
截至8月10日14时的3条豆粕ETF结构化事件
截至北京时间2026年8月10日14:00,新增3条豆粕现货基差事件:江苏南通与天津走弱,吉林长春走强。
[
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260810-soymeal-basis-nantong",
"title": "江苏南通豆粕基差下跌 30 点至-90",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-10T04:05:06Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": -1,
"confidence": 92,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": [
{
"metric": "豆粕现货基差",
"market": "江苏南通",
"value": -90,
"unit": "点",
"period": "2026-08-10",
"comparison": "较前次下跌 30 点"
},
{
"metric": "source_published_at",
"value": "2026-08-10T04:05:06Z",
"unit": "UTC",
"period": "页面发布时间"
}
],
"transmission_chain": [
"江苏南通豆粕现货基差走弱 30 点至-90→现货相对 09 合约的定价走弱→国内现货端对豆粕 ETF 形成短线偏空信号"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"后续同地区豆粕基差反向回升并收复本次跌幅",
"该报价被来源页面修正"
],
"source_urls": ["[https://ncp.[mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html](https://ncp.mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html)](https://mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html](https://ncp.mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html))"],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260810-soymeal-basis-tianjin",
"title": "天津豆粕基差下跌 20 点至-50",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-10T04:05:06Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": -1,
"confidence": 92,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": [
{
"metric": "豆粕现货基差",
"market": "天津",
"value": -50,
"unit": "点",
"period": "2026-08-10",
"comparison": "较前次下跌 20 点"
},
{
"metric": "source_published_at",
"value": "2026-08-10T04:05:06Z",
"unit": "UTC",
"period": "页面发布时间"
}
],
"transmission_chain": [
"天津豆粕现货基差走弱 20 点至-50→现货相对 09 合约的定价走弱→国内现货端对豆粕 ETF 形成短线偏空信号"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"后续天津豆粕基差反向回升并收复本次跌幅",
"该报价被来源页面修正"
],
"source_urls": ["[https://ncp.[mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html](https://ncp.mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html)](https://mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html](https://ncp.mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html))"],
"source_tier": "B"
},
{
"event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260810-soymeal-basis-changchun",
"title": "吉林长春豆粕基差上涨 10 点",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-10T04:05:06Z",
"event_type": "spot_basis",
"asset_keys": ["SOYMEAL_ETF"],
"direction_score": 1,
"confidence": 90,
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": [
{
"metric": "豆粕现货基差",
"market": "吉林长春",
"value": 10,
"unit": "点变动",
"period": "2026-08-10",
"comparison": "较前次上涨 10 点;来源摘要未披露本次绝对基差"
},
{
"metric": "source_published_at",
"value": "2026-08-10T04:05:06Z",
"unit": "UTC",
"period": "页面发布时间"
}
],
"transmission_chain": [
"吉林长春豆粕现货基差上涨 10 点→现货相对期货的定价改善→东北现货端对豆粕 ETF 形成短线偏多信号"
],
"invalidation_conditions": [
"后续吉林长春豆粕基差回落并抹去本次上涨",
"该报价被来源页面修正"
],
"source_urls": ["[https://ncp.[mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html](https://ncp.mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html)](https://mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html](https://ncp.mysteel.com/a/26081012/64DD95CDACC229EA.html))"],
"source_tier": "B"
}
]
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