8月27日13时:川渝豆粕现货大涨90—100元

8月27日13时:川渝豆粕现货大涨90—100元

北京时间11:00至13:00,四川与重庆43%豆粕现货分别普涨90元与90—100元/吨,华北、华东同步上调,全国基差分化,共6条可回源事件。

[ { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260827-ld-southchina-basis", "title": "路易达孚华南基差持稳,9 月 M2701-50", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-27T03:25:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": [ "SOYMEAL_ETF" ], "direction_score": 0, "confidence": 95, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-27", "region": "华南", "mill": "路易达孚(华南)", "basis_yuan_per_ton": [ { "delivery_window": "2026 年 9 月", "contract": "M2701", "basis": -50 }, { "delivery_window": "2026 年 10 月至 2027 年 1 月", "contract": "M2701", "basis": 10 }, { "delivery_window": "2027 年 5 月至 7 月", "contract": "M2705", "basis": 0 } ], "supply_note": "限量供应", "basis_direction": "稳定", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 27 日路易达孚(华南)油厂豆粕基差出厂价:9 月合约 M2701-50 元/吨;10 月至次年 1 月合约 M2701+10 元/吨;2027 年 5 月至 7 月合约 M2705+0 元/吨;均注明限量供应,页面表述为稳定。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 27 日 11:25 发布路易达孚(华南)油厂豆粕基差,三条合约基差均表述为稳定且限量供应。", "基差持稳意味着近端升贴水未再收紧或放宽,对 SOYMEAL_ETF 方向评分为 0(中性)。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 27 日路易达孚华南各合约基差数值。", "路易达孚华南后续基差报价较本次披露出现明确上调或下调。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/0EF5915F4C2DEBE7_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/0EF5915F4C2DEBE7_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/0EF5915F4C2DEBE7_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/0EF5915F4C2DEBE7_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260827-sichuan-spot-up", "title": "四川 43%豆粕普涨 90 元,三厂均报 3320", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-27T03:31:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": [ "SOYMEAL_ETF" ], "direction_score": 2, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-27", "region": "四川", "spot_price_yuan_per_ton": { "protein_percent": 43, "markets": [ { "market": "成都中储粮", "range": [ 3320, 3320 ], "change": 90 }, { "market": "广汉益海", "range": [ 3320, 3320 ], "change": 90 }, { "market": "彭山中粮", "range": [ 3320, 3320 ], "change": 90 } ] }, "spot_direction": "上涨", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 27 日四川市场 43%豆粕现货价格上涨:成都中储粮、广汉益海及彭山中粮报价均为 3320 元/吨,较此前均上涨 90 元/吨。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 27 日 11:31 发布四川市场豆粕现货价格,三家主流厂 43%豆粕统一上调 90 元/吨至 3320 元/吨。", "西南内陆现货单日大幅上调抬升国内豆粕现货重心,对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成短线偏多传导,方向评分为+2。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 27 日四川市场各厂报价或涨跌金额。", "四川后续现货报价回落并覆盖本次 90 元涨幅。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/8899A2D8B1DC3B09_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/8899A2D8B1DC3B09_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/8899A2D8B1DC3B09_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/8899A2D8B1DC3B09_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260827-chongqing-spot-up", "title": "重庆 43%豆粕上调,江津益海 3280 涨 100", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-27T03:31:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": [ "SOYMEAL_ETF" ], "direction_score": 3, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-27", "region": "重庆", "spot_price_yuan_per_ton": { "protein_percent": 43, "markets": [ { "market": "江津益海", "range": [ 3280, 3280 ], "change": 100 }, { "market": "重庆一德", "range": [ 3240, 3240 ], "change": 90 } ] }, "spot_direction": "上调", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 27 日重庆市场 43%豆粕现货价格上调:江津益海报 3280 元/吨上涨 100 元;重庆一德报 3240 元/吨上涨 90 元。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 27 日 11:31 发布重庆市场豆粕现货价格,江津益海与重庆一德 43%豆粕分别上调 100 元与 90 元/吨。", "西南港口厂提现货单日近百元上调强化内陆豆粕现货偏紧预期,对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成短线偏多传导,方向评分为+3。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 27 日重庆市场各厂报价或涨跌金额。", "重庆后续现货报价回落并覆盖本次 90—100 元涨幅。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/76C0C1BA409B6697_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/76C0C1BA409B6697_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/76C0C1BA409B6697_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/76C0C1BA409B6697_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260827-huabei-spot-up", "title": "华北 43%豆粕普涨 30 元,三厂均报 3190", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-27T03:47:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": [ "SOYMEAL_ETF" ], "direction_score": 1, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-27", "region": "华北", "spot_price_yuan_per_ton": { "protein_percent": 43, "markets": [ { "market": "天津九三", "range": [ 3190, 3190 ], "change": 30 }, { "market": "北京汇福", "range": [ 3190, 3190 ], "change": 30 }, { "market": "黄骅嘉好", "range": [ 3190, 3190 ], "change": 30 } ] }, "spot_direction": "上涨", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 27 日华北市场 43%豆粕价格上涨:天津九三、北京汇福及黄骅嘉好报价均为 3190 元/吨,较此前均上涨 30 元/吨。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 27 日 11:47 发布华北市场豆粕现货价格,三家主流厂 43%豆粕统一上调 30 元/吨至 3190 元/吨。", "华北现货同步上移抬升国内豆粕现货重心,对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成短线偏多传导,方向评分为+1。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 27 日华北市场各厂报价或涨跌金额。", "华北后续现货报价回落并覆盖本次 30 元涨幅。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/161E84C3E66483E4_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/161E84C3E66483E4_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/161E84C3E66483E4_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082711/161E84C3E66483E4_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260827-eastchina-spot-up", "title": "华东 43%豆粕上调 20—30 元,泰州汇福 3170", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-27T04:03:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": [ "SOYMEAL_ETF" ], "direction_score": 1, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-27", "region": "华东", "spot_price_yuan_per_ton": { "protein_percent": 43, "markets": [ { "market": "泰州汇福", "range": [ 3170, 3170 ], "change": 20 }, { "market": "泰兴邦基", "range": [ 3180, 3180 ], "change": 30 }, { "market": "舟山中海", "range": [ 3220, 3220 ], "change": 30 }, { "market": "宁波金光", "range": [ 3230, 3230 ], "change": 20 }, { "market": "芜湖益海", "range": [ 3190, 3190 ], "change": 20 } ] }, "spot_direction": "上调", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 27 日华东市场 43%豆粕现货价格上调:泰州汇福 3170 元/吨涨 20 元;泰兴邦基 3180 元/吨涨 30 元;舟山中海 3220 元/吨涨 30 元;宁波金光 3230 元/吨涨 20 元;芜湖益海 3190 元/吨涨 20 元。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 27 日 12:03 发布华东市场豆粕现货价格,五家主流厂 43%豆粕分别上调 20—30 元/吨。", "华东港口现货温和上移与同日华北、西南现货普涨一致,对 SOYMEAL_ETF 形成短线偏多传导,方向评分为+1。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 27 日华东市场各厂报价或涨跌金额。", "华东后续现货报价回落并覆盖本次 20—30 元涨幅。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/9C1EF92FC1CD6838_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/9C1EF92FC1CD6838_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/9C1EF92FC1CD6838_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/9C1EF92FC1CD6838_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "mysteel-cn-20260827-national-basis", "title": "全国豆粕基差分化,重庆涨 30 天津跌 40", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-27T04:06:00Z", "event_type": "spot_basis", "asset_keys": [ "SOYMEAL_ETF" ], "direction_score": 0, "confidence": 90, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": { "report_date": "2026-08-27", "basis_yuan_per_ton": [ { "market": "昆明", "basis": 0, "change": 10 }, { "market": "长春", "basis": 10, "change": null }, { "market": "成都", "basis": -10, "change": 20 }, { "market": "天津", "basis": -140, "change": -40 }, { "market": "沧州", "basis": -140, "change": -40 }, { "market": "日照", "basis": -130, "change": null }, { "market": "东莞", "basis": -130, "change": null }, { "market": "防城港", "basis": -160, "change": null } ], "change_highlights": [ { "market": "重庆", "change": 30 }, { "market": "南通", "change": -30 }, { "market": "周口", "change": -30 } ], "basis_direction": "分化", "comparison": "页面披露 2026 年 8 月 27 日全国主要市场豆粕基差:昆明 0、长春 10、成都-10;天津与沧州-140,日照与东莞-130,防城港-160。涨跌方面,成都上涨 20、重庆上涨 30、昆明上涨 10;天津与沧州下跌 40,南通与周口下跌 30,其余多数地区小幅下跌或持稳。" }, "transmission_chain": [ "我的钢铁网北京时间 8 月 27 日 12:06 发布全国主要市场豆粕基差汇总,内陆部分市场上行、沿海及华北基差偏弱,区域分化明显。", "全国基差涨跌互现,净方向不明显,对 SOYMEAL_ETF 方向评分为 0(中性)。" ], "invalidation_conditions": [ "我的钢铁网修订 2026 年 8 月 27 日全国主要市场豆粕基差数值或涨跌金额。", "后续全国基差汇总显示内陆与沿海方向同步大幅收紧或放宽。" ], "source_urls": [ "[https://ncp.[m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/BBF24328D89EF018_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/BBF24328D89EF018_abc.html)](https://m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/BBF24328D89EF018_abc.html](https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/a/26082712/BBF24328D89EF018_abc.html))" ], "source_tier": "B" } ]

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