MLB Power Rankings, Week 10: Mariners seize first, Dodgers' metrics gap hits record, and the AL Central implodes

June arrived with the Braves still on top, the Dodgers still the most analytically dominant team in baseball, and the middle tiers reshuffled in ways that make the next four weeks look genuinely unpredictable. Seattle turned a six-game skid into a six-game streak and jumped from the cellar of the AL West to first place in one week. The White Sox survived Munetaka Murakami's hamstring injury to stay in the AL Central hunt. And Kansas City and Minnesota reminded everyone that the gap between a "competitive" and a "collapsing" team can close in under ten days.

Rankings this week are derived from four sources: MLB.com, USA Today, CBS Sports, and Bleacher Report. ESPN, The Athletic, and FanGraphs had not published their Week 10 editions as of June 1 — ESPN typically publishes on Thursdays (expected June 4), while The Athletic and FanGraphs are expected June 2–3. Composite ranks are simple averages across the four available sources. 1 2 3 4

All 30 teams ranked

Rank	Team	Composite	Last week	Δ	W-L	Weekly
1	Atlanta Braves	1.00	1	—	40-20	4-2
2	Los Angeles Dodgers	2.00	2	—	38-21	5-1
3	Milwaukee Brewers	3.50	5	▲2	35-21	4-2
4	New York Yankees	4.25	4	—	36-23	5-1
5	Tampa Bay Rays	4.25	3	▼2	36-20	2-4
6	Cleveland Guardians	6.00	6	—	34-27	2-4
7	San Diego Padres	9.75	7	—	32-26	3-3
8	Pittsburgh Pirates	10.00	10	▲2	32-28	4-2
9	St. Louis Cardinals	11.75	8	▼1	31-26	2-4
10	Seattle Mariners	10.00	17	▲7	31-29	6-0
11	Philadelphia Phillies	10.00	19	▲8	30-29	4-2
12	Chicago White Sox	10.00	23	▲11	32-27	6-1
13	Arizona Diamondbacks	12.00	9	▼4	31-27	3-3
14	Chicago Cubs	13.00	16	▲2	32-28	5-1
15	Washington Nationals	14.25	12	▼3	31-29	4-2
16	Cincinnati Reds	15.50	13	▼3	30-28	3-3
17	Toronto Blue Jays	16.75	18	▲1	29-31	4-2
18	Baltimore Orioles	18.75	22	▲4	28-32	3-3
19	Athletics	18.75	14	▼5	28-31	1-5
20	Texas Rangers	19.00	20	—	28-31	2-4
21	Houston Astros	21.25	25	▲4	27-34	3-3
22	Minnesota Twins	22.00	11	▼11	27-33	1-6
23	New York Mets	22.25	21	▼2	26-33	4-2
24	Miami Marlins	24.50	15	▼9	26-34	2-4
25	Boston Red Sox	24.75	24	▼1	25-33	2-4
26	Kansas City Royals	26.75	26	—	22-37	0-6
27	Los Angeles Angels	27.25	30	▲3	23-37	3-3
28	Detroit Tigers	28.25	27	▼1	22-38	1-5
29	San Francisco Giants	28.25	28	—	23-36	3-3
30	Colorado Rockies	29.25	29	▼1	22-38	1-5

Composite rank = simple average across four sources (MLB.com, USA Today, CBS Sports, Bleacher Report). Last-week ranks are from Week 9 article. Weekly record covers May 25–31. 1 2 3 4

Biggest risers

Top risers, Week 10

Rank change vs. Week 9 article, May 25–June 1

Chicago White Sox

▲11 (#23→#12)

Philadelphia Phillies

▲8 (#19→#11)

Seattle Mariners

▲7 (#17→#10)

Baltimore Orioles

▲4 (#22→#18)

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Seattle Mariners — composite #10 (▲7.0 avg spots)

The Mariners entered Week 10 at 25-29, out of first place in the AL West, and looking like another underperforming Pacific Northwest team. They finished it at 31-29 with a 6-0 record, back in first by 2.5 games over the collapsing Athletics — the biggest single-week swing of any contender in the league. 3 5

The numbers behind the streak are real: Seattle's run differential jumped 29 points in one week, from +1 to +30, and the rotation's 3.46 ERA ranks 5th in MLB for the season. 5 Julio Rodríguez posted a .899 OPS with 10 home runs in May, and rookie shortstop Colt Emerson (SS, promoted from Triple-A) arrived with a .852 OPS and 6 extra-base hits in his first 13 career games. 3

CBS Sports' Matt Snyder, who had publicly maintained his AL West prediction through Seattle's early struggles, wrote: "Even when the Mariners looked terrible in the early going, I never strayed and made sure to mention here multiple times that I still had them winning the AL West. They will." 3 The case for sustainability: 16 of their next 19 games come against sub-.500 opponents, and their upcoming schedule ranks second-easiest in the AL at .408 opponent winning percentage. 1 6

There's one complication the sources diverge on: MLB.com has Seattle at #7 (+8 from last week), while USA Today has them only at #12 and Bleacher Report at #11 — a five-spot gap reflecting honest disagreement about whether 6-0 against the Athletics and Diamondbacks is a true calibration or a schedule-aided sprint.

Chicago White Sox — composite #12 (▲11 from Week 9 #23)

The White Sox are now one game out of first place in the AL Central, one year after losing 102 games and two years after losing 121. USA Today's Gabe Lacques wrote it straight: "It is June, and the Chicago White Sox are a game out of first place. Is this really happening?" 2

Chicago went 6-1 in Week 10, capped by sweeping the preseason AL Central favorite Tigers, and finished May 18-8. Colson Montgomery (SS) hit his 15th home run — he has 36 since the 2025 All-Star break, second only to Kyle Schwarber in that span. 4 5 They have yet to record a losing streak longer than three games all season — the clearest structural indicator that this team is not the 2024 or 2025 White Sox.

The caveat is real: first baseman Munetaka Murakami, who is tied for the AL lead with 20 home runs and had homered in three straight games before the injury, was placed on the 10-day injured list May 30 with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain. He is expected to miss 4 to 6 weeks. 7 Jacob Gonzalez (.317/.419/.668 with 19 home runs in 52 Triple-A games) was called up as the corresponding move. 8 Gonzalez's minor-league line is eye-catching; whether it translates defines whether the White Sox hold their division position through June.

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Biggest fallers

Top fallers, Week 10

Rank change vs. Week 9 article, May 25–June 1

Minnesota Twins

▼11 (▲11→#22)

Miami Marlins

▼9 (#15→#24)

Athletics

▼5 (#14→#19)

Cincinnati Reds

▼3 (#13→#16)

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Athletics — composite #19 (▼5 from Week 9 #14)

Oakland entered Week 10 in first place in the AL West. They exited it 2.5 games back, having lost 7 of 9 and watching Seattle walk past them. The operational cause was straightforward: they lost both Luis Severino (right arm discomfort, 15-day IL on May 30) and Aaron Civale (right shoulder tendinitis, 15-day IL on May 26) within four days, stripping a rotation that had very little depth behind them. 7 8

MLB.com's Will Leitch on Severino specifically: "He has been a rock in that rotation whose innings are going to be dearly missed." 1 Top prospect Gage Jump made his MLB debut during the week (5.0 IP, 9 H, 4 ER) — not the debut the franchise hoped for, though that line is less alarming for a high-ceiling prospect than the raw ERA suggests. The Athletics are now 28-31 with the rotation in triage.

Minnesota Twins — composite #22 (▼11 from Week 9 #11)

Minnesota had gone 10-4 in the stretch before this week. Then they went 1-6, getting outscored 52-27 against the White Sox and Pirates, and Bleacher Report dropped them nine spots on its own — from #13 to #22 — the largest single-source drop of any team this week. 4

The rotation situation is now severe. The Twins DFA'd Simeon Woods Richardson (0-7, 7.74 ERA) and placed Bailey Ober on the 15-day IL with right elbow inflammation on May 31. 7 8 Pablo Lopez and David Festa are also on the 60-day IL. The Twins have resorted to an 11-closer-by-committee bullpen. At 27-33, they sit 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central.

Kansas City Royals — #26 (stable but freefall in RD)

The Royals went 0-6 in Week 10. Their run differential collapsed from -25 to -59 — the worst single-week RD decline in the entire league. 5 Bobby Witt Jr. (SS) leads the majors with 3.5 FanGraphs WAR and is clearly the only reason Kansas City's offense is watchable, but a .373 team winning percentage and 11 games back in the AL Central has shifted the conversation from "fringe contender" to "when does Witt's name come up in trade talks." 9

Cincinnati Reds — #16 (▼2 composite, deepening collapse)

Cincinnati's May is one of the more dramatic single-month collapses in recent memory. They entered May tied for the second-best record in baseball. They finished it in last place in the NL Central with the fourth-worst record in baseball for the month (10-17) and a 5.51 May ERA that ranked 29th. 1 Elly De La Cruz (SS, 2.7 WAR on the season) left a game with a hamstring injury and was undergoing an MRI as of week's end. 7 Graham Ashcraft was also placed on the 60-day IL with a right forearm UCL sprain on May 29 — a diagnosis that carries surgery risk. 8

The analytics layer: Atlanta, Los Angeles, and the Pythagorean gap

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Atlanta Braves — #1, confirmed

Four sources, one answer. The Braves are 40-20 (.667), on pace for 108 wins, with a +109 run differential — second in MLB only to the Dodgers. 5 Ronald Acuña Jr. (OF), fully healthy after his knee reconstruction, homered in four consecutive games last week, adding five home runs and four stolen bases in that span. 1 The Braves' Pythagorean record (42-18) suggests they are underperforming their run differential by 2 games — which is a rare way to be the best team in baseball.

Los Angeles Dodgers — #2, still the strongest underlying case

Every major analytical metric points to Los Angeles: +129 RD (MLB #1 by a wide margin), .792 team OPS (MLB #1), 3.07 ERA (MLB #1). 5 10 11 Their Pythagorean record is 44-15 — they are 6 games behind where their run differential says they should be, the largest such gap in MLB. Andy Pages (OF) has a 2.7 FanGraphs WAR with a 145 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus, a park-adjusted offensive rate stat where 100 = league average); Max Muncy (1B/3B) is at 2.3 WAR with a 148 wRC+. 9

The Dodgers went 5-1 last week despite Blake Snell going to the 60-day IL, Teoscar Hernandez going to the 10-day IL, and Enrique Hernández suffering a significant oblique tear that ends his season for at least 6 to 8 weeks. Nine Dodger pitchers are currently on the 60-day IL. They're winning with depth that most organizations don't have, which is partly why CBS Sports' Matt Snyder called them "on a rampage again" after winning 14 of their last 17. 3

Tampa Bay Rays — #5, luck regression arriving

Week 10 brought the data point regression-watchers had circled. The Rays went 2-4, and their run differential dropped 21 points — from +40 to +19. 5 Their Pythagorean record is 30-26, while their actual record is 36-20 — a +6 Luck differential, the highest in MLB. For context, the Rays' season-long run differential of +19 would project them to approximately the 7th- or 8th-best record in baseball if distributed more evenly across games. They have also lost Craig Kimbrel (RHP, right wrist, 15-day IL) just five days after signing him as a free agent on May 26. 7 Shane McClanahan (SP) is genuinely excellent at 4-0 with a 1.41 ERA in May, and the rotation is real — but the gap between 36-20 and 30-26 is likely to narrow over June.

The Yankees deserve the stronger analytics case for #4–5: 36-23, +98 RD (second in the AL), Pythagorean 40-19 (4 games unlucky), .770 OPS (2nd in MLB), 3.20 ERA (3rd). 5 Ben Rice (1B) leads the majors with a 188 wRC+ and 2.7 WAR; Aaron Judge (RF) is at 2.2 WAR with a 150 wRC+. 9 Gerrit Cole (SP) returned last week with 12.2 scoreless innings over two starts.

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Injury watch

The week's transaction log was the heaviest of the season for high-impact arm injuries.

Season-ending / long-term:

Jose Berrios (TOR, SP) underwent full Tommy John surgery on May 27, with a right elbow stress fracture also repaired in the same procedure. He is on the 60-day IL and will not return in 2026. The Blue Jays now have three starting pitchers on the 60-day IL (Berrios, Bowden Francis, Shane Bieber). 7 8
Blake Snell (LAD, SP) was transferred to the 60-day IL on May 29 with left elbow loose bodies. He underwent a "nano scope" procedure on May 27 — the minimally invasive elbow surgery Tarik Skubal had undergone earlier in May — and his recovery timeline extends past the All-Star break. 7

In-week multi-injury game:

Casey Mize (DET, SP) and Kenley Jansen (DET, RP) both left the same May 28 game against the Angels with groin injuries. Mize — who had a 2.27 ERA over his nine starts and threw four scoreless innings before exiting — was placed on the 15-day IL with right adductor inflammation. Jansen (7 saves, 4.80 ERA) went to the 15-day IL with pelvic inflammation. The Tigers now have 8 pitchers on the injured list. 12 Mize said postgame: "Same area — just the sensation of it was less than last time." 12

Positive returns:

Jared Jones (PIT, RHP) was activated from the 60-day IL on May 29. Jones is one of Pittsburgh's better young arms and his return reinforces the Pirates' rotation depth. 8
Logan Webb (SF, SP) and Jung Hoo Lee (SF, OF) were both activated from the IL on the same day (May 29). Webb is the Giants' staff ace; Lee is their best contact hitter. The activations partially offset new injuries to Tyler Mahle (hamstring) and Harrison Bader (plantar fasciitis) placed on the IL the same week. 8

To monitor: Corey Seager (TEX, SS, lower back, 10-day IL since May 15) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment in Week 11 per manager Skip Schumaker. 7 Jose Altuve (HOU, 2B, oblique) has progressed to live batting practice and could return by mid-June. 7

Week ahead (June 2–8): schedule watch

Team	Upcoming SOS	Key matchups
Miami Marlins	.593 (hardest)	vs WSH x3, @ TB x3
Arizona Diamondbacks	.581	@ LAD x3, vs WSH x3
San Francisco Giants	.570	vs MIL x3, @ CHC x3
Detroit Tigers	.567	@ TB x2, vs SEA x3
Toronto Blue Jays	.559	@ ATL x3, vs BAL x3
Milwaukee Brewers	.392 (easiest)	vs SF x3, @ COL x3
Seattle Mariners	.408	vs NYM x2, vs DET x3
Tampa Bay Rays	.411	vs DET x2, @ MIA x3

SOS = opponent winning percentage for games June 2–8, per MLB schedule data. 6

The NL West showdown to watch is Dodgers at Diamondbacks — the highest-profile series of the week, with Los Angeles trying to push its NL West lead past 6 games against a team that is still 31-27 and in second place. Arizona faces the hardest schedule of any competitive team at .581, and getting swept at Dodger Stadium would functionally end their NL West hopes for June.

For the Brewers, the scheduling gods delivered the easiest week available (.392 SOS), with the Giants and Rockies visiting American Family Field. Milwaukee went 19-7 in May — the best record in baseball for the month — and their rotation ERA of 3.17 (3rd in MLB) is anchored by Jacob Misiorowski (1.65 ERA) and Kyle Harrison (1.57 ERA). Will Leitch of MLB.com noted that the Brewers now hold 58% playoff odds to win the NL Central for a potential fourth straight division title. 1 This week does nothing to stress-test those odds.

The most interesting storyline in Week 11 may be the AL Central: White Sox (32-27, 1 GB) at Guardians (34-27, division leaders) with Cleveland's RD having collapsed from +23 to +1 in a single week. If the Guardians' underlying weakness (Pythag 31-30, +3 Luck) is real, this is the series where the White Sox can take first place.

AI-generated cover image.