August 9 LEGO radar: Flower Bouquet has the only deep, well-sampled discount (2026)

The short version

No marketplace detail page proved that a LEGO listing was created between August 2 at 10:00 and August 9 at 10:00, the channel's -05:00 time zone. eBay item pages returned error screens, while the Mercari pages that loaded left their Posted field blank. The result is a price screen, not a list of verified new offers.

The cleanest buy signal is still 10280 Flower Bouquet: its July 2026 monthly sale point was $41.71 against a $59.99 MSRP, or 30.5% below retail, with 490 recorded sales and high confidence. 21042 Statue of Liberty is the better age-and-scarcity watch, but its July point was only 12.3% below MSRP. 21350 Jaws and 10307 Eiffel Tower were already 19.7% and 46.5% above MSRP in their July points. 1 2 3 4

BrickRanker pages for several sets now display a price-data update label later than this edition's cutoff. To avoid using post-cutoff information, every comparison below uses the July 2026 monthly point shown in the page history, not the page's top-line current-value field. That is a dated market reference, not a live August ask. 2 5 6

Ranked price screen

This is a buy-screen order, not a claim that Flower Bouquet is intrinsically rarer than Eiffel Tower. The order combines the size of the gap to MSRP, the age of the set, recorded-sales depth, and the reliability of the sample. BrickLink supply counts were not available, so scarcity remains provisional.

Rank	Set and theme	Retirement / scarcity signal	July 2026 point vs. MSRP	Past-week listing status
1	10280 Flower Bouquet, Creator / Botanical Collection 2	Retired July 31, 2026; 5 years 7 months on shelf; 490 recorded sales; high confidence 2	$41.71 vs. $59.99; 30.5% below 2	No dated listing qualified on eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink
2	21042 Statue of Liberty, Architecture 5	Retired July 31, 2026; 8 years 2 months on shelf; 321 recorded sales; oldest set in the group 5	$105.18 vs. $119.99; 12.3% below 5	No dated listing qualified on eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink
3	10362 French Café, Icons 7	Retired July 31, 2026; 1 year 7 months on shelf; only 11 recorded sales; medium confidence 7	$72.54 vs. $79.99; 9.3% below 7	No dated listing qualified on eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink
4	10302 Optimus Prime, Icons / Transformers 6	Retired July 31, 2026; 4 years 2 months on shelf; 294 recorded sales; high confidence 6	$183.16 vs. $179.99; 1.8% above 6	No dated listing qualified on eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink
5	21350 Jaws, Ideas 3	Retired July 31, 2026; 2 years 1 month on shelf; 50 recorded sales; 3 exclusive minifigures 3	$179.53 vs. $149.99; 19.7% above 3	No dated listing qualified on eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink
6	10307 Eiffel Tower, Icons / Landmarks 4	Retired July 31, 2026; 3 years 9 months on shelf; 10,001 pieces; 109 recorded sales 4	$923.05 vs. $629.99; 46.5% above 4	No dated listing qualified on eBay, Mercari, Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink

1. Flower Bouquet, 10280

The July reference is $41.71, not a guaranteed buy price. A sealed copy around that level is worth a saved search; an opened copy should be cheaper because 756 small parts are harder to audit and the set has no minifigures to verify. 2

Ask for a photo of the box or instruction cover showing 10280, the instruction book, and a complete parts spread. Close-ups of the distinctive flower elements matter more than a finished bouquet photo. A completed model proves that someone assembled a bouquet; it does not prove that the exact set is complete.

2. Statue of Liberty, 21042

The July point of $105.18 leaves only a modest cushion below the $119.99 MSRP. The set has 1,685 pieces, no minifigures, and the longest shelf life in this group, so the age signal is stronger than the discount signal. 5

For a sealed copy, roughly $105 is a reference ceiling rather than an automatic buy price. For an opened build, demand a larger gap. Verify 21042 on the box or instructions, then ask for the base, the statue, and the smaller tan and green elements separately. One distant display photo is weak completeness evidence.

3. French Café, 10362

French Café looks attractive at 9.3% below MSRP, but the reference rests on only 11 recorded sales. That makes $72.54 a fragile average: one unusual transaction can move it sharply. 7

Treat it as a watchlist target, not a chase. Prefer a sealed box or a complete opened set with a meaningful discount below the reference. Verify box number 10362, the instructions, and an inventory spread; a front-facing café display says little about the small pieces that may be missing.

4. Optimus Prime, 10302

Optimus Prime's July point was 1.8% above MSRP, so the set has no discount cushion after shipping, fees, or box damage. The 1,508-piece set has 294 recorded sales, which makes the reference liquid, but liquidity is not the same as value. 6

Wait for a clear discount rather than paying a premium merely because the set is retired. For an opened copy, request the box marked 10302, the instructions, both robot and truck configurations, and the smaller accessories. A model that transforms can still be missing parts that appear only in the alternate configuration.

5. Jaws, 21350

Jaws is the clearest example of a set that is collectible but not cheap. The July point was $179.53, nearly 20% above the $149.99 MSRP. Its 50-sale sample is much thinner than Flower Bouquet's, and the set's three exclusive minifigures make condition and completeness more important. 3

Skip ordinary opened copies near that level. A sealed box around MSRP would be a different proposition, but a seller asking a premium should show box number 21350, the instructions, and individual photos of Matt Hooper, Chief Martin Brody, and Sam Quint. For opened sets, ask to see the boat, shark, and smaller scene elements separately.

6. Eiffel Tower, 10307

The July point of $923.05 is more than $290 above the $629.99 MSRP. The set's 10,001 pieces and 109 recorded sales make it a major collector watch, but scale alone does not turn a premium into a discount. 4

Do not buy on the current monthly point alone. For a sealed copy, wait for a real discount below the roughly $610 reference range; for an opened copy, require a sorted inventory and instructions. Verify 10307, the seal condition, and every box corner. A single photograph of the assembled tower is the least useful proof of completeness.

The marketplace pass: live leads, no dated finds

The strongest live lead was a Mercari listing for 75373 Ambush on Mandalore Battle Pack at $14.69, marked new. The page shows the seller as TheKarpShop with 700 reviews, 1,010 listings, and 704 sales. Its Posted field is blank, so it cannot be called a new listing from this week's window. Open the page and verify the date yourself before acting. 8

A second 75373 Mercari page showed $23.02, also marked new, from a seller with 582 reviews, 925 listings, and 561 sales. Its Posted field was blank as well. The spread between the two asks is a reminder that a seller's discount badge is not the same thing as a market reference. 9

One more Mercari page deserves caution rather than a buy recommendation: its title says Siege of Mandalore battle pack, while the description identifies set 75449, prices it at $19, and comes from a seller with 12 reviews, two listings, and no sales. The Posted field is blank. The set number and the box photos must agree before a buyer treats the page as anything more than a lead. 10

The eBay candidates were not usable as evidence: direct item pages returned eBay error screens rather than listing details, so price, condition, seller history, and creation time could not be verified. 11 12

No qualifying dated detail page surfaced on Vinted, Depop, or BrickLink in this run. BrickLink pages can show an asking price and condition without showing when an individual seller listing was created; that is not enough for a past-week result.

Action order

Save 10280 Flower Bouquet around the low-$40s, but treat $41.71 as a reference ceiling, not an automatic buy. Ask for box, instructions, and a parts spread.
Watch 21042 Statue of Liberty around $100–$105. Its eight-year shelf life is the stronger reason to monitor it; the July discount alone is not large.
Keep 10362 French Café on a lower-price watchlist. The 9.3% gap is interesting, but 11 sales is too thin for confidence.
Do not pay a premium for 10302 Optimus Prime merely because it is retired. The July point was already above MSRP.
Treat 21350 Jaws and 10307 Eiffel Tower as wait-for-a-real-discount sets. Their July points leave too little room for fees, shipping, or missing parts.
If you open a marketplace lead, verify the posted date first. Then match the set number, box or instruction evidence, condition, seller history, shipping, return terms, and completeness proof.

One final timing wrinkle remains. Brickset and BrickRanker put the six-set cohort at a July 31 retirement boundary, while the official LEGO US last-chance page still displays Optimus Prime as an exclusive and lists Jaws, French Café, and Flower Bouquet as retiring soon. Retirement labels and retail availability are moving on different clocks; use the dated market screen for price discipline, and check the official shop before assuming a set has fully left retail. 1 13