October 11 LEGO radar: fifteen retired sets listed this week, and one is priced under market
Fifteen retired LEGO sets went up for sale on Mercari between October 4 and 11, 2026; a sealed Hogwarts Wizard's Chess at $101.51 landed is the first one these screens have found priced under its six-month average, and three listings call a still-in-production set retired.
The monitoring window ran from October 4 to October 11, 2026, 10:00 GMT-5. Fifteen out-of-production LEGO sets went up for sale inside it, all fifteen on Mercari, and each one carries a posting date printed on its own listing page.
Fourteen of the fifteen ask more than a six-month completed-sale average for the same condition, once shipping and the buyer-protection fee are added. One asks less: a sealed Hogwarts Wizard's Chess at $101.51 landed against a $119.30 sealed average. That is the only listing under market this week, and the first sealed out-of-production copy these screens have found priced below its six-month average.
A sixteenth listing in the window packs four more retired sets into one box; it gets its own note farther down. Three further listings call themselves retired while the set is still on sale, and those are named at the end.
Landed means asking price plus shipping plus Mercari's buyer-protection fee. Reference is the BrickLink six-month completed-sale average for the set in the condition it is listed in, reported by brick'em: a sealed box is held to the sealed average, a used build to the used one. The gap measures the landed total against that same figure, so a negative number is a set priced under market. Retirement dates, original retail prices and piece counts come from BrickRanker's set pages. BrickLink's own seller supply counts were unreachable again, so scarcity here rests on retirement date, set format, and how much of each set's value sits in its minifigures.
Fifteen listings, and what they cost landed
Ranked by the gap to the condition-matched six-month average; where two listings land within five percentage points of each other, the older retirement ranks first. Read the Landed column before the Ask column, because shipping and the buyer-protection fee added between 3.6% and 47.9% to the asking price across the fifteen.
| # | Set · theme · retired | Posted · condition | Ask | Landed | Reference | Gap | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 76392 Hogwarts Wizard's Chess · Harry Potter · retired Dec 31, 2022 1 | Oct 11 · New, sealed 2 | $88.00 | $101.51 | $119.30 sealed 3 | −14.9% | Message; hold to $119 |
| 2 | 75887 Porsche 919 Hybrid · Speed Champions · retired Dec 31, 2018 4 | Oct 10 · New, sealed, box print damage 5 | $49.99 | $60.04 | $52.99 sealed 6 | +13.3% | $53 ceiling |
| 3 | 71040 Disney Castle · Disney · retired Dec 31, 2022 7 | Oct 9 · Sealed, shelf wear 8 | $350.00 | $406.11 | $369.91 sealed 9 | +9.8% | Message; $370 ceiling |
| 4 | 75283 Armored Assault Tank (AAT) · Star Wars · retired Dec 31, 2022 10 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 11 | $50.00 | $65.09 | $54.83 sealed 12 | +18.7% | $55 ceiling |
| 5 | 21045 Trafalgar Square · Architecture · retired Dec 31, 2021 13 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 14 | $100.00 | $103.60 | $81.68 sealed 15 | +26.8% | $82 ceiling |
| 6 | 10211 Grand Emporium · Modular Buildings · retired Dec 31, 2014 16 | Oct 8 · New, sealed, box creased 17 | $450.00 | $523.18 | $370.86 sealed 18 | +41.1% | $371 ceiling |
| 7 | 75255 Yoda · Star Wars · retired Dec 31, 2022 19 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 20 | $145.00 | $170.92 | $112.03 sealed 21 | +52.6% | $112 ceiling |
| 8 | 76205 Gargantos Showdown · Marvel · retired Dec 31, 2022 22 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 23 | $30.00 | $44.37 | $26.96 sealed 24 | +64.6% | $27 ceiling |
| 9 | 31068 Modular Modern Home · Creator 3-in-1 · retired Dec 31, 2018 25 | Oct 9 · Used, complete, no box 26 | $38.00 | $47.11 | $27.40 used 27 | +71.9% | $27 ceiling |
| 10 | 7666 Hoth Rebel Base (Limited Edition) · Star Wars · retired Jan 16, 2009 28 | Oct 5 · Used, probe droid incomplete 29 | $219.99 | $242.31 | $133.86 used 30 | +81.0% | Pass; $134 ceiling |
| 11 | 40143 Bricktober Bakery · Promotional · retired Dec 31, 2015 31 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 32 | $25.00 | $34.15 | $19.26 sealed 33 | +77.3% | $19 ceiling |
| 12 | 71733 Epic Battle Set — Cole vs Ghost Warrior · Ninjago · retired Nov 11, 2021 34 | Oct 11 · New, sealed 35 | $19.99 | $25.79 | $14.30 sealed 36 | +80.4% | $14 ceiling |
| 13 | 71735 Tournament of Elements · Ninjago · retired Jun 15, 2022 37 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 38 | $100.00 | $111.85 | $55.90 sealed 39 | +100.1% | Pass; $56 ceiling |
| 14 | 76219 Spider-Man & Green Goblin Mech Battle · Marvel · retired Dec 31, 2022 40 | Oct 10 · New, sealed 41 | $50.00 | $65.09 | $31.10 sealed 42 | +109.3% | Pass; $31 ceiling |
| 15 | 70591 Kryptarium Prison Breakout · Ninjago · retired Dec 31, 2017 43 | Oct 9 · Used, two substitutions 44 | $49.95 | $60.00 | $26.73 used 45 | +124.5% | Pass; $27 ceiling |
The one listing priced under market
The set at the top of this week's screen is also the only one a reader could act on today. LEGO 76392 came out in June 2021 at $59.99, ran 876 pieces, and left retail at the end of 2022; sealed copies now average $119.30 against $61.64 used. 13
The listing went up October 11 from New York at $88.00, with $9.99 to ship and $3.52 in buyer protection, for $101.51 landed — 14.9% under the sealed average. 2
Half the value sits in the figures. The four minifigures are worth $31.96 against a $61.64 used average, and the 20th-anniversary Severus Snape alone accounts for $25.43. 3 That is the reason a buyer should look past the bricks: a box that has been opened, the Snape swapped out and the box resealed would photograph identically to the listing above.
The seller describes the box as carrying normal shelf wear and invites offers. 2 Ask which panels the wear sits on, for the seal across both flaps, and for the four figures named back in writing. A second 76392 went up the same week at $110.00 and carries no posting date, so the $88 ask is the cheaper of the two by a wide margin. 46 $119 landed is where a sealed copy changes hands.
Two sealed boxes within reach of market
Both of these land within five points of their averages, and both are still above.
75887 Porsche 919 Hybrid. LEGO 75887 came out in March 2018 at $14.99, ran 170 pieces, and retired that December; sealed copies average $52.99 against $33.03 used, and its single minifigure is worth $2.00. 46 The listing went up October 10 from Missouri at $49.99 with $7.97 to ship, for $60.04 landed, 13.3% over. 5
The seller names the flaw rather than hiding it: scuffs, edge wear and a patch of surface and print damage on the front of the box, all photographed. 5 On a 170-piece car whose only figure is worth two dollars, the box is most of what a sealed premium buys here, so ask for a photograph square-on to the damaged panel. Ceiling: $53.
71040 Disney Castle. The largest box on the board. LEGO 71040 ran 4,081 pieces, retailed at $349.99, and retired at the end of 2022; sealed copies average $369.91 against $227.67 used, and its minifigures are worth $91.90 in total, led by Tinker Bell at $25.70. 79 The listing went up October 9 from California at $350.00 with $42.00 to ship and $14.11 in buyer protection, for $406.11 landed, 9.8% over — the closest a set this size has come to its average on these screens. 8
Because the cast is a large part of the value, ask for the minifigures to be named back in writing alongside the box photographs, since a resealed box with substituted figures looks the same in the picture above. Ceiling: $370.
Three sealed sets in the middle of the board
75283 Armored Assault Tank (AAT). LEGO 75283 came out in August 2020 at $39.99 and retired at the end of 2022; sealed copies average $54.83 against $42.07 used, and three minifigures carry $22.25 of that, 53% of the used average. 1012 The listing went up October 10 from New York at $50.00 with $12.83 to ship, for $65.09 landed, 18.7% over. 11 Ask for the three figures together in one photograph and check the printed hull panels, where a reproduction shows tan-on-tan misregistration rather than the crisp banding of the original. Ceiling: $55.
21045 Trafalgar Square. The cheapest way onto this week's board. LEGO 21045 ran 1,197 pieces, retailed at $79.99, and retired at the end of 2021; sealed copies average $81.68 against $54.00 used, and the set carries no minifigures at all. 1315 The listing went up October 10 from Colorado at $100.00 with free shipping and $3.60 in buyer protection, for $103.60 landed, 26.8% over. 14 With no figures to subtract, the whole price is the box and its 1,197 pieces, so ask for the seals on both ends and the state of the inner tray. Ceiling: $82.
10211 Grand Emporium. The oldest and scarcest set on the board. LEGO 10211 came out in March 2010 at $149.99, ran 2,187 pieces across three floors, and retired at the end of 2014; sealed copies average $370.86 against $323.95 used, with seven minifigures worth $36.43. 1618 The listing went up October 8 from Oregon at $450.00 with $55.00 to ship and $18.18 in buyer protection, for $523.18 landed, 41.1% over. 17
The money in this one sits in the bricks rather than the figures, so the whole question is the box. The seller volunteers a small crease and shelf wear. 17 On a 2010 box, ask for both tape seals and the white inner tray, and compare the colour of the front panel against the side panels; a reprinted front is where the mismatch shows. Ceiling: $371.
The 2022 sealed cluster
Four of this week's sealed listings left retail in the same year, and each arrived from a different seller.
75255 Yoda. LEGO 75255 runs 1,771 pieces, retailed at $99.99, and retired at the end of 2022; sealed copies average $112.03 against $50.89 used. 1921 Its single minifigure is worth $6.40, 13% of the used average, so this is a display piece priced on its box and its piece count. 21 The listing went up October 10 from Florida at $145.00 with $19.99 to ship, for $170.92 landed, 52.6% over. 20 Ask whether the display stand's printed nameplate is present and unmarked. Ceiling: $112.
76205 Gargantos Showdown. The cheapest sealed box on the board, and the one shipping hurts most. LEGO 76205 retailed at $29.99, runs 264 pieces, and retired at the end of 2022; sealed copies average $26.96 against $16.29 used, with three figures worth $10.06. 2224 The listing went up October 10 from New York at $30.00 with $12.83 to ship, for $44.37 landed, 64.6% over, with shipping alone at 29% of the total. 23 Three figures are 62% of the used average, so ask for all three by name: Wong, America Chavez and Doctor Strange. Ceiling: $27.
76219 Spider-Man & Green Goblin Mech Battle. LEGO 76219 retailed at $19.99 and retired at the end of 2022; sealed copies average $31.10 against $20.00 used. 4042 The listing went up October 10 from New York at $50.00 with $12.83 to ship, for $65.09 landed, 109.3% over. 41 Its two figures are worth only $4.99, so the price is a bet on sealed condition alone; the two printed mech armour plates are the pieces to photograph, since that print is where reproductions fail. Ceiling: $31.
The three used and incomplete listings
31068 Modular Modern Home. The one listing this week that states its condition plainly. LEGO 31068 came out in June 2017 at $29.99 and retired at the end of 2018; complete used copies average $27.40, with its two minifigures at $3.52. 2527 The listing went up October 9 from Georgia at $38.00 with $7.48 to ship, for $47.11 landed, 71.9% over an average that assumes a complete set. 26 The seller counted every part, bagged them by colour, and states there is no box and no manual — which is both honest and the reason the price sits where it does. Ceiling: $27.
7666 Hoth Rebel Base (Limited Edition). The rarest set on the board, and the one to slow down on. LEGO 7666, the 2007 release with the K-3PO droid, ran 558 pieces and retired in January 2009; complete used copies average $133.86 against $238.67 sealed, and six minifigures carry $53.56 of the used figure. 2830 The listing went up October 5 from Illinois at $219.99 with $13.90 to ship, for $242.31 landed, 81.0% over the used average — and it is short of complete to begin with. 29
$134 landed is where a complete used copy changes hands. This ask is 81% above that for a set with pieces missing and a box that will not survive a second owner.
70591 Kryptarium Prison Breakout. LEGO 70591 came out in 2016 at $19.99 and retired at the end of 2017; complete used copies average $26.73, and five minifigures are $20.32 of that, 76% of the set's value. 4345 The listing went up October 9 from New Hampshire at $49.95 with $7.97 to ship, for $60.00 landed, 124.5% over. 44 The seller discloses two substitutions: Kai's legs and two crescent blades in a different colour. On a set where 76% of the value is five figures, that substitution moves the number, so treat $60.00 as the price of a nearly complete build and hold to $27.
The two cheap promotional formats
40143 Bricktober Bakery. This one was never sold in a shop. LEGO 40143 was a 2015 Toys R Us giveaway, 234 pieces, nominal price $19.99, retired that December; sealed copies average $19.26 against $10.74 used, and it has no minifigures. 3133 The listing went up October 10 from New Jersey at $25.00 with $7.97 to ship, for $34.15 landed, 77.3% over. 32 Promotional sets were handed out in bags, so a sealed copy is the exception and its box condition is the entire premium; ask for the tape on the single flap. Ceiling: $19.
71733 Epic Battle Set — Cole vs Ghost Warrior. The smallest set on the board and the most figure-concentrated. LEGO 71733 came out in January 2021 at $9.99, ran 60 pieces, and retired in November 2021; sealed copies average $14.30 against $5.69 used, and its two minifigures are $5.44, 96% of the used average. 3436 The listing went up October 11 from Texas at $19.99 with $4.91 to ship, for $25.79 landed, 80.4% over. 35 With shipping and fees at 22% of the total on a set worth under $15 sealed, the landed number is the only one worth comparing. Ceiling: $14.
One listing that is four sets in a box
A sixteenth dated listing bundles four Halloween sets together: LEGO 40260 Halloween Haunt from 2017, 40203 Vampire and Bat from 2016, 40521 Mini Disney The Haunted Mansion from 2022, and 40772 Luminous Ghost from 2025. 47
Priced as a sum of its parts, the four sealed averages come to $80.91 — $27.37 for the Halloween Haunt, $14.62 for the Vampire and Bat, $26.13 for the Haunted Mansion and $12.79 for the Luminous Ghost. 48495051
The bundle went up October 6 from Connecticut at $125.00 with free shipping and $4.50 in buyer protection, for $129.50 landed, 60.1% over that sum. 47 One of the four, the 2025 Luminous Ghost, is a set brick'em still expects to find at retail, so part of what is being paid for here is a set a buyer can walk into a shop and buy. 51 A bundle is worth the sum of its parts and nothing more, so a buyer who wants one of the four should price that set on its own first. Ceiling for the box as a whole: $81.
Three listings that call a set retired while it is still on sale
75435 Battle of Felucia Separatist MTT. A sealed copy went up October 10 from California at $199.99 with free shipping and $7.19 in buyer protection, for $207.18 landed. 52 The listing calls it a retired set. BrickRanker's page for 75435 gives a release of August 1, 2025, a retirement estimate of December 31, 2027, and an RRP of $159.99; its current recorded new-condition value is $133.69, so the ask sits 55% above what the set has been selling for. 53
910046 Merchant Boat. A like-new copy went up October 11 from California at $240.00 with $18.00 to ship and $9.28 in buyer protection, for $267.28 landed, and the listing is titled "Retired". 54 BrickRanker lists 910046 as released in February 2025 and yet to retire, at an RRP of $169.99 and a current new-condition value of $209.19. 55
40668 Captain America & Red Hulk. A sealed BrickHeadz pair went up October 11 from New York at $28.00 with $7.48 to ship, for $36.75 landed. 56 Neither reference route carries a retirement date for it: BrickRanker holds no page for 40668, and brick'em puts the 2024 pair at $16.06 sealed and says it may still be at retail. 57 The ask is 129% above that sealed average.
One question settles this class of listing: open the set's own reference page and read the status line. Where the line gives a future retirement date, or says the set is still available, the word retired in the listing title tells the buyer nothing.
Five-minute verification protocol
- Price the figures before the set. Figure concentration decides 71733 at 96% of the used average, 70591 at 76%, 76205 at 62%, 71735 at 55% and 76392 at 52%. Ask for the whole roster in one photograph and count it against the set before discussing the price.
- On the one under-market listing, check the seal. 76392 is the only ask below its six-month average, and it turns on a box with shelf wear, so photograph both flaps and the tape across them. 3
- On incomplete lots, price the missing parts. The 7666 Hoth base is short on its probe droid and asks 81% over a used average that prices a complete build. 29
- On substituted builds, re-price the figures. 70591 replaces Kai's legs and two crescent blades; where five figures are 76% of the used average, that substitution moves the number. 45
- Recompute the landed total before offering. Shipping and the buyer-protection fee added between 3.6% and 47.9% to this week's asking prices, and on 76205 they are 32% of the total. 23
- Check the status line before believing the title. 75435, 910046 and 40668 all arrived labelled retired this week: one retires in 2027, one is still at retail, and one has no retirement date on either reference route. 5355
Bottom line
One listing is worth a message. 76392 Hogwarts Wizard's Chess at $101.51 landed against a $119.30 sealed average is the first sealed retired set these screens have found priced below its six-month average, and its four figures carry half its value. 1 The Disney Castle and the Porsche 919 Hybrid are the next closest at 9.8% and 13.3% over market, and both are negotiations with a ceiling rather than purchases. 47
Everything else becomes a saved search: $55 for the AAT, $82 for Trafalgar Square, $371 for the Grand Emporium, $112 for Yoda, $27 for Gargantos Showdown, $27 for the Modular Modern Home, $134 for Hoth Rebel Base, $19 for the Bricktober Bakery, $14 for the Cole battle set, $56 for the Tournament of Elements, $31 for the Spider-Man mech fight and $27 for Kryptarium Prison. The 40521 Halloween bundle comes off the list above $81 for the box. 75435 Battle of Felucia, 910046 Merchant Boat and 40668 Captain America & Red Hulk come off the saved search entirely, since none of the three has left production.
Every listing above came from Mercari, which was again the only one of the five tracked marketplaces to expose a posting date this week. eBay's item pages returned their own error page, Vinted's catalog served a script-only shell, Depop's search an unfilled shell, and BrickLink's catalog pages still reach a human-verification screen. That is also why BrickLink's seller supply counts are missing from the scarcity read in this edition.
References
- 1BrickRanker: LEGO Hogwarts Wizard's Chess 76392-1\
brickranker.com
- 2
- 3
- 4BrickRanker: LEGO Porsche 919 Hybrid 75887-1\
brickranker.com
- 5
- 6brick'em: Porsche 919 Hybrid 75887-1\
brickem.io
- 7BrickRanker: LEGO Disney Castle 71040-1\
brickranker.com
- 8
- 9brick'em: Disney Castle 71040-1\
brickem.io
- 10BrickRanker: LEGO Armoured Assault Tank (AAT) 75283-1\
brickranker.com
- 11
- 12
- 13BrickRanker: LEGO Trafalgar Square 21045-1\
brickranker.com
- 14
- 15brick'em: Trafalgar Square 21045-1\
brickem.io
- 16BrickRanker: LEGO Grand Emporium 10211-1\
brickranker.com
- 17Mercari: Lego 10211 - Grand Emporium\
mercari.com
- 18brick'em: Grand Emporium 10211-1\
brickem.io
- 19BrickRanker: LEGO Yoda 75255-1\
brickranker.com
- 20
- 21brick'em: Yoda 75255-1\
brickem.io
- 22BrickRanker: LEGO Gargantos Showdown 76205-1\
brickranker.com
- 23
- 24brick'em: Gargantos Showdown 76205-1\
brickem.io
- 25BrickRanker: LEGO Modular Modern Home 31068-1\
brickranker.com
- 26
- 27brick'em: Modular Modern Home 31068-1\
brickem.io
- 28BrickRanker: LEGO Hoth Rebel Base 7666-1\
brickranker.com
- 29
- 30brick'em: Hoth Rebel Base 7666-1\
brickem.io
- 31BrickRanker: LEGO Bricktober Bakery 40143-1\
brickranker.com
- 32
- 33brick'em: Bricktober Bakery 40143-1\
brickem.io
- 34
- 35
- 36
- 37BrickRanker: LEGO Tournament of Elements 71735-1\
brickranker.com
- 38
- 39
- 40
- 41
- 42
- 43BrickRanker: LEGO Kryptarium Prison Breakout 70591-1\
brickranker.com
- 44
- 45
- 46
- 47
- 48brick'em: Halloween Haunt 40260-1\
brickem.io
- 49brick'em: Vampire and Bat 40203-1\
brickem.io
- 50
- 51
- 52
- 53BrickRanker: LEGO Battle of Felucia Separatist MTT 75435-1\
brickranker.com
- 54
- 55BrickRanker: LEGO Merchant Boat 910046-1\
brickranker.com
- 56
- 57
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