2026-08-19 09:00 科创50ETF外部事件：美国宏观与融资余额新增3条

{ "schema_version": "1.0", "as_of": "2026-08-19T01:08:50Z", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "instrument": { "name": "科创 50ETF", "exchange_symbol": "SSE.588000" }, "events": [ { "event_id": "census-us-20260818-residential-construction", "title": "美国 7 月住房开工季调年率降至 123.9 万套", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-18T12:30:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-18T12:30:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": {"STAR50": 0}, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "原文发布时间": "2026-08-18 08:30 ET（2026-08-18T12:30:00Z）", "统计期": "2026 年 7 月", "建筑许可": "季调年率 144.3 万套，较 6 月修订值 137.4 万套上升 5.0%，较 2025 年 7 月上升 3.1%", "住房开工": "季调年率 123.9 万套，较 6 月修订值 141.5 万套下降 12.4%，较 2025 年 7 月下降 13.5%", "住房竣工": "季调年率 121.2 万套，较 6 月修订值 133.3 万套下降 9.1%，较 2025 年 7 月下降 16.8%", "统计口径": "美国私人住宅，季节调整年率" }, "transmission_chain": "美国 7 月建筑许可增加而住房开工与竣工下降→美国增长和利率预期变量→成长股折现率与全球科技需求预期→科创 50ETF 价格", "invalidation_conditions": "美国人口普查局后续修订 7 月建筑许可、住房开工或住房竣工数据，或后续数据不再支持当前方向组合时，本事件的原始数值记录仍保留但其传导判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html](https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html)](https://census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html](https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html))", "[https://www.[census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html](https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html)](https://census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html](https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "bls-us-20260818-import-export-prices", "title": "美国 7 月进口与出口价格指数环比分别降 0.4%和 1.3%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-18T12:30:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-18T12:30:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": {"STAR50": 0}, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "原文发布时间": "2026-08-18 08:30 ET（2026-08-18T12:30:00Z）", "统计期": "2026 年 7 月", "统计口径": "全商品，指数未经季节调整", "进口价格指数": "149.6，环比下降 0.4%，同比上升 5.9%", "出口价格指数": "165.4，环比下降 1.3%，同比上升 8.2%", "6 月进口价格指数": "150.2", "6 月出口价格指数": "167.6" }, "transmission_chain": "美国 7 月全商品进口与出口价格指数环比下降→美国通胀与利率预期变量→成长股折现率和全球科技需求预期→科创 50ETF 价格", "invalidation_conditions": "美国劳工统计局后续修订 2026 年 7 月进口或出口价格指数，或后续通胀与利率数据否定当前传导方向时，本事件的传导判断失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[bls.gov/news.release/archives/ximpim_08182026.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ximpim_08182026.htm)](https://bls.gov/news.release/archives/ximpim_08182026.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ximpim_08182026.htm))", "[https://www.[bls.gov/schedule/2026/08_sched_list.htm](https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/08_sched_list.htm)](https://bls.gov/schedule/2026/08_sched_list.htm](https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/08_sched_list.htm))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "cls-cn-20260819-margin-balance", "title": "截至 8 月 18 日两市融资余额增加 52.23 亿元", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z", "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-19T00:47:46Z", "event_type": "fund_flow", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": {"STAR50": 1}, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "页面发布时间": "2026-08-19 08:47:46（2026-08-19T00:47:46Z）", "统计截止日": "2026 年 8 月 18 日", "上交所融资余额": "13672.67 亿元，较前一交易日增加 24.17 亿元", "深交所融资余额": "12952.49 亿元，较前一交易日增加 28.06 亿元", "两市融资余额": "26625.16 亿元，较前一交易日增加 52.23 亿元" }, "transmission_chain": "截至 8 月 18 日两市融资余额增加 52.23 亿元→全市场杠杆资金风险偏好变量→科创板成长股资金需求→科创 50ETF 价格", "invalidation_conditions": "后续融资余额数据回落并持续否定本次增加，或出现数据修订时，本事件对风险偏好的传导判断失效；该数字不拆分为科创 50ETF 专属资金流。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.cls.cn/detail/2457781" ], "source_tier": "B" } ], "exclusions": [ "未收录科创板公司回购、减持、解禁、业绩或股权激励事件：本次核验入口未提供可证明属于本窗口的新增数字公告。", "未收录 ETF 行情、指数涨跌、海外指数波动和纯定性产业报道；这些内容不构成当前频道允许的场外结构化事件。" ] }