承压。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续 10 年期与 30 年期收益率分别回落至 4.73%与 5.22%或更低，或纳指成分股盈利预期上修足以抵消贴现率升幅，该偏空判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026))", 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"[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&id=307](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&id=307)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&id=307](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_yield_curve&id=307))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SEC-NASDAQ-20260901-mongodb-earnings-guidance", "title": "MongoDB 收入增 30%并上调全年指引", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T20:07:56Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T20:07:56Z", "event_type": "earnings_guidance", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": 1 }, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "MongoDB, Inc.", "ticker": "MDB", "fiscal_period": "Q2 FY2027 ended July 31, 2026", "sec_form": "8-K", "sec_acceptance_time_original_et": "September 1, 2026 16:07:56 ET", "total_revenue_million": {"current": 771.8, "previous_year": 591.4, "yoy_percent": 30}, "subscription_revenue_million": {"current": 747.1, "yoy_percent": 31}, "services_revenue_million": {"current": 24.6, "yoy_percent": 29}, "revenue_reconciliation_note": "The displayed subscription and services amounts sum to 771.7 million, while source-reported total revenue is 771.8 million; the source reports each figure to one decimal million and does not reconcile at displayed precision.", "gross_profit_million": {"gaap_current": 569.8, "gaap_margin_percent": 74, "previous_year_margin_percent": 71, "non_gaap_current": 585.7, "non_gaap_margin_percent": 76, "previous_year_non_gaap_margin_percent": 74}, "operating_income_million": {"gaap_current": 28.4, "previous_year": -65.3, "non_gaap_current": 185.9, "previous_year_non_gaap": 86.8}, "net_income_million": {"gaap_current": 40.9, "previous_year": -47.0, "non_gaap_current": 162.6, "previous_year_non_gaap": 87.2}, "diluted_eps": {"gaap_current": 0.50, "previous_year": -0.58, "non_gaap_current": 1.90, "previous_year_non_gaap": 1.00}, "free_cash_flow_million": {"current": 137.6, "previous_year": 69.9}, "q3_fy2027_guidance": { "revenue_million_range": [756, 761], "gaap_operating_income_loss_million_range": [-14.5, -10.5], "non_gaap_operating_income_million_range": [152.0, 156.0], "gaap_eps_range": [0.00, 0.05], "non_gaap_eps_range": [1.57, 1.61] }, "full_year_fy2027_guidance": { "revenue_billion_range": [2.99, 3.03], "gaap_operating_income_loss_million_range": [-28.0, -8.0], "non_gaap_operating_income_million_range": [616.3, 636.3], "gaap_eps_range": [0.53, 0.77], "non_gaap_eps_range": [6.39, 6.58] }, "guidance_revision_original": "Raising full year fiscal 2027 guidance, with H2 raise mainly due to Atlas.", "guidance_as_of_original": "September 1, 2026" }, "transmission_chain": "MongoDB 季度收入同比增长 30%且公司上调 FY2027 全年指引→软件与数据基础设施盈利预期改善→纳指科技成长股盈利端获得支撑。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续季度收入低于本期 Q3 指引 756 至 761 百万美元，或公司下调 FY2027 全年收入 2.99 至 3.03 十亿美元区间，该偏多判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/0001628280-26-059794-index.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/0001628280-26-059794-index.htm)](https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/0001628280-26-059794-index.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/0001628280-26-059794-index.htm))", "[https://www.[sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/mdb-073126xex991xrelease.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/mdb-073126xex991xrelease.htm)](https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/mdb-073126xex991xrelease.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1441816/000162828026059794/mdb-073126xex991xrelease.htm))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SEC-NASDAQ-20260901-credo-earnings-guidance", "title": "Credo 营收同比增 114.7%并给出 Q2 指引", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T20:08:16Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T20:08:16Z", "event_type": "earnings_guidance", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": 1 }, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd", "ticker": "CRDO", "fiscal_period": "Q1 FY2027 ended August 1, 2026", "sec_form": "8-K", "sec_acceptance_time_original_et": "September 1, 2026 16:08:16 ET", "revenue_million": {"current": 479.003, "previous_quarter": 437.003, "previous_year": 223.074, "qoq_percent": 9.6, "yoy_percent": 114.7}, "gaap_gross_margin_percent": {"current": 64.5, "previous_quarter": 68.2, "previous_year": 67.4}, "non_gaap_gross_margin_percent": {"current": 68.0, "previous_quarter": 68.3, "previous_year": 67.6}, "gaap_operating_expenses_million": 188.380, "non_gaap_operating_expenses_million": 95.2, "net_income_million": {"gaap_current": 129.425, "previous_quarter": 169.102, "previous_year": 63.399, "non_gaap_current": 236.262, "previous_quarter_non_gaap": 226.680, "previous_year_non_gaap": 98.281}, "diluted_eps": {"gaap_current": 0.67, "previous_quarter": 0.88, "previous_year": 0.34, "non_gaap_current": 1.20, "previous_quarter_non_gaap": 1.16, "previous_year_non_gaap": 0.52}, "ending_cash_and_short_term_investments_million": 764.3, "q2_fy2027_guidance": { "revenue_million_range": [525, 535], "gaap_gross_margin_percent_range": [62.9, 64.9], "non_gaap_gross_margin_percent_range": [67.0, 69.0], "gaap_operating_expenses_million_range": [199, 204], "non_gaap_operating_expenses_million_range": [100, 105] } }, "transmission_chain": "Credo 季度收入同比增长 114.7%，下一季收入指引为 525 至 535 百万美元且高于本季实际 479.003 百万美元→公司收入增长预期获得支撑→纳指半导体与成长股风险偏好获得边际支撑。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续季度收入低于 525 至 535 百万美元指引区间，或毛利率明显低于本次给出的 62.9%至 64.9% GAAP 区间，该偏多判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/0001628280-26-059795-index.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/0001628280-26-059795-index.htm)](https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/0001628280-26-059795-index.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/0001628280-26-059795-index.htm))", "[https://www.[sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/credoq12027ex-991.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/credoq12027ex-991.htm)](https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/credoq12027ex-991.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1807794/000162828026059795/credoq12027ex-991.htm))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "FederalReserve-NASDAQ-20260901-h15-nominal-yields", "title": "H.15 名义收益率长端上行", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T20:15:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T20:15:00Z", "event_type": "rate_path", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": -1 }, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "Federal Reserve Board", "release": "H.15 Selected Interest Rates", "release_date": "September 1, 2026", "release_time_original_et": "4:15 p.m. ET", "data_date": "August 31, 2026", "comparison_date": "August 28, 2026", "unit": "percent per annum", "maturities": { "1_month": {"current": 3.85, "previous": 3.84, "change_bp": 1}, "3_month": {"current": 3.91, "previous": 3.90, "change_bp": 1}, "6_month": {"current": 3.99, "previous": 4.02, "change_bp": -3}, "1_year": {"current": 4.16, "previous": 4.15, "change_bp": 1}, "2_year": {"current": 4.34, "previous": 4.34, "change_bp": 0}, "3_year": {"current": 4.40, "previous": 4.41, "change_bp": -1}, "5_year": {"current": 4.49, "previous": 4.48, "change_bp": 1}, "7_year": {"current": 4.62, "previous": 4.59, "change_bp": 3}, "10_year": {"current": 4.75, "previous": 4.73, "change_bp": 2}, "20_year": {"current": 5.24, "previous": 5.21, "change_bp": 3}, "30_year": {"current": 5.25, "previous": 5.22, "change_bp": 3} } }, "transmission_chain": "H.15 显示 10 年与 30 年期名义收益率分别较 8 月 28 日上行 2 和 3 个基点→名义无风险贴现率基准抬升→在盈利与指引不变时纳指高久期资产估值承压。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续 H.15 同期限收益率回落至 10 年 4.73%与 30 年 5.22%或更低，或纳指成分股盈利与指引上修足以覆盖利率冲击，该偏空判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/)](https://federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "FederalReserve-NASDAQ-20260901-h15-real-yields", "title": "H.15 实际收益率长端继续上行", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T20:15:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T20:15:00Z", "event_type": "rate_path", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": -1 }, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "Federal Reserve Board", "release": "H.15 Selected Interest Rates", "release_date": "September 1, 2026", "release_time_original_et": "4:15 p.m. ET", "data_date": "August 31, 2026", "comparison_date": "August 28, 2026", "unit": "percent per annum", "maturities": { "5_year": {"current": 2.18, "previous": 2.18, "change_bp": 0}, "7_year": {"current": 2.29, "previous": 2.29, "change_bp": 0}, "10_year": {"current": 2.44, "previous": 2.42, "change_bp": 2}, "20_year": {"current": 2.78, "previous": 2.76, "change_bp": 2}, "30_year": {"current": 2.99, "previous": 2.96, "change_bp": 3} } }, "transmission_chain": "H.15 显示 10 年、20 年和 30 年期实际收益率分别上行 2、2 和 3 个基点→实际无风险贴现率基准抬升→在盈利增长预期不变时纳指成长股远期现金流折现压力增加。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续 H.15 实际 10 年、20 年和 30 年期收益率分别回落至 2.42%、2.76%和 2.96%或更低，或盈利增长预期上修足以覆盖实际贴现率升幅，该偏空判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/)](https://federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "USTreasury-NASDAQ-20260901-real-yield-curve", "title": "Treasury 实际曲线长端上移", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T21:20:41Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T21:20:41Z", "event_type": "rate_path", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": -1 }, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "U.S. Department of the Treasury", "series": "Daily Treasury Par Real Yield Curve Rates", "data_date": "September 1, 2026", "comparison_date": "August 28, 2026", "unit": "percent per annum", "feed_updated_at_utc": "2026-09-01T21:20:41Z", "maturities": { "5_year": {"current": 2.18, "previous": 2.18, "change_bp": 0}, "7_year": {"current": 2.30, "previous": 2.29, "change_bp": 1}, "10_year": {"current": 2.44, "previous": 2.42, "change_bp": 2}, "20_year": {"current": 2.78, "previous": 2.76, "change_bp": 2}, "30_year": {"current": 2.98, "previous": 2.96, "change_bp": 2} } }, "transmission_chain": "Treasury 实际 5 年至 30 年期收益率较 8 月 28 日上行 0 至 2 个基点→实际无风险贴现率边际抬升→在增长预期不变时纳指高估值资产承压。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续实际 10 年期收益率回落至 2.42%或更低，且 20 年与 30 年期分别回落至 2.76%与 2.96%或更低，或盈利增长预期上修足以抵消升幅，该偏空判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026))", "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026))", "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&id=307](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&id=307)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&id=307](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&id=307))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "USTreasury-NASDAQ-20260901-bill-yield-curve", "title": "Treasury 国库券短端收益率上行", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T21:20:41Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T21:20:41Z", "event_type": "rate_path", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": -1 }, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "U.S. Department of the Treasury", "series": "Daily Treasury Bill Rates", "data_date": "September 1, 2026", "comparison_date": "August 28, 2026", "unit": "percent per annum", "quote_basis": "bank discount and coupon equivalent", "feed_updated_at_utc": "2026-09-01T21:20:41Z", "maturities": { "4_week": {"current_bank_discount": 3.69, "current_coupon_equivalent": 3.75, "previous_bank_discount": 3.66, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 3.72, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 3}, "6_week": {"current_bank_discount": 3.74, "current_coupon_equivalent": 3.81, "previous_bank_discount": 3.66, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 3.73, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 8}, "8_week": {"current_bank_discount": 3.75, "current_coupon_equivalent": 3.82, "previous_bank_discount": 3.68, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 3.75, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 7}, "13_week": {"current_bank_discount": 3.78, "current_coupon_equivalent": 3.87, "previous_bank_discount": 3.71, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 3.80, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 7}, "17_week": {"current_bank_discount": 3.83, "current_coupon_equivalent": 3.93, "previous_bank_discount": 3.76, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 3.86, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 7}, "26_week": {"current_bank_discount": 3.90, "current_coupon_equivalent": 4.03, "previous_bank_discount": 3.80, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 3.93, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 10}, "52_week": {"current_bank_discount": 4.00, "current_coupon_equivalent": 4.18, "previous_bank_discount": 3.88, "previous_coupon_equivalent": 4.04, "change_coupon_equivalent_bp": 14} } }, "transmission_chain": "Treasury 国库券 13 周至 52 周票面等价收益率较 8 月 28 日上行 7 至 14 个基点→美元短端无风险融资基准抬升→在盈利预期与风险溢价不变时纳指风险偏好承压。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续 13 周与 52 周票面等价收益率分别回落至 3.80%与 4.04%或更低，或盈利预期上修足以覆盖短端成本变化，该偏空判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&field_tdr_date_value=2026)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&field_tdr_date_value=2026](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&field_tdr_date_value=2026))", "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&id=307](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&id=307)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&id=307](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml-item?data=daily_treasury_bill_rates&id=307))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "FederalReserve-NASDAQ-20260901-cp-rates", "title": "商业票据利率与 8 月余额更新", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T00:00:00Z", "event_type": "rate_path", "asset_keys": [ "NASDAQ" ], "direction_score": { "NASDAQ": 0 }, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "publisher": "Federal Reserve Board", "release": "Commercial Paper Rates and Outstanding Summary", "posted_date": "September 1, 2026", "data_as_of": "August 31, 2026", "posting_time_original": "Usually 1:00 p.m. ET; exact posting time not guaranteed", "published_at_utc_interpretation": "Date-only surrogate at 00:00Z; this is not a claim that the release was posted at midnight UTC.", "comparison_date": "August 28, 2026", "unit": { "rates": "percent per annum", "outstanding_levels": "billions of dollars" }, "rates": { "aa_nonfinancial": { "1_day": {"current": 3.63, "previous": 3.62, "change_bp": 1}, "7_day": {"current": 3.67, "previous": 3.65, "change_bp": 2}, "15_day": {"current": 3.67, "previous": 3.68, "change_bp": -1}, "30_day": {"current": 3.67, "previous": 3.68, "change_bp": -1}, "60_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."}, "90_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."} }, "a2_p2_nonfinancial": { "1_day": {"current": 3.80, "previous": 3.79, "change_bp": 1}, "7_day": {"current": 3.84, "previous": 3.88, "change_bp": -4}, "15_day": {"current": 3.88, "previous": 3.87, "change_bp": 1}, "30_day": {"current": 3.94, "previous": 3.91, "change_bp": 3}, "60_day": {"current": 3.98, "previous_source_value": "n.a."}, "90_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."} }, "aa_financial": { "1_day": {"current": 3.63, "previous": 3.62, "change_bp": 1}, "7_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."}, "15_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."}, "30_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."}, "60_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."}, "90_day": {"current_source_value": "n.a.", "previous_source_value": "n.a."} }, "aa_asset_backed": { "1_day": {"current": 3.67, "previous": 3.66, "change_bp": 1}, "7_day": {"current": 3.71, "previous": 3.69, "change_bp": 2}, "15_day": {"current": 3.74, "previous": 3.78, "change_bp": -4}, "30_day": {"current": 3.81, "previous": 3.81, "change_bp": 0}, "60_day": {"current": 3.88, "previous": 3.85, "change_bp": 3}, "90_day": {"current": 3.94, "previous": 3.88, "change_bp": 6} } }, "monthly_end_levels": { "seasonally_adjusted_total": {"current_august": 1408.6, "previous_july": 1408.4, "change_billion": 0.2}, "seasonally_adjusted_nonfinancial": {"current_august": 324.0, "previous_july": 316.8, "change_billion": 7.2}, "seasonally_adjusted_financial": {"current_august": 587.4, "previous_july": 596.8, "change_billion": -9.4}, "seasonally_adjusted_asset_backed": {"current_august": 497.2, "previous_july": 494.8, "change_billion": 2.4} }, "not_available_definition": "n.a. indicates that trade data was insufficient to support calculation of the particular rate." }, "transmission_chain": "商业票据各评级与期限的利率和月末余额变动方向不一致→短期融资压力没有形成单一方向信号→当前对纳指方向评分保持中性。", "invalidation_conditions": "若后续连续两次同口径发布中，AA 非金融、A2/P2 非金融或 AA 资产支持任一类别在至少三个共同期限（1 日、7 日、15 日、30 日）上同向变动，该中性判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/)](https://federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/))" ], "source_tier": "A" } ]