
Floors hold: 5 deals (June 14)
HOLD DAY #2 — every verified item printed the same price as June 12. Five picks anchored by the Nikon Z 28/2.8 on Day 16 ($154, 48% off MSRP) and the Panasonic S5 II on Day 18 ($1,419, all 20 units Like New). Sony FE 24-105/4 G OSS holds at $444 with 70 units growing. Canon EF 70-200/2.8L IS II confirmed at $844. Sony A7 IV at $1,729 post-bounce: Watch.

Two hold days in a row. All eight verified items printed the same number this morning as they did June 12. The Nikon Z 28/2.8 is on Day 16 of an unbroken floor — the longest single-item ATL streak tracked this cycle. The Panasonic S5 II crossed Day 18. The Sony FE 24-105/4 G OSS is past eight consecutive sessions at $444. Nothing moved.
When a floor survives a full weekend and a Monday without a single price tick, what you're watching is institutional clearing — dealers working through a batch at a committed price, not individual sellers reacting to demand. That's different from a flash low. It means the floor has absorption capacity behind it, not just one motivated seller who already sold out.
System weather (June 14): Canon EF leads aggregate discount depth at roughly 60% off MSRP across the 70-200/2.8L IS II. Sony E-mount lenses are running at 66–73% off on the lens side. Nikon Z holds the longest single-item streak at 48% off. Panasonic L is the shallowest system at 38% off, but every unit is Like New — a condition premium that partly explains the premium. Fujifilm X is unverified for a second consecutive day due to Cloudflare blocks; last confirmed floors from June 12 remain: X-H2 $1,549, XF 35/2 WR $249, XF 50/2 WR $244.
Today's 5 picks
| # | Model | Price | ATL streak | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikon Nikkor Z 28mm f/2.8 | $154 | Day 16 | Buy |
| 2 | Sony FE 24-105mm f/4 G OSS | $444 | Day 8+ | Buy |
| 3 | Canon EF 70-200mm f/2.8L IS II USM | $844 | Holding | Buy |
| 4 | Panasonic Lumix S5 II | $1,419 | Day 18 | Buy |
| 5 | Sony Alpha A7 IV | $1,729 | Post-bounce | Watch |
1. Nikon Nikkor Z 28mm f/2.8 — $154, Day 16
Sixteen days at the same price. 1
The Nikon Nikkor Z 28mm f/2.8 (Z-mount wide-prime, MSRP ~$299) has not moved since before the June 11 multi-system bounce session. Day 16 is not a streak — it's a settled price. Ten-plus units remain, range $154–$199. The SE (Special Edition) variant sits higher at $209–$239, confirming the $154 is the standard barrel, not a cosmetic variant.
Nikon Nikkor Z 28mm f/2.8 at $154 on MPB — Day 16. 1
At 48% off MSRP, this is the most durable floor in the current tracking cycle across all systems. The 28/2.8 is Nikon's most compact Z-mount prime — the "pancake-class" option for a Z system shooter who wants a walkabout lens that disappears in a bag. It is not a fast prime; f/2.8 is f/2.8. What it is: 8-element/6-group construction, a close-focus distance of 19cm, and Nikon's ARNEO + Nano Crystal Coat. No documented serial-range defects on this lens.
Grade at $154 is unconfirmed at the search-page level. Given the $154–$199 spread, the floor units are likely MPB Excellent or Good — the SE variant's $209 floor suggests the standard barrel's grading runs lower. Inspect the aperture blades (28mm primes accumulate oil on blades with age) and confirm autofocus motor response. The product direct page returned 404 this session; all data confirmed via search.
6-month range: $154 ATL (Day 16) to $199 on MPB. Grade at $154: likely Good–Excellent — confirm per listing. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Known red flags: none.
Verdict: Buy. Sixteen days of price stability at 48% off MSRP. The floor has proven durable through two full bounce sessions on adjacent products. At $154 for a native Z-mount prime from Nikon, the cost of checking a listing is lower than the cost of missing the window.
Pair with: The Nikon Z 24-70mm f/4 S is at $414 (post-bounce hold, 10+ units available) 2 — a 28mm prime plus a 24-70/4 zoom for under $570 combined covers everything short of telephoto on a Z body.
2. Sony FE 24-105mm f/4 G OSS — $444, Day 8+
Seventy units. 3
The Sony FE 24-105mm f/4 G OSS (G-series constant-aperture travel zoom, MSRP $1,298) has held $444 across every verified session, now past eight consecutive days. Inventory actually grew this session: 70 units, up from 66 on June 12. That's four new copies entering at the same floor. When inventory expands and price holds flat, the market is matching supply and demand at exactly that price.
Sony FE 24-105mm f/4 G OSS at $444 on MPB — 70 units, 66% off MSRP. 3
At 66% off MSRP, the 24-105/4 G is the deepest single-lens discount among all confirmed E-mount glass on the board right now. The lens is Sony's G (not G Master) constant-aperture standard zoom — OSS (Optical SteadyShot) built in, 5-stop compensation, dust and moisture resistant. On bodies without IBIS (older A7 or A7R variants), the built-in OSS has real value. On IBIS bodies it layers with the sensor stabilizer for video.
Grade at $444 is unconfirmed at the aggregate level — the range runs to $799, and the floor units in a 70-copy inventory are spread across grades. Standard E-mount zoom wear points: check the zoom ring for smooth travel (internal dust ingestion causes grinding in copy with worn seals), confirm OSS activation (audible click, then stabilization), and look at the front element edge for any haze rings from previous cleaning attempts. No documented production defects on the FE 24-105/4 G.
6-month range: $444 ATL (Day 8+) to $799 on MPB. Grade at $444: unconfirmed — verify per listing. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Known red flags: none.
Verdict: Buy. Eight days. Seventy units, growing. For Sony A7-series shooters who don't already own a travel zoom, $444 for an optically-stabilized G-series 24-105 is a reliable purchase at a reliable price.
Pair with: Sony Alpha A7 IV (Pick 5, $1,729) — a 24-105/4 travel zoom plus a 33MP full-frame body at under $2,175 combined, or any current A7-series body that already lives in your bag.
3. Canon EF 70-200mm f/2.8L IS II USM — $844
The workhorse telephoto. 4
The Canon EF 70-200mm f/2.8L IS II USM (Canon's L-series professional telephoto zoom, MSRP ~$2,099) confirmed its $844 floor post-correction this session — range $844–$1,649, 10+ units. At 60% off MSRP, this lens represents the deepest Canon EF telephoto value on MPB right now. The IS II has 4-stop image stabilization (IS) and Canon's ring-type USM for near-silent, fast AF — the combination that made this one of the most widely rented professional telephoto lenses available before the IS III arrived.
Canon EF 70-200mm f/2.8L IS II USM at $844 on MPB — 60% off MSRP. 4
The critical buyer note for EF glass in 2026: this lens requires an EF-to-RF adapter for use on current Canon mirrorless (EOS R series) bodies. Canon's EF-EOS R adapter (around $100 new) preserves full AF and IS function — it is not a dumb adapter. On EF-mount DSLR bodies (5D, 6D, 7D series), it mounts natively.
Inspection priorities for used 70-200/2.8L IS II copies: IS unit click and smooth actuation (IS motors are the most common wear point on IS-generation telephoto zooms), front element and rear element coating condition, and the zoom barrel for any play at full extension. A Sigma 70-200mm f/2.8 EX APO DG Macro HSM II in Canon EF fit is also available at $539–$894 (6 units) if the third-party option suits the use case — optical and AF performance differs from the Canon original, no IS. 4
6-month range: $844 (confirmed floor) to $1,649 on MPB. Grade at $844: unconfirmed — verify per listing. Shutter count: N/A (lens). Known red flags: EF-to-RF adapter required for mirrorless bodies.
Verdict: Buy (with adapter awareness). The IS II at 60% off MSRP is a historically clean price for a professional telephoto with no documented production issues.
Pair with: Any Canon EF-mount DSLR body, or an EOS R-series mirrorless with the Canon EF-EOS R adapter.
4. Panasonic Lumix S5 II — $1,419, Day 18
Twenty copies. All Like New. 5
The Panasonic Lumix S5 II (full-frame L-mount hybrid mirrorless, MSRP ~$2,299 body-only) hit Day 18 this morning. All 20 units are MPB Like New grade — cosmetically near-mint, functionally equivalent to new, typically including original packaging, strap, battery, USB cable, and body cap. The Like New uniform grade at floor price is unusual across this entire tracking cycle; most multi-unit inventory at ATL prices runs a grade spread from Good up. Eighteen days at the same price with consistent condition signals is not a fire sale — it's a stable secondary market valuation.
Panasonic Lumix S5 II at $1,419 on MPB — 20 units, all Like New, Day 18. 5
The S5 II is Panasonic's entry into the L-mount full-frame lineup — phase-detect AF (a major upgrade from the original S5's contrast-only system), 12fps burst, 4K/60p 4:2:0 10-bit, and 5-axis IBIS. It uses Leica's L-mount, shared with Sigma and Leica's SL series, giving it access to a lens ecosystem that includes Sigma's Art series DN lenses and Leica SL glass. At 38% off MSRP, it is the shallowest discount among all tracked systems — the price reflects the combination of recent model, Like New condition, and a smaller resale volume than Sony E-mount or Nikon Z.
L-mount lens ecosystem at current MPB prices for reference: Panasonic S 50mm f/1.8 at $234 (10+ units), S 20-60mm f/3.5-5.6 at $204 (10+ units), S 85mm f/1.8 at $324 (10+ units). 5
6-month range: $1,419 ATL (Day 18) to $1,509 on MPB. Grade: Like New (all 20 units confirmed). Shutter count: not visible at aggregate — check per-listing, but Like New typically means very low actuations. Known red flags: none.
Verdict: Buy. All Like New at the floor price with no urgency — 20 copies means a buyer can review individual listings and still find the best unit. The S 20-60mm f/3.5-5.6 at $204 brings a full-frame entry kit to $1,623 combined.
Pair with: Panasonic S 50mm f/1.8 at $234 (10+ units) — body plus a fast portrait prime at $1,653 combined, both available on the same MPB product page. 5
5. Sony Alpha A7 IV — $1,729, post-bounce
Watch, not buy — but 195 units is a signal. 6
The Sony A7 IV (33MP BSI full-frame mirrorless, MSRP $2,498) bounced from $1,399 to $1,729 on June 12 — a +$330 correction that ended a brief ATL window. This session: price held flat at $1,729, inventory grew from 192 to 195 units. Range $1,729–$1,899.
At 31% off MSRP, the A7 IV is a fair used price — the 33MP BSI sensor, real-time subject tracking AF, 4K/60p, and 5-axis IBIS make it Sony's current mainstream full-frame body. But 31% off is not exceptional for this model. The $1,399 ATL that cleared in three days was a structural floor. $1,729 is where the market settled after the batch absorbed. There is no current catalyst for a return to $1,399.
The reason to track it: 195 units is a meaningful inventory position. When that many copies are on one platform at one price and the count starts moving down without a corresponding price drop, the next floor tends to follow. For now, the inventory is growing, not draining.
6-month range: $1,399 ATL (cleared) to $1,899 on MPB. Current price: $1,729 (post-bounce hold). Grade: confirmed by inventory range — Good through Like New available. Known red flags: none.
Verdict: Watch. A fair price at a stable post-bounce level, not a floor event. The $1,399 window closed. Check back if the 195-unit count starts declining without a price move.
Pair with: Sony FE 24-105mm f/4 G OSS at $444 (Pick 2) — a 33MP full-frame body plus a constant-aperture travel zoom at under $2,175 combined, both verified today.
Context on the rest of the board
The Nikon Z 24-70mm f/4 S is at $414 (post-bounce hold, 10+ units available). 2 At 59% off MSRP for a full-frame Z standard zoom, it is a reasonable entry — covered in depth in the June 12 issue. At $414 versus its $309 ATL window, it is a hold for the floor-price buyer.
The Sony A6700 held at $1,319 (74 units, from 76 yesterday — two units sold). 7 Covered as a buy on June 13. At Day 3 of its floor, the condition still stands — 94% of MSRP is not deep, but the inventory and APS-C AF capabilities are real.
Fujifilm X system remains unverified for a second consecutive session. Last confirmed floors: X-H2 at $1,549 (Day 2 as of June 12), XF 35/2 WR at $249 (Day 11 as of June 12), XF 50/2 WR at $244 (Day 7 as of June 12). All three remain monitored; next verified session will confirm whether those floors extended or broke.
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