Fuji and Nikon step up: 5 deals (June 4)

The Canon RF 24-105mm f/4L deal window that dominated yesterday's radar is gone. The $759 floor batch cleared overnight — floor rebounded to $1,009 (+$250, +32.9%), and the 6-unit gap from 101 to 95 units in stock confirms the sell-through. 1 That was the buy window; it's closed.

Today's actionable signals come from Fujifilm and Nikon. The Z system logs its second new all-time low (ATL) on MPB in three days — the Z 24-70mm f/4 S just broke below $400 for the first time, landing at $399 with inventory expanding to 42 units. On the Fuji side, the XF 35mm f/2 WR dropped another $20 to a new floor of $249 with 67 units in stock, and the X-H2 body confirmed its third consecutive session at $1,509.

Canon RF isn't dead — the RF 35mm f/1.8 Macro IS STM dropped $40 overnight to a new $344 low with 59 units — but today the Fuji/Nikon combo is the headline.

6-month range: $1,509–$1,799. Floor holds Day 3. Inventory stable at 25 units. 2

Three consecutive sessions at the same floor with no inventory drain: that's the cleanest confirmation signal this radar produces. The X-H2 (Fujifilm's 40.2MP APS-C flagship, 7-stop IBIS, weather sealing, 6.2K open-gate recording) retails new around $1,999 — $1,509 is a 24% discount. The floor unit is SKU 3915605, Good grade, with battery, charging cable, eyecup, and original box. 2 Next tier is $1,649 Excellent (3 units) — the $140 jump is real, so review the specific unit before defaulting to floor. Shutter count isn't disclosed on the listing page; ask MPB if actuations matter.

Runs large for X-mount — closer to a Sony A7-series footprint than the X-T line. No model-level defects.

Buy verdict: High-confidence buy. Twenty-five units mean no urgency. This is the signal to act on.

Pair it with: Fujifilm XF 35mm f/2 WR at $249 (67 units, see Pick 3 below) — $1,758 for a 40MP weather-sealed X-mount kit with lens at its own new all-time low simultaneously.

6-month range: $399–$484. NEW all-time low on MPB; floor dropped $25 (−5.9%) from yesterday's $424. Inventory expanded +3 to 42 units. 3

The Z 24-70mm f/4 S (Nikon's optically stabilized 24–70mm standard zoom for Z-mount mirrorless, native AF, collapsible design) retails new around $799 — $399 is 50% off. The floor unit's grade isn't rendered on the first page (visible units sit at $469–$484, Excellent or Like New); the $399 unit is likely Good or Well Used — verify before ordering. The +3 inventory expansion alongside the price drop points to organic repricing, not a clearance event: this floor has legs. Collapsible to 89mm, it travels lighter than the S-line 2.8 variant at less than half the price.

Buy verdict: High-confidence buy. First time sub-$400 for this lens on MPB. Expanding inventory means the window isn't closing today.

Pair it with: Nikon Z5 at $629 (24 units) 4 — $1,028 for a full-frame Z-mount kit. The Z5 ($529 ATL window closed June 2, now at $629) adds IBIS and a 24.3MP sensor — a competent full-frame travel setup under $1,100.

6-month range: $249–$364. NEW floor, down $20 (−7.4%) from yesterday's $269. 67 units in stock. 5

The XF 35mm f/2 WR (Fujifilm's compact weather-resistant 35mm prime for X-mount, equivalent to ~53mm full-frame) retails new around $449 — $249 is 45% off. Sixty-seven units is a deep pool; the floor is more likely to soften further than snap back. The $249 unit is toward the bottom of a nine-page sort, almost certainly Good grade — the bulk of stock at $300–$364 is Excellent or Like New if cosmetics matter. No model-level defects. WR spec matches the X-H2 above, making it the natural kit companion over the larger XF 33mm f/1.4 ($414 at MPB).

Buy verdict: Buy. The 67-unit depth means no rush, but $249 is a new verified floor and the direction is down.

Pair it with: Fujifilm X-H2 at $1,509 (Pick 1) — total kit $1,758.

6-month range: $344–$439. NEW low, down $40 (−10.4%) from yesterday's $384. 59 units in stock. 6

The best active Canon RF deal now that yesterday's 24-105/4L window is closed. The RF 35mm f/1.8 Macro IS STM (Canon's RF-native 35mm, 5-stop IS, 0.5x macro, STM autofocus) retails new around $499 — $344 is a 31% discount. First-page listings are all Like New at $439; the $344 floor likely sits at Excellent or Good grade in the remaining 51 units. All include 52mm front cap, RF rear cap, and the standard 6-month MPB warranty. The $40 single-session drop on ample stock reads as a repricing, not a clearance. STM is quiet in video; the 0.5x macro is genuine and useful. Main trade-off versus faster glass: f/1.8 ceiling.

Buy verdict: Buy for RF shooters. The $40 single-session drop makes this the sharpest Canon entry point on the board today.

Pair it with: Any RF-mount body. Canon R8 (no IBIS) or R6 Mark II (IBIS) are the natural body pairings currently tracking on the used market.

6-month range: $117–$189. ATL holds Day 3. 113 total units; only 1 unit at $117 (Well Used grade, SKU 3921946). 7

The stock note matters here. The $117 floor — Well Used condition, front and rear caps only, no hood, no box — is a single unit. Three days without selling likely means buyers are passing on the grade. Next tier: $142 Good (1 unit, SKU 3815784), then $149 Good (5 units). For most buyers, $149 Good is the practical floor — five units, better condition, only $32 more.

The FE 50mm f/1.8 (Sony's entry-level native 50mm prime for full-frame E-mount, stepping motor AF) retails new around $250. At $149 Good that's 40% off. Sharp from f/2.8, usable wide open; AF clicks audibly in video — stills-first lens. 113 total units means the $149–$189 band is stable.

Buy verdict: Buy — but target $149 Good (5 units) rather than the single $117 Well Used unless you specifically want the floor price and accept the cosmetic risk.

Pair it with: Sony FE 85mm f/1.8 at $149 (48 units) 8 — $298 for a two-prime portrait kit at simultaneous near-lows.

X-T4 — Wait: Inventory jumped 50% in one session (8→12 units, floor $1,029). 9 That kind of supply surge with a static floor often precedes a crack — sub-$1,000 may be coming.

Nikon Z 28mm f/2.8 at $154 — ATL Day 3: 13 units still available. 10 Cheapest native Z-mount prime on MPB, clean pairing with the Z 24-70/4 S above.

Panasonic S5 II at $1,419 — Still valid: Day 6 stable, 17 units. 11 Yesterday's high-confidence signal; no change in today's data.

S1R II at $2,559 — Let it run: 8 units, downtrend from $2,599 paused. 12 Not yet confirmed as a floor — watch for another leg down.