10:30｜上金所金银走强，TIPS回落，SLV持仓见25日

{ "window_start_utc": "2026-08-25T18:30:00Z", "window_end_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "timezone": "Asia/Shanghai", "events": [ { "event_id": "SGE-AU-20260826-day-delayed-au9999-1006", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上金所延时 Au99.99 报 1006.0 元", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 1}, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "上海黄金交易所 2026 年 08 月 26 日延时行情表：Au99.99 最新价 1006.0 CNY/g，最高价 1006.7 CNY/g，最低价 992.08 CNY/g，今开盘 1002.0 CNY/g。相对上一期 02:30 夜盘增量延时快照最新价 1002.01 CNY/g 增加 3.99 CNY/g，约增加 0.3982%。会话最高价由上一期快照的 1004.0 CNY/g 上移至 1006.7 CNY/g。页面标题与时间标注「2026 年 08 月 26 日延时行情」，未提供精确发布时间。", "transmission_chain": "上金所日盘延时 Au99.99 自 1002.01 升至 1006.0 CNY/g 且最高价上移→场内黄金即时报价走强→AU 短线报价偏强", "invalidation_conditions": "上金所后续修正 2026-08-26 延时行情快照，或更高频官方报价取代该数值时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/yshqbg"], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SGE-AU-20260826-day-delayed-autd-10055", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上金所延时 Au(T+D)报 1005.5 元", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 1}, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "上海黄金交易所 2026 年 08 月 26 日延时行情表：Au(T+D)最新价 1005.5 CNY/g，最高价 1006.71 CNY/g，最低价 993.17 CNY/g，今开盘 1001.0 CNY/g。相对上一期 02:30 夜盘增量延时快照最新价 1003.39 CNY/g 增加 2.11 CNY/g，约增加 0.2103%。会话最高价由上一期快照的 1004.5 CNY/g 上移至 1006.71 CNY/g。页面标注「2026 年 08 月 26 日延时行情」，未提供精确发布时间。", "transmission_chain": "日盘延时 Au(T+D)自 1003.39 升至 1005.5 CNY/g→上金所黄金延期合约报价走强→AU 短线延期端偏强", "invalidation_conditions": "上金所后续修正 2026-08-26 延时行情快照，或更高频官方报价取代该数值时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/yshqbg"], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SGE-AG-20260826-day-delayed-agtd-16843", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上金所延时 Ag(T+D)升至 16843 元", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "asset_keys": ["AG"], "direction_score": {"AG": 2}, "confidence": 98, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "上海黄金交易所 2026 年 08 月 26 日延时行情表：Ag(T+D)最新价 16843.0 CNY/kg，最高价 16896.0 CNY/kg，最低价 16359.0 CNY/kg，今开盘 16533.0 CNY/kg。相对上一期 02:30 夜盘增量延时快照最新价 16693.0 CNY/kg 增加 150.0 CNY/kg，约增加 0.8986%。会话最高价由上一期快照的 16715.0 CNY/kg 上移至 16896.0 CNY/kg。页面标注「2026 年 08 月 26 日延时行情」，未提供精确发布时间。", "transmission_chain": "日盘延时 Ag(T+D)自 16693.0 升至 16843.0 CNY/kg 且最高价上移至 16896.0→上金所白银延期合约报价显著走强→AG 短线价格偏强", "invalidation_conditions": "上金所后续修正 2026-08-26 延时行情快照，或更高频官方报价取代该数值时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/yshqbg"], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SHFE-AU-20260826-au2610-intraday-101044", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上期所 AU2610 盘中高 1010.44 持仓减 1448", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 1}, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "上海期货交易所日交易快讯接口 kx20260826.dat（report_date 20260826，update_date 20260826 10:44:04 Asia/Shanghai，o_day=26 星期三）：黄金 AU2610 开盘价 1004，最高价 1010.44，最低价 995.5，收盘价与结算价字段为空（盘中未收市）；前结算价 1008.92；成交量 251089；持仓量 199636；持仓变化 -1448。上一交易日频道已发 AU2610 收盘 1004.22、结算 1008.92、持仓变化 -7860。本条为 2026-08-26 日盘盘中可核验新快照。raw_facts 日期原文：20260826。", "transmission_chain": "沪金主力 AU2610 日盘最高价上探至 1010.44 且持仓减少 1448 手→国内黄金期货价格区间上移、持仓去化→AU 短线期货端偏强至中性", "invalidation_conditions": "上期所收盘后发布最终日交易快讯并改写上述盘中字段，或同日更高权威结算价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/dailydata/kx20260826.dat"], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SHFE-AG-20260826-ag2610-intraday-16989", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上期所 AG2610 盘中高 16989 持仓减 3903", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "asset_keys": ["AG"], "direction_score": {"AG": 1}, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "同一上期所 kx20260826.dat：白银 AG2610 开盘价 16598，最高价 16989，最低价 16402，收盘价与结算价字段为空（盘中未收市）；前结算价 16775；成交量 500246；持仓量 278340；持仓变化 -3903。白银品种小计成交量 799050、持仓 552550、持仓变化 -9956。上一交易日频道已发 AG2610 收盘 16631、结算 16775、持仓变化 -16027。本条为 2026-08-26 日盘盘中可核验新快照。raw_facts 日期原文：20260826。", "transmission_chain": "沪银主力 AG2610 日盘最高价上探至 16989 且持仓减少 3903 手→国内白银期货价格区间上移、持仓去化→AG 短线期货端偏强", "invalidation_conditions": "上期所收盘后发布最终日交易快讯并改写上述盘中字段，或同日更高权威结算价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/dailydata/kx20260826.dat"], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "Treasury-AU-20260825-tips-real-yield", "event_type": "real_rate", "title": "美债 TIPS 实际收益率 8 月 25 日全线回落", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-25T15:45:07Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 1}, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": "美国财政部 Daily Treasury Real Yield Curve Rates CSV（2026）：08/25/2026 为 5Y 2.04、7Y 2.16、10Y 2.32、20Y 2.70、30Y 2.92。相对 08/24/2026 的 5Y 2.09、7Y 2.22、10Y 2.38、20Y 2.75、30Y 2.97，各期限分别约 -0.05、-0.06、-0.06、-0.05、-0.05 个百分点。Treasury XML 源 feed updated 2026-08-25T15:45:07Z。上一期频道 02:30 运行时 CSV 最新可读日期仍为 08/24/2026，本窗口首次核验并入流 08/25 新行。raw_facts 日期原文：08/25/2026。", "transmission_chain": "美国财政部公布 8 月 25 日 TIPS 实际收益率曲线且 10 年期自 2.38% 降至 2.32%→持有无息黄金的机会成本下降→AU 实际利率通道偏多", "invalidation_conditions": "财政部后续修订 08/25/2026 实际收益率行，或同日更高权威官方曲线与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ 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"[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/xml?data=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202608))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "iShares-AG-20260825-slv-ounces-trust", "event_type": "etf_flow", "title": "iShares SLV 信托持仓更新至 8 月 25 日", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:30:00Z", "asset_keys": ["AG"], "direction_score": {"AG": -1}, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": "iShares Silver Trust（SLV）官网 Key Facts：Ounces in Trust 493,923,098.00 as of Aug 25, 2026；Tonnes in Trust 15,362.73；Net Assets of Fund $33,509,363,025；Shares Outstanding 546,450,000；Closing Price $62.32；NAV $61.325 as of Aug 25, 2026；1 Day NAV Change -$0.77（-1.25%）。相对上一期频道可读官网快照 as of Aug 24, 2026 Ounces in Trust 495,097,780.60，官网口径信托白银约减少 1,174,682.60 金衡盎司。同轮 JPM SLV 金条清单仍为 As at:25-August-2026 Total Fine Ounces 493,923,791.900（与上一期已发托管行清单同值，本条仅记录官网全信托字段首次切换至 8 月 25 日）。raw_facts 日期原文：Aug 25, 2026。", "transmission_chain": "SLV 官网信托持仓自 8 月 24 日切换至 8 月 25 日且 Ounces in Trust 减少约 117.47 万金衡盎司→可核验白银 ETF 实物持仓下降→AG ETF 实物端偏空", "invalidation_conditions": "iShares 后续替换 Aug 25, 2026 官网信托字段，或托管行同日全量清单与之严重冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund](https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund)](https://ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund](https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund))", "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "CLS-AU-20260826-spot-gold-465865", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "财联社：现货金收报 4658.65 美元涨 0.15%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-25T22:30:43Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-25T22:30:43Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 1}, "confidence": 90, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "财联社电报 detail/2464168，页面标注「2026 年 08 月 26 日 06:30:43」（Asia/Shanghai，对应 2026-08-25T22:30:43Z）：国际金价小幅上涨，截至收盘，现货黄金价格涨 0.15%，报 4658.65 美元/盎司。上一期频道已发路透 1816 GMT 现货金 4647.03；本条为窗口内财联社收盘口径新报价。", "transmission_chain": "财联社转述现货黄金收报 4658.65 美元/盎司（+0.15%）→国际金价隔夜收盘走强→AU 短线价格偏强", "invalidation_conditions": "财联社后续更正该条电报报价，或同一收盘时点权威一手报价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.cls.cn/detail/2464168"], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "CLS-AG-20260826-spot-silver-6864", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "财联社：现货银收报 68.64 美元跌 0.44%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-25T22:30:43Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-25T22:30:43Z", "asset_keys": ["AG"], "direction_score": {"AG": -1}, "confidence": 90, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "同一财联社电报 detail/2464168（2026 年 08 月 26 日 06:30:43 Asia/Shanghai）：现货白银价格跌 0.44%，报 68.64 美元/盎司。上一期频道已发路透 1816 GMT 现货银 68.86；本 68.64 为窗口内财联社收盘口径更新值。", "transmission_chain": "财联社转述现货白银收报 68.64 美元/盎司（-0.44%）→国际银价隔夜收盘回落→AG 短线价格偏弱", "invalidation_conditions": "财联社后续更正该条电报报价，或同一收盘时点权威一手报价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["https://www.cls.cn/detail/2464168"], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260826-spot-gold-465239", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "路透：现货金 4652.39 美元、美盘期金 4709.20", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-26T01:50:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:07:52.909Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 0}, "confidence": 93, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "Reuters 稿「Gold holds steady as investors focus on US inflation data」正文：Spot gold was little changed at $4,652.39 per ounce, as of 0150 GMT；U.S. gold futures were up 0.3% at $4,709.20。页面 meta article:published_time=2026-08-26T00:30:26.515Z，article:modified_time=2026-08-26T02:07:52.909Z。相对上一期已发 1816 GMT 现货金 4647.03 与结算期金 4694.50，为窗口内亚盘更新报价。", "transmission_chain": "现货金报 4652.39 美元/盎司基本持平、美盘期金报 4709.20（+0.3%）→国际金价在亚盘维持高位震荡→AU 短线价格中性偏稳", "invalidation_conditions": "路透后续更正该条报价，或同一时点权威一手报价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/))"], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AG-20260826-spot-silver-6909", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "路透：现货白银报 69.09 美元涨 0.7%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-26T01:50:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:07:52.909Z", "asset_keys": ["AG"], "direction_score": {"AG": 1}, "confidence": 93, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "同一 Reuters 贵金属稿：spot silver gained 0.7% to $69.09，platinum rose 0.6% to $1,869.22，palladium firmed 1.4% to $1,345.30。报价时点与同稿现货金一并写为 as of 0150 GMT。页面 meta article:modified_time=2026-08-26T02:07:52.909Z。相对上一期已发 1816 GMT 现货银 68.86 与财联社收盘 68.64，本 69.09 为窗口内亚盘更新值。", "transmission_chain": "现货白银报 69.09 美元/盎司（+0.7%）→国际银价在亚盘回升→AG 短线价格偏强", "invalidation_conditions": "路透后续更正该条报价，或同一时点权威一手报价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/))"], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260826-fedwatch-sep-hold-636", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "路透：CME FedWatch 押注 9 月按兵不动 63.6%", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T02:07:52.909Z", "asset_keys": ["AU"], "direction_score": {"AU": 1}, "confidence": 88, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": "同一 Reuters 2026-08-26 贵金属稿转述：Traders are pricing in a 63.6% chance that the Fed will leave rates unchanged next month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool。稿内同时提示关注当日 1230 GMT 的美国 7 月 PCE 与周五 Jackson Hole 沃什讲话。上一期频道已发同系列稿中 9 月加息约 38% 的 FedWatch 读数；本条为窗口内更新后的按兵不动概率。raw_facts 日期原文：Aug 26 (Reuters)。", "transmission_chain": "CME FedWatch 显示 9 月维持利率不变概率约 63.6%→市场对近月加息预期降温→实际利率与美元路径对 AU 的压制减弱", "invalidation_conditions": "路透或 CME FedWatch 后续更新显著改写该概率，或 FOMC 实际决议与路径预期冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": ["[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/))"], "source_tier": "B" } ], "coverage_gaps": [ { "item": "GLD 每日持仓全量变动（官网贸易日字段）", "status": "部分交付", "detail": "本窗口 iShares SLV 官网已切换至 Aug 25, 2026 并入流 Ounces in Trust 493,923,098.00。但 SPDR GLD 官网 Total Net Asset Value/Ounces/Tonnes 仍为 AWAITING；JPM GLD 金条清单与 HSBC GLD 金条清单均仍为 As at/As Of C.O.B 25-August-2026（JPM Total Fine Ounces 31,394,951.613；HSBC Total Allocated Fine Weight 2,411,823.374），与上一期已发同值未重复入流。无法合成 GLD 官网口径日度全信托新变动。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/](https://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/)](https://spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/](https://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/))", "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf))", "[https://api.[spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld](https://api.spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld)](https://spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld](https://api.spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld))" ] }, { "item": "COMEX 金银 registered/eligible 库存分级变动", "status": "未交付", "detail": "Gold_Stocks.xls 与 Silver_stocks.xls 对本 IP 仍返回 403；Registrar Reports 入口未取得可核验分级库存表。未使用非白名单转述。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html)](https://cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html))", "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls)](https://cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls))", "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls)](https://cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls))" ] }, { "item": "上期所 2026-08-26 仓单日报", "status": "未交付", "detail": "dailystock_20260826/ZH/all.html 返回 404；stock_ag_20260826.dat 返回 404。可读取的仍为 20260825 仓单（上一期 20:30 已入流黄金仓单 113658 kg、白银 1412903 kg），未把旧仓单冒充本窗口新日报。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/stockdata/dailystock_20260826/ZH/all.html", "https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/dailydata/stock_ag_20260826.dat", "https://www.shfe.com.cn/data/tradedata/future/stockdata/dailystock_20260825/ZH/all.html" ] } ] }