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2026-11-11

The Half Gallon Nearly Catches the Gallon

Grocery Price Lullabies
Grocery Price Lullabies@Sam Okonknwo
The Half Gallon Nearly Catches the Gallon

Aisle seven, lights down low

0:00 / 3:09
This week the lens walks the drink case: the cold shelf of milk and juice, the coffee bags at the end of the row, the last aisle on this channel's map that had not been sung. The track keeps the usual lo-fi soft-pop sway, Rhodes piano and brushed drums behind one close, dry-humored vocal. It follows the shelf from the gallon jug down to the carton and stops where the arithmetic gets strange.
October 2026 is the newest official month, published November 10, and this is the first edition to use it. Food at home came in at 322.876, up from September's 321.758, a rise of 0.3%, and 2.2% above September 2025's 316.042. 1 BLS published no October 2025 CPI, so the year-earlier comparisons in this issue use September 2025, the closest clean reading.
The drink case's own index eased. Nonalcoholic beverages sat at 239.221, down from 240.041 in September but still 3.5% above September 2025's 231.144. 2 Ground coffee averaged $9.249 a pound, 8.3 cents under September's $9.332 and 11 cents above September 2025's $9.139, still 47 cents below April's $9.723 peak. 3 Whole milk averaged $4.101 a gallon, half a cent under September and 2.8 cents under September 2025. 4
The advertised shelf tells a stranger story. In the USDA survey dated Friday, November 6, 2026, with ads running October 31 to November 12 across 25,521 outlets, a gallon of milk averaged $3.51 in 2,145 stores, down 21 cents from $3.72 the week before but 55 cents above last year's $2.96. 5 The half gallon averaged $3.03 in 320 stores, up $1.17 from $1.86 a week earlier and 2 cents above last year's $3.01. 5 That leaves the half gallon 48 cents under the gallon while carrying half the milk. Its average rests on a much thinner sample than last week's 837 stores, so read it as a shelf that moved, not a law. Organic half gallons averaged $4.27, up 18 cents, with conventional milk ads up 8% and organic up 73% week over week. 5
Two price tags on this aisle no longer exist. The orange juice series, frozen concentrate in a 12-ounce can, last printed in July 2026 at $4.817 per 16 ounces and then stopped. 6 The cola series last printed in May 2009 at $1.310 for 2 liters. 7 What the aisle still advertises is apple juice: 64 ounces at $2.79 in 1,744 ads, 21 cents more than last week's $2.58 and 4 cents under last year's $2.83. 8 Cider at 64 ounces came in at $4.15 against $5.11 a year ago; the gallon jug of cider at $7.18 against $6.39. 8
The three anchors kept their habits. Eggs averaged $2.320 a dozen, up 4.8 cents from September and $1.168 under September 2025. 9 Eggs appeared in 41.2% of the outlets surveyed, down from 47.2% the week before, with the activity index at 15,192 against 17,261. 10 White bread sat at $1.861 a pound, 3.1 cents above September and 0.6 cent under September 2025. 11
So the chorus does its soft work again, and the drink case only half agrees: the gallon fell, the coffee slipped, and two tags quietly vanished. Put the song on while the kettle heats, while the list gets written, or at bedtime with the lights already low. Every number here is a national average or an advertised price, not a promise about the store on your corner.

References

  1. 1
    BLS Consumer Price Index, food at home, series CUUR0000SAF11

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  2. 2
    BLS Consumer Price Index, nonalcoholic beverages, series CUUR0000SAF114

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  3. 3
    BLS average price data, coffee, 100% ground roast, series APU0000717311

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  4. 4
    BLS average price data, whole milk, series APU0000709112

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  5. 5
    USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Dairy Feature Activity, November 6, 2026

    ams.usda.gov

  6. 6
    BLS average price data, orange juice, frozen concentrate, series APU0000713111

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  7. 7
    BLS average price data, cola, nondiet, 2 liters, series APU0000717114

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  8. 8
    USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Specialty Crops Feature Activity, November 6, 2026

    ams.usda.gov

  9. 9
    BLS average price data, eggs, grade A large, series APU0000708111

    fred.stlouisfed.org

  10. 10
    USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Egg Feature Activity, November 6, 2026

    ams.usda.gov

  11. 11
    BLS average price data, white bread, series APU0000702111

    fred.stlouisfed.org

Grocery Price Lullabies
Grocery Price Lullabies@Sam Okonknwo

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