2026-08-20 13:00｜有色金属事件流（3条）
覆盖2026-08-20 11:00—13:00窗口，收录Mysteel铜区域升贴水、SMM华北铜基差与华南铝现货升水三条可核验事件。
[
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cu-20260820-regional_premium",
"title": "Mysteel 1#电解铜11地区升贴水9跌2涨",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-20T03:54:00Z",
"asset_keys": ["NONFERROUS"],
"direction_score": {"NONFERROUS": -1},
"confidence": 97,
"horizon": "intraday",
"raw_facts": {
"metal": "铜",
"grade": "1#电解铜",
"contract": "当月合约",
"observation_date": "2026-08-20",
"change_reference_date": "2026-08-19",
"unit": "元/吨",
"change_definition": "change为各地区均值相对2026-08-19同口径均值的变化",
"regional_premium": {
"上海": {"range_low": 250, "range_high": 400, "average": 325, "change": -50},
"江苏": {"range_low": 280, "range_high": 400, "average": 340, "change": -35},
"山东": {"range_low": 180, "range_high": 240, "average": 210, "change": -40},
"江西": {"range_low": 280, "range_high": 370, "average": 325, "change": -50},
"天津": {"range_low": 140, "range_high": 160, "average": 150, "change": -15},
"广东": {"range_low": 110, "range_high": 180, "average": 145, "change": 25},
"湖北": {"range_low": 340, "range_high": 340, "average": 340, "change": -30},
"安徽": {"range_low": 300, "range_high": 410, "average": 355, "change": -20},
"河南": {"range_low": 160, "range_high": 200, "average": 180, "change": -20},
"重庆": {"range_low": 20, "range_high": 280, "average": 150, "change": 40},
"辽宁": {"range_low": 140, "range_high": 160, "average": 150, "change": -10}
},
"regional_direction": {"regions_total": 11, "declines": 9, "increases": 2, "increase_regions": ["广东", "重庆"]},
"cross_check_1102_table": {
"report_publish_time": "2026-08-20 11:02:00+08:00",
"unit": "元/吨",
"contract": "沪铜2609合约",
"上海": {
"1#电解铜": {"price": 107520, "price_change": 405, "premium_average": 325, "premium_change": -50},
"升水铜": {"price": 107550, "price_change": 400, "premium_average": 390, "premium_change": -40},
"平水铜": {"price": 107455, "price_change": 395, "premium_average": 295, "premium_change": -45},
"湿法铜": {"price": 107410, "price_change": 390, "premium_average": 250, "premium_change": -50}
},
"广东": {
"1#电解铜": {"price": 107305, "price_change": 465, "premium_average": 145, "premium_change": 25},
"升水铜": {"price": 107340, "price_change": 460, "premium_average": 180, "premium_change": 20},
"平水铜": {"price": 107270, "price_change": 470, "premium_average": 110, "premium_change": 30},
"湿法铜": {"price": 107190, "price_change": 470, "premium_average": 60, "premium_change": 30}
},
"天津": {"1#电解铜": {"price": 107310, "price_change": 425, "premium_average": 150, "premium_change": -15}},
"重庆": {"1#电解铜": {"price": 107370, "price_change": 470, "premium_average": 150, "premium_change": 40}},
"山东": {"1#电解铜": {"price": 107370, "price_change": 400, "premium_average": 210, "premium_change": -40}}
},
"direction_score_basis": "11个地区的1#电解铜现货均值相对前一交易日9跌2涨，方向分值反映现货基差对有色金属价格的短线边际传导，不代表现货绝对价格涨跌。",
"source_roles": {
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082011/7ED8B1BB683A26B7.html": "11个地区的升贴水区间、均值及较2026-08-19变化",
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082011/E19E4B8E73718026.html": "上海、广东、天津、重庆、山东五市场11:00价格及升贴水明细交叉核验"
}
},
"transmission_chain": "11个地区的1#电解铜均值相对2026-08-19为9跌2涨，上海均值降至325元/吨→当月合约现货基差总体转弱、区域分化仍在→沪铜当月合约的现货支撑边际减弱。",
"invalidation_conditions": "2026-08-21同口径中至少6个地区均值转为上涨，或上海均值回升至375元/吨及以上。",
"source_urls": [
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082011/7ED8B1BB683A26B7.html",
"https://youse.mysteel.com/a/26082011/E19E4B8E73718026.html"
],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "smm-cu-20260820-huabei_premium",
"title": "SMM华北1#电解铜均价升水125元/吨",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-20T03:17:00Z",
"asset_keys": ["NONFERROUS"],
"direction_score": {"NONFERROUS": -1},
"confidence": 94,
"horizon": "intraday",
"raw_facts": {
"metal": "铜",
"region": "华北",
"grade": "1#电解铜",
"contract": "当月合约",
"observation_date": "2026-08-20",
"change_reference_date": "2026-08-19",
"unit": "元/吨",
"premium_range_low": 50,
"premium_range_high": 200,
"premium_average": 125,
"premium_average_change": -25,
"trade_average_price": 107225,
"trade_average_price_change": 355,
"change_definition": "两项change均为相对2026-08-19同口径数值的变化",
"published_at_definition": "published_at_utc为详情页发布时间，不等于行情观测时刻",
"direction_score_basis": "均价升水相对前一交易日减少25元/吨，方向分值反映现货基差对有色金属价格的短线边际传导，不代表成交均价涨跌。"
},
"transmission_chain": "华北1#电解铜均价升水125元/吨、较2026-08-19减少25元/吨，而成交均价107225元/吨上升355元/吨→绝对价格上涨但当月合约现货基差转弱→沪铜当月合约的基差支撑边际减弱。",
"invalidation_conditions": "2026-08-21同口径华北均价升水回升至125元/吨及以上，或均价升水变化转为正值。",
"source_urls": ["https://hq.smm.cn/copper/content/104069877"],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "smm-al-20260820-huanan_premium",
"title": "SMM华南A00铝主流报价升水0—10元/吨",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"event_time_utc": null,
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-20T03:16:00Z",
"asset_keys": ["NONFERROUS"],
"direction_score": {"NONFERROUS": 0},
"confidence": 91,
"horizon": "intraday",
"raw_facts": {
"metal": "铝",
"region": "华南（佛山）",
"grade": "A00铝锭",
"contract": "沪铝2609",
"observation_date": "2026-08-20",
"unit": "元/吨",
"mainstream_quote_premium_low": 0,
"mainstream_quote_premium_high": 10,
"deal_premium_low": 75,
"deal_premium_high": 115,
"source_wording": "主流报价重心稳步抬升；现货成交价集中在沪铝2609合约升水75—115元/吨",
"direction_score_basis": "原文给出当日主流报价和成交升水区间，但未提供同口径前一交易日数值，故方向分值为中性0。"
},
"transmission_chain": "华南A00铝主流报价升水0—10元/吨、成交升水75—115元/吨→现货对沪铝2609维持正基差→对沪铝2609形成静态支撑，但本条未确认方向性变化。",
"invalidation_conditions": "主流报价区间下沿低于0元/吨，或成交升水区间下沿低于0元/吨。",
"source_urls": ["https://hq.smm.cn/aluminum/content/104069679"],
"source_tier": "B"
}
]This story was produced automatically by a channel. One sentence is all it takes for Neodrop to keep producing for you.
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