02:30｜JPM托管GLD减仓，路透现货金跌至4594.84

{ "window_start_utc": "2026-08-26T15:30:00Z", "window_end_utc": "2026-08-26T18:30:00Z", "timezone": "Asia/Shanghai", "events": [ { "event_id": "SGE-AU-20260827-night-delayed-au9999-995", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上金所延时 Au99.99 报 995.0 元小幅回升", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T18:30:00Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": 1 }, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "上海黄金交易所「2026 年 08 月 27 日延时行情」表：Au99.99 最新价 995.0 CNY/g，最高价 1001.0 CNY/g，最低价 991.0 CNY/g，今开盘 999.0 CNY/g。相对上一期 23:30 延时快照最新价 994.99 CNY/g 回升 0.01 CNY/g；会话最低价仍为 991.0。页面标注「2026 年 08 月 27 日延时行情」，未提供精确发布时间。raw_facts 日期原文：2026 年 08 月 27 日。", "transmission_chain": "上金所延时 Au99.99 报 995.0 CNY/g 并较前一快照微幅回升→国内现货黄金夜盘报价止跌企稳→AU 短线价格偏多", "invalidation_conditions": "上金所后续修正 2026-08-27 延时行情快照，或更高频官方报价取代该数值时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/yshqbg" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SGE-AU-20260827-night-delayed-autd-99487", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上金所延时 Au(T+D)报 994.87 元回升", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T18:30:00Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": 1 }, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "同一上金所延时行情表：Au(T+D)最新价 994.87 CNY/g，最高价 1000.0 CNY/g，最低价 989.38 CNY/g，今开盘 998.5 CNY/g。相对上一期 23:30 延时快照最新价 992.87 CNY/g 回升 2.0 CNY/g；会话最低价仍为 989.38。页面标注「2026 年 08 月 27 日延时行情」。raw_facts 日期原文：2026 年 08 月 27 日。", "transmission_chain": "延时 Au(T+D)报 994.87 CNY/g 并较前一快照回升 2.0→国内黄金延期合约夜盘报价修复→AU 短线延期端偏多", "invalidation_conditions": "上金所后续修正 2026-08-27 延时行情快照，或更高频官方报价取代该数值时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/yshqbg" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "SGE-AG-20260827-night-delayed-agtd-16540", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "上金所延时 Ag(T+D)报 16540 元回升", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T18:30:00Z", "asset_keys": [ "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AG": 1 }, "confidence": 97, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "同一上金所延时行情表：Ag(T+D)最新价 16540.0 CNY/kg，最高价 16780.0 CNY/kg，最低价 16401.0 CNY/kg，今开盘 16705.0 CNY/kg。相对上一期 23:30 延时快照最新价 16520.0 CNY/kg 回升 20.0 CNY/kg；会话最低价仍为 16401.0。页面标注「2026 年 08 月 27 日延时行情」。raw_facts 日期原文：2026 年 08 月 27 日。", "transmission_chain": "延时 Ag(T+D)报 16540.0 CNY/kg 并较前一快照回升 20.0→国内白银延期合约夜盘报价修复→AG 短线价格偏多", "invalidation_conditions": "上金所后续修正 2026-08-27 延时行情快照，或更高频官方报价取代该数值时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "https://www.sge.com.cn/sjzx/yshqbg" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "JPM-AU-20260826-gld-barlist-cob", "event_type": "etf_flow", "title": "JPM 托管 GLD 金条清单见 8 月 26 日减仓", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T18:30:00Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": -2 }, "confidence": 96, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": "J.P. Morgan BULLION WEIGHTLIST for SPDR Gold Trust，As at:26-August-2026：Total Bars 78472，Total Gross Ounces 31,339,769.339，Total Fine Ounces 31,294,117.625 troy oz（JPM London V 30,560,216.611 + JPM New York 733,901.014）。相对上一期已发 As at:25-August-2026 Total Fine Ounces 31,394,951.613，细盎司减少 100,833.988。仅为 JPM 托管分量，不等于全信托；SPDR 官网 Total Net Asset Value/Ounces/Tonnes 仍为 AWAITING。raw_facts 日期原文：As at:26-August-2026。", "transmission_chain": "JPM 托管 GLD 金条清单细盎司降至 31,294,117.625（较 25 日减少约 10.08 万盎司）→黄金 ETF 实物托管端出现流出→AU 投资需求偏弱", "invalidation_conditions": "JPM 后续更正 26-August-2026 清单，或 SPDR 官网给出与该托管分量冲突的全信托持仓时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf))", "[https://www.[spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/](https://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/)](https://spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/](https://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "JPM-AG-20260826-slv-barlist-cob", "event_type": "etf_flow", "title": "JPM 托管 SLV 银条清单推进至 8 月 26 日", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T18:30:00Z", "asset_keys": [ "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AG": 0 }, "confidence": 95, "horizon": "days", "raw_facts": "J.P. Morgan BULLION WEIGHTLIST for iShares Silver Trust，As at:26-August-2026：Total Bars 506510，Total Fine Ounces 493,923,791.900 troy oz（JPM London B 420,754,679.800 + JPM New York 73,169,112.100）。相对上一期已发 As at:25-August-2026 Total Fine Ounces 493,923,791.900，细盎司同值、清单日期推进至 26 日。iShares 官网 Key Facts 仍 as of Aug 25, 2026，Ounces in Trust 493,923,098.00，尚未切换至 26 日贸易日字段。raw_facts 日期原文：As at:26-August-2026。", "transmission_chain": "JPM 托管 SLV 银条清单日期推进至 26-August-2026 且细盎司维持 493,923,791.900→白银 ETF 托管端未见新增流出或流入→AG 持仓驱动中性", "invalidation_conditions": "JPM 后续更正 26-August-2026 清单，或 iShares 官网给出与该托管分量显著冲突的全信托持仓时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf))", "[https://www.[ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund](https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund)](https://ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund](https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund))" ], "source_tier": "A" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260826-spot-gold-459484", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "路透：现货金跌 1.3%至 4594.84 美元", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-26T15:31:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T15:44:49.029Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU" ], "direction_score": { "AU": -2 }, "confidence": 94, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "Reuters 稿「Gold drops over 1% after in-line US inflation data」正文：Spot gold fell 1.3% to $4,594.84 per ounce by 11:31 a.m. EDT (1531 GMT)；U.S. gold futures dropped 0.9% to $4,650.90；The dollar rose 0.3%。页面 meta article:published_time=2026-08-26T00:30:26.515Z，article:modified_time=2026-08-26T15:44:49.029Z。相对上一期 23:30 已发 1310 GMT 现货金 4611.79 与美盘期金 4667.10，本 4594.84 / 4650.90 为窗口内欧美盘更新报价。", "transmission_chain": "现货金报 4594.84 美元/盎司（-1.3%）、美盘期金报 4650.90（-0.9%）且美元上涨 0.3%→国际金价在 PCE 公布后继续下探→AU 短线价格偏空", "invalidation_conditions": "路透后续更正该条报价，或同一时点权威一手报价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AG-20260826-spot-silver-6791", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "路透：现货白银报 67.91 美元跌 1.1%", "event_time_utc": "2026-08-26T15:31:00Z", "event_time_quality": "exact", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T15:44:49.029Z", "asset_keys": [ "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AG": -2 }, "confidence": 94, "horizon": "intraday", "raw_facts": "同一 Reuters 贵金属稿：spot silver fell 1.1% to $67.91 per ounce；platinum dropped 1.2% to $1,837.78；palladium was down 0.1% to $1,325.10。报价时点与同稿现货金一并写为 by 11:31 a.m. EDT (1531 GMT)。页面 meta article:modified_time=2026-08-26T15:44:49.029Z。相对上一期 23:30 已发 1310 GMT 现货银 68.15，本 67.91 为窗口内更新值。", "transmission_chain": "现货白银报 67.91 美元/盎司（-1.1%）→国际银价随金价与美元走强继续回落→AG 短线价格偏空", "invalidation_conditions": "路透后续更正该条报价，或同一时点权威一手报价与之冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/))" ], "source_tier": "B" }, { "event_id": "Reuters-AU-20260826-fedwatch-sep-hike-38pct", "event_type": "macro_release", "title": "路透：FedWatch 押注 9 月加息回落至约 38%", "event_time_utc": null, "event_time_quality": "day_only", "published_at_utc": "2026-08-26T15:44:49.029Z", "asset_keys": [ "AU", "AG" ], "direction_score": { "AU": 1, "AG": 1 }, "confidence": 90, "horizon": "weeks", "raw_facts": "同一 Reuters 2026-08-26 贵金属稿（modified_time=2026-08-26T15:44:49.029Z）：Traders now see a 38% chance of a rate hike next month, compared with 36% before the data, and are pricing in a 62% chance that the Fed will leave rates unchanged, according to the CME FedWatch Tool。同一日全球市场 wrapup 稿（modified_time=2026-08-26T16:38:29.635Z）亦写 odds rates stay steady edged up to roughly 62% from 60.4%、hike bets dropped to 38% from almost 40%。上一期 23:30 频道已发同系列贵金属稿中 9 月加息约 40% / 维持约 60% 的读数；本条为窗口内更新至加息约 38% / 维持约 62%。raw_facts 日期原文：Aug 26 (Reuters)。", "transmission_chain": "CME FedWatch 显示 9 月加息概率回落至约 38%、维持不变约 62%→近月加息押注较前一快照略降→实际利率预期对 AU/AG 压制略缓", "invalidation_conditions": "路透或 CME FedWatch 后续更新显著改写该概率，或 FOMC 实际决议与路径预期冲突时，当前事件失效。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-little-changed-with-us-inflation-data-spotlight-2026-08-26/))", "[https://www.[reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-wrapup-1-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-wrapup-1-2026-08-26/)](https://reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-wrapup-1-2026-08-26/](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-wrapup-1-2026-08-26/))" ], "source_tier": "B" } ], "coverage_gaps": [ { "item": "GLD 每日持仓全量变动（官网贸易日字段）", "status": "部分交付（JPM 托管分量）", "detail": "SPDR 官网 Total Net Asset Value/Ounces/Tonnes 仍为 AWAITING，无法合成官网口径日度全信托新变动。本轮已交付 JPM GLD 清单推进至 As at:26-August-2026、Total Fine Ounces 31,294,117.625（较 25 日减少 100,833.988）。HSBC GLD 清单仍 As Of C.O.B 26 August 2026、Fine 2,411,823.374（上一期 20:30 已入流同值）。本轮另试：直拉 HSBC barlist API 与 JPM PDF，未改走非白名单聚合器。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/](https://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/)](https://spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/](https://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/gld/))", "[https://api.[spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld](https://api.spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld)](https://spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld](https://api.spdrgoldshares.com/api/v1/barlist?underlying=gld))", "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/SPDR_GOLD_TRUST_JPM_BARLIST.pdf))" ] }, { "item": "SLV 每日持仓全量变动（官网贸易日字段）", "status": "部分交付（JPM 托管分量日期推进）", "detail": "iShares SLV 官网 Key Facts 仍 as of Aug 25, 2026，Ounces in Trust 493,923,098.00（上一期 10:30 已入流）；本窗口无 8 月 26 日官网全信托新字段。本轮已交付 JPM SLV 清单推进至 As at:26-August-2026，Total Fine Ounces 仍 493,923,791.900（细盎司同值、日期推进）。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund](https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund)](https://ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund](https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund))", "[https://emea-[markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf)](https://markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf](https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf))" ] }, { "item": "COMEX 金银 registered/eligible 库存分级变动", "status": "未交付", "detail": "Gold_Stocks.xls 与 Silver_stocks.xls 对本 IP 仍返回 403 反爬 JSON；Registrar Reports 入口同样返回 IP blocked JSON。本轮另试：复拉 XLS 直链与 Registrar Reports HTML，并检查 LBMA 价格页是否可作替代库存源（不可替代 COMEX 分级）。未使用非白名单转述。", "source_urls": [ "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html)](https://cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/registrar-reports.html))", "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls)](https://cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Gold_Stocks.xls))", "[https://www.[cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls)](https://cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls](https://www.cmegroup.com/delivery_reports/Silver_stocks.xls))" ] }, { "item": "美国财政部 TIPS 实际收益率窗口内新行", "status": "未交付", "detail": "Treasury Real Yield CSV 最新可读日期仍为 08/25/2026（5Y 2.04、7Y 2.16、10Y 2.32、20Y 2.70、30Y 2.92），上一期 10:30 已入流；未见 08/26 新数据行。未把旧行冒充本窗口新事件。本轮另试：复拉 2026 CSV。", "source_urls": [ "[https://home.[treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/2026/all?field_tdr_date_value=2026&type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&utm=&page=&_format=csv](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/2026/all?field_tdr_date_value=2026&type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&utm=&page=&_format=csv)](https://treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/2026/all?field_tdr_date_value=2026&type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&utm=&page=&_format=csv](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/daily-treasury-rates.csv/2026/all?field_tdr_date_value=2026&type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve&utm=&page=&_format=csv))" ] } ] }