S5 II Day 22: 5 deals (June 17)

Everything except one item froze overnight. Every price across all tracked systems sat exactly where it sat yesterday — L-mount, Sony E-mount, Fujifilm, Nikon, Canon — the whole board static. Then the Nikon Z 24-70mm f/4 S quietly dropped $15 to $399. That's today's only active signal, and it earns the lead.

System weather (June 17): MPB's algorithmic pricing has paused downward adjustments across every tracked system simultaneously — 13 of 14 checked items held their exact prior floors. 1 L-mount stays the most inventory-stable system: S5 II enters Day 22 at $1,419–$1,509, 20 units confirmed, and a new discovery — two Excellent-grade units at $1,459 — fills in the condition picture below Like New. 1 Sony E-mount glass holds the three deepest value slots on the board: FE 24/1.4 GM at $399 (71% off MSRP, Day 10+), FE 85/1.8 at $149 (Day 11), FE 50/1.8 at $117 (Day 2, MPB all-time low). 234 Nikon Z records the only price movement: 24-70/4 S drops to $399. 5 Fujifilm X-H2 remains unsearchable on MPB for a sixth day — search index gap, not anti-bot. Canon EF inventory unverifiable.

The only price that moved today. Floor dropped from $414 to $399, a $15 cut that pushed this lens below the psychologically significant $400 mark for the first time. 5

Current MPB range: $399–$484, 10+ units. The $85 spread across that range implies at least two condition tiers — floor units are not Like New. Product detail pages remain Cloudflare-blocked, so per-unit grade is unavailable at search level. 5 What's confirmed: this is the new verified floor.

The Z 24-70/4 S (MSRP ~$799) is Nikon's kit zoom for the Z system — compact, weather-sealed, with an internal zoom design and a retractable lock switch. It covers the most-used focal range for travel, documentary, and general work. At $399, it sits $105 below the $504 it held earlier this month and $115 below the $514 mark from late May. The previous floor this cycle was $374, set briefly before bouncing. This $399 level hasn't been seen since late May — it's not breaking that earlier all-time low, but it is the cheapest this lens has been in several weeks.

Inspect: zoom ring smoothness under load, rear element for fungus (common in humid storage), AF accuracy with body housing check. No model-level serial-range defects documented.

6-month range: ~$374 prior ATL (brief, late May) — $514 prior high. Current: $399 floor, $484 ceiling. Grade at $399: unconfirmed — likely MPB Excellent or Good. Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy. The floor is new today, not tested for multi-day stability yet. If waiting to see whether it holds another 48 hours feels prudent, that's reasonable. But the $399 price itself represents a $15 acceleration on a lens that spent weeks above $414 — momentum is downward, not upward.

Pair with: Nikon Z 28mm f/2.8 at $154 (Day 19 streak, see watch list). A sub-$560 wide-to-normal two-lens kit for Z system. 6

Twenty-two straight days. The S5 II hasn't moved a dollar at the floor since this tracking cycle began, making it the longest unbroken floor in the current dataset. And today a new detail emerged: two Excellent-grade units at $1,459 that don't appear in the main product page's top-8 listing. 1

Here's the condition breakdown as of Day 22: the top 8 visible units (sorted price-high) are all Like New at $1,489–$1,509 (1 at $1,509, 4 at $1,499, 3 at $1,489). Two Excellent-grade units sit at $1,459, accessible via SKU detail pages but invisible on the main listing. The remaining 10 units — including the $1,419 floor — are below the page fold; their grades are unconfirmed but likely include Good and Well Used tiers. 7 Total inventory: 20 units confirmed.

No S5 II listing on MPB discloses shutter count — MPB does not track actuations for mirrorless bodies. 1 On a 200,000-actuation rated shutter, Like New copies typically run well under 5,000; ask each seller directly if count matters to you. MPB "Like New" means cosmetically near-mint with original packaging, battery, and USB cable. "Excellent" means light cosmetic wear, fully functional, with essential accessories.

The S5 II runs phase-detect AF across the frame, 4K/60p 4:2:0 10-bit internally, 5-axis IBIS, and the L-mount. At $1,419 it's the cheapest verified entry into L-mount on a current-gen PDAF body. The Excellent-grade copies at $1,459 are worth considering if the $1,419 floor units turn out to be lower-grade — a $40 premium for a confirmed Excellent is reasonable.

6-month range: $1,419 ATL (Day 22) — $1,509 current ceiling. Grade at $1,419: unconfirmed (floor units below page fold). Grade at $1,459: MPB Excellent (confirmed, 2 units). Grade at $1,489–$1,509: MPB Like New (confirmed, 8 units). Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy. With 20 units and zero floor movement for 22 days, there's no urgency — but there's also no evidence the floor is heading lower. If buying, choose between the unconfirmed $1,419 floor and the confirmed $1,459 Excellent units based on how much grade certainty is worth $40 to you.

Pair with: Panasonic S 50mm f/1.8 at $234 (10+ units on MPB). 1 Body plus portrait prime: $1,653 total.

Ten-plus sessions at the floor, no movement up or down. The G Master badge, dual linear XD AF motors, and 71% discount off a $1,398 MSRP all remain intact. 2

Current range: $399–$879, 10+ units. The $480 spread is wide — floor units are almost certainly MPB Good or Excellent, not Like New. Product detail pages remain Cloudflare-blocked; per-unit grade at search level is unavailable. For context: the Sigma 24mm f/1.4 DG DN Art for E-mount — the closest third-party alternative — trades at $450–$550 used on MPB. At $399, the GM comes in below the Sigma alternative, which is not a typical relationship in the used market. 2

Check dual linear XD AF motors under continuous load, aperture blades for oil contamination at mid-apertures, and front element coating for any delamination. No serial-range defects documented.

6-month range: $399 ATL (Day 10+) — $879 ceiling. Grade at $399: unconfirmed. Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy. Confirm grade with MPB directly before purchasing.

Pair with: Sony FE 85mm f/1.8 at $149 (Pick 4 below). Ultra-wide plus portrait telephoto for $548 combined.

Recovered yesterday after a one-day Cloudflare block, now back in the confirmed list with a detail change: the price range widened from a single $149 to $149–$389. 3 The floor is unchanged. The new $389 ceiling suggests higher-grade inventory (likely Like New or Excellent copies) restocked alongside the lower-grade floor units. The buy case is at the $149 end.

Current range: $149–$389, 10+ units. At $149 this is 40% off the $248 MSRP — and the FE 85/1.8 is not a slow seller. Eleven consecutive days without the floor breaking suggests steady throughput rather than a pile of unsellable units. 3

The FE 85/1.8 covers the classic portrait focal length on full-frame, with fast, quiet AF well-suited for events and low-light work. It lacks OSS (relies on body IBIS) but focuses via a linear motor that's reliable under sustained use. At $149, a rough copy with cosmetic wear still delivers the optical performance.

Grade at $149 is unconfirmed — verify condition label with MPB directly before purchasing. No serial-range defects documented.

6-month range: $149 ATL (Day 11) — $389 current ceiling. Grade at $149: unconfirmed. Grade at $389: likely Like New or Excellent. Known red flags: none.

Verdict: Buy at the $149 floor. Check grade first.

Pair with: Sony FE 24mm f/1.4 GM at $399 (Pick 3). Combined kit: $548.

Two consecutive days at $117. MPB's all-time low for this lens holds, with 10+ units available. 4

Current range: $117–$184, 10+ units. The $67 spread suggests multiple condition tiers across that range; the buy case is the $117 floor. For context: this lens has an MSRP of $248. $117 is 53% off, and it's native FE-mount autofocus glass with 10+ units confirmed. At $117, this is priced below the Sony E 50mm f/1.8 OSS — the APS-C version — which sits at $124–$219 on the same search page. That's unusual. 4

One mandatory flag: the Sony E 50mm f/1.8 OSS (APS-C mount, model SEL50F18) and the Sony FE 50mm f/1.8 (full-frame mount, model SEL50F18F) appear on the same search results page. Both have similar names. On A7-series or ZV-E full-frame bodies, the APS-C E-mount version will vignette outside crop mode. Verify you're purchasing the FE (full-frame) variant — model SEL50F18F — before checkout.

The FE 50/1.8 is 187g, has a 45cm minimum focus distance, seven aperture blades, and covers the standard focal length with fast, quiet AF. It's not the lens you'd pick for a paid portrait job — the Zeiss FE 55/1.8 ZA or FE 50/1.2 GM fill that tier — but at $117 it handles the normal field of view at a cost that leaves room in the budget for longer glass.

6-month range: $117 ATL (Day 2) — $184 ceiling. Grade at $117: unconfirmed. Known red flags: verify FE vs. E mount at checkout.

Verdict: Buy at $117. Two days of confirmed stability on a newly established floor with 10+ units.

Pair with: Sony FE 24mm f/1.4 GM at $399 (Pick 3). Standard prime plus ultra-wide for $516 combined.

Nikon Z 28mm f/2.8 — $154, Day 19. The longest stable run of any item tracked this cycle. Nineteen consecutive days at $154–$199, 10+ units. 6 If the Z 24-70/4 S at $399 (Pick 1) represents the zoom, the Z 28/2.8 at $154 is the lightweight prime alternative for the same focal range. Both sit at floors simultaneously.

Fujifilm GFX 50S II — $2,549, Day 3. Three consecutive days at the $2,549 floor, 10+ units. 8 Product detail pages blocked; condition grade unconfirmed. $340 below its prior level. Day 3 stability increases confidence this isn't a one-day pricing error — but confirm grade before committing $2,500+.

Sony FE 28mm f/2 — $184, Day 2. Six units, $184–$214. 9 Thin inventory — if the $149 FE 85/1.8 is already in your bag and you want something wider, this covers a useful focal length at 59% off MSRP ($448). Six units means less time to deliberate.

Sony A6700 — $1,319, Day 2 (confirmed floor). Range now $1,319–$1,399, 10+ units. 10 The new $1,399 ceiling suggests higher-grade inventory restocked. Floor unchanged. Best APS-C body on MPB at a multi-day confirmed price.

Fujifilm X-T50 — $1,309, Day 3. Ten-plus units. 11 Minor adjustment on a 2024 body — not yet at a floor convincing enough for a strong buy call. Monitor.

Fujifilm X-H2: unverifiable for a sixth consecutive day. All MPB query formats return zero results — a search-index gap, not an anti-bot block. Last confirmed price: $1,549–$1,679 (June 13). Floor status unknown.