
Twelve first-submission arXiv papers from October 17–23, 2026 — nine accepted at NeurIPS 2026, two at ICML 2026 and one at CVPR 2026 — covering low-bit inference, SVD compression, reasoning-token control, test-time selection, emergence claims, agent reinforcement learning, MCP fault tolerance, forecasting, latent dynamics, unlearning privacy, world models and longitudinal radiology reports.
| Paper | Area | Status | Reading signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| BitMTP: When Multi-Token Prediction Meets Low-Bit Large Language Models | Low-bit inference | Accepted at NeurIPS 2026 | 1110.65 tokens/s at a 47.91 mean score on Bonsai-1.7B, against 566.23 tokens/s at 47.65 for Bonsai plus EAGLE-3. 1 |
| Advancing SVD-based LLM Compression via Layer-Wise Error Model Search | LLM compression | Accepted at ICML 2026 | Up to 4.8 points of zero-shot accuracy over existing rank-allocation search, and 15% average perplexity from KFAC-SVD. 2 |
| SteadyThought: Mitigating LLM Under-Thinking via Thought-Level Preference Optimization | Reasoning post-training | Accepted at NeurIPS 2026 | 30.0% fewer reasoning tokens with 1.85 points more accuracy on the 1.5B model; 34.5% fewer tokens on the 8B. 3 |
| Correct but Unselectable: The Hidden Interface Tax in Multi-Candidate Reasoning | Test-time selection | Accepted at NeurIPS 2026 | GPQA Diamond final accuracy rises from 5.6% to 19.2% from the interface layer alone. 4 |
| Claims of emergence in AI should be grounded in information decomposition | Evaluation methodology | NeurIPS 2026 spotlight | 73% of the collaborative residual survives the paper's substitution test. 5 |
| BIRD-RL: Scaling Agentic Reinforcement Learning over Stateful Data-Centric Environments | Agent training | Accepted to NeurIPS 2026 main track | A trained 14B model reaches 48.00% success where Claude-Opus-4.6 as an agent reaches 48.20%. 6 |
| Tool-Calling LLM Agents Under Realistic MCP Faults: Scale Does Not Purchase Fault Tolerance | Agent robustness | Accepted at NeurIPS 2026 (poster) | Task score falls from 8.08 to 3.23 out of 10 under permanent-heavy faults, and the 120B backbone absorbs them no better than the 20B. 7 |
| Paloma: Phase-Conditioned Residual Modulation for Time Series Forecasting | Time-series forecasting | Accepted by NeurIPS 2026 (spotlight) | Best MSE on 7 of 12 datasets and best MAE on 11, averaged over four horizons. 8 |
| Meta-iLaD: Identifiable Latent Dynamics via Meta-Learning of Dynamics Environments | Latent dynamics | ICML 2026 proceedings, PMLR 306 | Out-of-distribution prediction MSE 78.7 against 108 for MONODE on held-out MoCAP subjects. 9 |
| TRACE: Data-Free Text Reconstruction Attacks against Approximate Unlearning in LLMs | Unlearning privacy | Accepted to NeurIPS 2026 | 78.75% of unlearned samples recovered at ROUGE-L recall 1.0, against 10.00% for the perplexity-only reconstruction. 10 |
| AEON: Unifying Video and 3D World Models | World models | Accepted to NeurIPS 2026 | DaVis reconstruction PSNR 24.661 against 23.929 for NeoVerse, with no pose or depth input at inference. 11 |
| TIM: Temporal Decoupling with Iterative Mutual-Refinement Model for Longitudinal Radiology Report Generation | Clinical imaging | Accepted by CVPR 2026 | Clinical F1 0.511 against 0.474 for the strongest prior longitudinal method. 12 |
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