
H&R Block clears the three numerical gates on reported ROE and calculated free cash flow, but its thin book-equity base makes the headline ROE and P/B ratios easy to misread.
| Gate | Definition and period | HRB result | Judgment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Three-year ROE | Reported labeled ROE row, each completed fiscal year FY2024-FY2026 | FY2024 975.01%; FY2025 679.09%; FY2026 713.54% | Passes the >15% gate, with a severe thin-equity caveat. 2 |
| Positive FCF | Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures; fiscal year ended June 30 | FY2026 calculated FCF $756.08M; TTM FCF $756.08M | Passes. 16 |
| Reasonable valuation | Current P/E and EV/EBITDA below both the FY2022-FY2026 average and the two-peer median | P/E 9.43x; EV/EBITDA 7.53x | Passes this stated working test. P/B is not used as a normal quality or value signal. 1278 |
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Operating margin | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | $3,472M | $748.70M | $551.43M | $3.51 | 21.6% | 15.9% |
| FY2024 | $3,610M | $805.28M | $592.93M | $4.12 | 22.3% | 16.4% |
| FY2025 | $3,761M | $827.97M | $603.00M | $4.39 | 22.0% | 16.0% |
| FY2026 | $3,945M | $907.69M | $729.91M | $5.67 | 23.0% | 18.5% |
| Fiscal year | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditures | Calculated FCF | FCF margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | $821.84M | $69.70M | $752.14M | 21.7% |
| FY2024 | $720.86M | $63.68M | $657.18M | 18.2% |
| FY2025 | $680.88M | $82.03M | $598.85M | 15.9% |
| FY2026 | $838.70M | $82.61M | $756.08M | 19.2% |
| Company | Trailing P/E | P/B | EV/EBITDA | P/FCF | Data date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&R Block | 9.43x | 56.74x | 7.53x | 8.75x | Aug. 21, 2026 1 |
| ADP, directional peer | 25.67x | 18.52x | 17.58x | 21.27x | Aug. 21, 2026 7 |
| Paychex, directional peer | 25.46x | 11.85x | 15.84x | 19.07x | Aug. 21, 2026 8 |
| Risk | What to monitor | Trigger or threshold |
|---|---|---|
| Tax-season execution and competition | Assisted and DIY demand, pricing, service uptime, and tax-filing delays | FY2027 revenue below the company's $4.11B guidance floor or adjusted EPS below $6.04 is a measurable break from the current plan. 10 |
| Cash-flow volatility | Full-year operating cash flow minus capex | Calculated FCF below $598.85M, the FY2025 level, for a second consecutive year would reverse the FY2026 recovery. This is a monitoring line, not company guidance. 6 |
| Debt and seasonal liquidity | Debt/EBITDA, interest coverage, cash balance, and the unused CLOC | A CLOC debt-to-EBITDA ratio above 3.50x at the March, June, or September quarter-end, above 4.50x at December quarter-end, or interest coverage below 2.50x would breach the stated covenant levels. 4 |
| Tax-law and regulatory substitution | Government filing programs, simplified filing rules, and changes to refund processes | Reinstatement or expansion of a government filing option that materially replaces paid third-party preparation is an event trigger. H&R Block identifies this category as a direct demand risk. 4 |
| Privacy, fraud, and vendor outages | Material breach, fraud loss, major service interruption, or failure by Pathward, Microsoft, or another critical provider | A disclosed material breach, regulatory investigation, or peak-season outage would change the risk assessment immediately because HRB handles tax, financial, and identity data. 4 |
| Thin book equity | Year-end equity, reported ROE, and the gap between GAAP book value and operating cash flow | If shareholders' equity turns negative or reported ROE changes sharply while net income and FCF remain stable, treat the ROE gate as increasingly dependent on the denominator. FY2026 equity was $117.49M. 3 |
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