2026-09-02 09:00 科创50ETF:隔夜宏观、政策与两融

2026-09-02 09:00 科创50ETF:隔夜宏观、政策与两融

覆盖2026年9月1日15:00至9月2日09:00窗口内的美国宏观、国家能源局电网技术部署与两市融资余额数字,事件均附时间质量、传导链和原始来源。

{ "schema_version": "1.0", "as_of": "2026-09-02T09:20:13+08:00", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "instrument": { "name": "科创 50ETF", "exchange_symbol": "SSE.588000" }, "events": [ { "event_id": "bls-macro-20260901-jolts-july", "title": "美国 7 月职位空缺 727.1 万", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 0 }, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "美国 7 月职位空缺": "727.1 万(季调)", "职位空缺率": "4.4%", "7 月招聘人数": "505.4 万", "7 月总离职人数": "507.2 万", "7 月主动离职人数": "311.3 万", "耐用品制造业职位空缺月增": "7.6 万", "6 月职位空缺修订": "向下修订 17.7 万至 718.2 万" }, "transmission_chain": "美国职位空缺与招聘离职数据→美国增长和利率预期→科创 50ETF 估值折现率与风险偏好", "invalidation_conditions": "后续 BLS 修订 7 月职位空缺、招聘或离职数字时,本事件按修订值失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[bls.gov/news.release/archives/jolts_09012026.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/jolts_09012026.htm)](https://bls.gov/news.release/archives/jolts_09012026.htm](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/jolts_09012026.htm))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "ism-macro-20260901-manufacturing-pmi-546", "title": "美国 8 月制造业 PMI 为 54.6%", "event_time_utc": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z", "event_type": "macro_release", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 0 }, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "8 月制造业 PMI": "54.6%", "7 月制造业 PMI": "55.6%", "8 月新订单指数": "53.7%", "8 月生产指数": "58.3%", "8 月就业指数": "51.2%", "8 月价格指数": "71.1%", "8 月供应商交付指数": "59.3%" }, "transmission_chain": "美国制造业 PMI 仍处扩张区间但较 7 月回落且价格指数为 71.1%→制造业需求与成本信号分化→科创 50ETF 外部增长与利率预期同时变化", "invalidation_conditions": "后续 ISM 修订 8 月制造业 PMI 或分项指数时,本事件按修订值失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-54-6-august-2026-ism-manufacturing-pmi-report-302865127.html](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-54-6-august-2026-ism-manufacturing-pmi-report-302865127.html)](https://prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-54-6-august-2026-ism-manufacturing-pmi-report-302865127.html](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-54-6-august-2026-ism-manufacturing-pmi-report-302865127.html))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "cls-regulation-20260902-nea-grid-5pct", "title": "国家能源局部署新型电网技术研发", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-02T00:40:50Z", "event_type": "regulation", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 1 }, "confidence": 80, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": { "十五五期间电力需求年均增速": "约 5%", "国家能源局部署技术方向": "人工智能+、柔性构网、智能调控、长时储能", "会议日期": "2026 年 9 月 1 日" }, "transmission_chain": "国家能源局披露十五五期间电力需求年均增长约 5%并部署人工智能+与算电协同等新型电网技术→AI 算力供电与基础设施建设预期→科创 50ETF 相关硬科技风险偏好", "invalidation_conditions": "后续国家能源局或同口径官方文件撤回、修订电力需求增速或技术部署内容时,本事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "https://api3.cls.cn/share/article/2471462?os=&sv=8.4.4&app=CailianpressWap" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "cls-fundflow-20260902-two-market-margin-1419", "title": "两市融资余额增加 14.19 亿元", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-09-02T00:47:39Z", "event_type": "fund_flow", "asset_keys": ["STAR50"], "direction_score": { "STAR50": 0 }, "confidence": 99, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": { "截至 9 月 1 日上交所融资余额": "13467.61 亿元,较前一交易日减少 7.63 亿元", "截至 9 月 1 日深交所融资余额": "12817.77 亿元,较前一交易日增加 21.82 亿元", "截至 9 月 1 日两市融资余额": "26285.38 亿元,较前一交易日增加 14.19 亿元" }, "transmission_chain": "截至 9 月 1 日两市融资余额增加 14.19 亿元但上交所融资余额减少 7.63 亿元→全市场杠杆资金边际变化与科创板所在市场信号分化→科创 50ETF 资金面方向待后续数据确认", "invalidation_conditions": "后续同口径融资余额数据修正 9 月 1 日上交所、深交所或两市合计数字时,本事件按修订值失效。", "source_urls": [ "https://api3.cls.cn/share/article/2471469?os=&sv=8.4.4&app=CailianpressWap" ], "source_tier": "B" } ], "exclusions": [ "美国人口普查局 2026 年 7 月建筑支出页面仅显示 2026 年 9 月 1 日日期,未提供可核验原文发布时间,未纳入。", "台积电微通道散热技术、三星电机 MLCC 合同及戴尔 AI 服务器解读虽有数字,但不属于本频道允许事件类型或允许的数值性转述范围,未纳入。", "2026 年 9 月 2 日 09:01 后国内商品期货开盘数据超出本次 09:00 窗口,未纳入。" ] }

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