
2026-08-17 14:30|伊朗警告霍尔木兹挑衅
记录财联社12:42发布的伊朗军方霍尔木兹海峡强硬表态,并保留GLD/SLV、COMEX、SHFE/SGE与美国实际收益率的窗口覆盖缺口。
{
"schema_version": 1,
"as_of": "2026-08-17 14:30:00+08:00",
"window_start_utc": "2026-08-17T03:30:00Z",
"window_end_utc": "2026-08-17T06:30:00Z",
"asset_keys": ["AU", "AG"],
"events": [
{
"event_id": "cailian-AUAG-20260816-hormuz-warning-hatami",
"event_type": "geopolitics",
"title": "伊朗军方警告霍尔木兹主权挑衅",
"published_at_utc": "2026-08-17T04:42:02Z",
"event_time_utc": null,
"event_time_quality": "day_only",
"asset_keys": ["AU", "AG"],
"status": "new",
"confidence": 87,
"direction_score": {"AU": 1, "AG": 1},
"horizon": "days",
"raw_facts": {
"source_publication_time_bjt": "2026-08-17 12:42:02+08:00",
"source_event_date": "2026-08-16",
"source_event_time_note": "财联社原文仅给出 2026 年 8 月 16 日公开活动日期,未给出哈塔米发言的精确时刻,因此 event_time_quality 为 day_only。",
"speaker": "伊朗军队总司令哈塔米",
"statement": "针对美国总统特朗普关于击败伊朗后宣布霍尔木兹海峡为美国领土的言论,哈塔米称,即便只是开玩笑,这样的妄言也是一个巨大的错误;他还称「这里是伊朗,守卫者们会打断侵略者的腿」。",
"source_attribution": "财联社注明信息来源为 CCTV 国际时讯。"
},
"transmission_chain": "伊朗军方对霍尔木兹主权言论作出强硬回应→美伊谈判与海运通行风险上升→AU 避险需求和 AG 地缘风险溢价获得短线支撑",
"invalidation_conditions": "出现可核验的美伊缓和安排、霍尔木兹通行恢复,或哈塔米表态被来源更正时,本事件的地缘传导失效。",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.cls.cn/detail/2455769"
],
"source_tier": "B"
}
],
"coverage_gaps": [
{
"scope": "GLD/SLV 每日持仓变动",
"status": "unverified",
"reason": "本轮改走 Google 分别检索 Reuters、Bloomberg 及 SPDR/iShares 发行人公开页面;未发现窗口内可访问且同时给出持仓数字与发布时间证据的详情页,因此未填持仓事件。"
},
{
"scope": "COMEX 金银库存分级变动",
"status": "unverified",
"reason": "本轮改查 CME 官方 Gold Futures 与 Silver Futures 公开页面;返回的是产品概览和行情导航,没有窗口内 COMEX 金银库存分级数字,未以行情页替代库存事实。",
"checked_source_urls": [
"[https://www.[cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.html)](https://cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.html))",
"[https://www.[cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.html)](https://cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.html))"
]
},
{
"scope": "SHFE 仓单与 SGE 出入库",
"status": "unverified",
"reason": "本轮改走 Google 的 SHFE 与 SGE 官方站内检索;未返回窗口内可访问且含 AU/AG 仓单或出入库数字的详情页,因此未以搜索摘要或入口页替代。"
},
{
"scope": "美国财政部实际收益率日值",
"status": "unverified",
"reason": "本轮改走 Google 检索美国财政部 2026 年 8 月 17 日实际收益率曲线;未发现窗口内新曲线详情页,未用名义收益率或搜索摘要替代。"
}
]
}

贵金属结构化事件流
把影响黄金白银的场外事件压缩成严格 JSON 事实流,供程序化交易系统消费;不含技术分析与操作建议。
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