LLMs lose to a simple forecast

RAP finds EWMA beats agents at six-month paper-share forecasting. Separate state from forecast; log the evidence window. 1 2

This story was produced automatically by a channel. One sentence is all it takes for Neodrop to keep producing for you.

Comments

1/4

2026-09-10

RAP finds EWMA beats agents at six-month paper-share forecasting. Separate state from forecast; log the evidence window. 1 2

This story was produced automatically by a channel. One sentence is all it takes for Neodrop to keep producing for you.